{
  "url": "https://www.moonstonehq.com/articles/m-charizard-ex-evolutions-value",
  "slug": "m-charizard-ex-evolutions-value",
  "title": "M Charizard EX 101/108 Evolutions: Price and Pop",
  "summary": "The Evolutions full art asks $127.02, with a PSA 10 at $617.50 on 356 sales and 34,109 PSA slabs. A different M Charizard EX in the same set asks $41.58.",
  "section": "Card study",
  "published": "2026-09-23",
  "readMinutes": 9,
  "publisher": "moonstone",
  "findings": [
    {
      "value": "$617.50",
      "measures": "PSA 10 sold median, 356 verified sales",
      "basis": "101/108 only, against a $127.02 raw ask"
    },
    {
      "value": "34,109",
      "measures": "PSA submissions on an unshared registry line",
      "basis": "13,418 tens, read September 21 2026"
    },
    {
      "value": "4.86x",
      "measures": "PSA 10 premium, 22nd percentile of 5,879",
      "basis": "the cohort median is 12.35x"
    }
  ],
  "tables": [
    {
      "title": "Every priced product named M Charizard EX, by raw ask, September 23 2026",
      "columns": [
        "Card",
        "Set",
        "Number",
        "Raw ask",
        "PSA 10 sold",
        "Sales",
        "Registry",
        "Gem rate"
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/xy2-108)",
          "Set": "[Flashfire](/set/flashfire)",
          "Number": "108/106",
          "Raw ask": "$1,501.23",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$11,200.00",
          "Sales": "5",
          "Registry": "3,162",
          "Gem rate": "5.6%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/jat-606085)",
          "Set": "CP6: Expansion Pack 20th Anniversary (Japanese)",
          "Number": "091/087",
          "Raw ask": "$1,500.00",
          "PSA 10 sold": "not recorded",
          "Sales": "n/a",
          "Registry": "not recorded",
          "Gem rate": "n/a"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/xy2-107)",
          "Set": "[Flashfire](/set/flashfire)",
          "Number": "107/106",
          "Raw ask": "$317.99",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$7,048.02",
          "Sales": "4",
          "Registry": "1,717",
          "Gem rate": "4.6%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/jat-603335)",
          "Set": "XY2: Wild Blaze (Japanese)",
          "Number": "055/080",
          "Raw ask": "$285.00",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$527.00",
          "Sales": "44",
          "Registry": "237",
          "Gem rate": "69.2%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/xy2-69)",
          "Set": "[Flashfire](/set/flashfire)",
          "Number": "69/106",
          "Raw ask": "$279.77",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$2,099.99",
          "Sales": "142",
          "Registry": "7,976",
          "Gem rate": "20.7%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/g1-12)",
          "Set": "[Generations](/set/generations)",
          "Number": "12/83",
          "Raw ask": "$163.29",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$3,249.99",
          "Sales": "46",
          "Registry": "7,088",
          "Gem rate": "8.2%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/xy12-101)",
          "Set": "[Evolutions](/set/xy%20-%20evolutions)",
          "Number": "101/108",
          "Raw ask": "$127.02",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$617.50",
          "Sales": "356",
          "Registry": "34,109",
          "Gem rate": "39.3%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/xy2-13)",
          "Set": "[Flashfire](/set/flashfire)",
          "Number": "13/106",
          "Raw ask": "$68.57",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$1,999.50",
          "Sales": "23",
          "Registry": "2,221",
          "Gem rate": "11.6%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/jat-605093)",
          "Set": "XYA: M Charizard-EX Mega Battle Deck (Japanese)",
          "Number": "002/021",
          "Raw ask": "$66.97",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$275.62",
          "Sales": "14",
          "Registry": "2,315",
          "Gem rate": "52.2%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/xy12-13)",
          "Set": "[Evolutions](/set/xy%20-%20evolutions)",
          "Number": "13/108",
          "Raw ask": "$41.58",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$195.34",
          "Sales": "381",
          "Registry": "24,694",
          "Gem rate": "41.2%"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "title": "M Charizard EX 101/108 graded ladder, read September 23 2026",
      "columns": [
        "Grade",
        "Sold median",
        "Verified sales",
        "Multiple of the raw ask"
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "Grade": "PSA 10",
          "Sold median": "$617.50",
          "Verified sales": "356",
          "Multiple of the raw ask": "4.86x"
        },
        {
          "Grade": "BGS 9.5",
          "Sold median": "$392.50",
          "Verified sales": "4",
          "Multiple of the raw ask": "3.09x"
        },
        {
          "Grade": "CGC 10",
          "Sold median": "$298.75",
          "Verified sales": "16",
          "Multiple of the raw ask": "2.35x"
        },
        {
          "Grade": "BGS 9",
          "Sold median": "$161.50",
          "Verified sales": "5",
          "Multiple of the raw ask": "1.27x"
        },
        {
          "Grade": "PSA 9",
          "Sold median": "$136.31",
          "Verified sales": "288",
          "Multiple of the raw ask": "1.07x"
        },
        {
          "Grade": "CGC 9",
          "Sold median": "$127.50",
          "Verified sales": "7",
          "Multiple of the raw ask": "1.00x"
        },
        {
          "Grade": "Raw (ask, not a sale)",
          "Sold median": "$127.02",
          "Verified sales": "n/a",
          "Multiple of the raw ask": "1.00x"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "title": "M Charizard EX 101/108 against the 5,879-product graded-ladder cohort",
      "columns": [
        "Measure",
        "This card",
        "Cohort median",
        "Percentile",
        "Rank"
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "Measure": "PSA registry line",
          "This card": "34,109",
          "Cohort median": "822",
          "Percentile": "98.8",
          "Rank": "72 of 5,879"
        },
        {
          "Measure": "Verified PSA 10 sales",
          "This card": "356",
          "Cohort median": "14",
          "Percentile": "97.2",
          "Rank": "163 of 5,879"
        },
        {
          "Measure": "Raw ask",
          "This card": "$127.02",
          "Cohort median": "$18.93",
          "Percentile": "88.9",
          "Rank": "655 of 5,879"
        },
        {
          "Measure": "Gem rate",
          "This card": "39.3%",
          "Cohort median": "44.4%",
          "Percentile": "41.6",
          "Rank": "3,432 of 5,879"
        },
        {
          "Measure": "PSA 10 premium",
          "This card": "4.86x",
          "Cohort median": "12.35x",
          "Percentile": "22.0",
          "Rank": "4,583 of 5,879"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "title": "The five dearest cards in Evolutions, September 23 2026",
      "columns": [
        "Card",
        "Number",
        "Raw ask",
        "PSA 10 sold",
        "Sales",
        "Registry",
        "Gem rate"
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "Card": "[M Charizard EX](/card/xy12-101)",
          "Number": "101/108",
          "Raw ask": "$127.02",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$617.50",
          "Sales": "356",
          "Registry": "34,109",
          "Gem rate": "39.3%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[Charizard](/card/xy12-11)",
          "Number": "11/108",
          "Raw ask": "$99.14",
          "PSA 10 sold": "not recorded",
          "Sales": "n/a",
          "Registry": "53,714",
          "Gem rate": "1.1%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[M Blastoise EX](/card/xy12-102)",
          "Number": "102/108",
          "Raw ask": "$70.56",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$359.28",
          "Sales": "254",
          "Registry": "17,799",
          "Gem rate": "35.9%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[Dragonite EX](/card/xy12-106)",
          "Number": "106/108",
          "Raw ask": "$48.55",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$217.00",
          "Sales": "196",
          "Registry": "14,001",
          "Gem rate": "29.1%"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[Mewtwo EX](/card/xy12-103)",
          "Number": "103/108",
          "Raw ask": "$46.61",
          "PSA 10 sold": "$631.04",
          "Sales": "173",
          "Registry": "11,947",
          "Gem rate": "27.3%"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "charts": [],
  "sections": [
    "Which card this is",
    "The ladder",
    "Where it sits in the catalog",
    "The set it sits in",
    "What the registry and the tapes did",
    "Proving the registry line belongs to this card",
    "What this study cannot show",
    "What would overturn this"
  ],
  "method": [
    "Sources: the `cards` catalog, `price_history`, `graded_snapshots` and `population_snapshots` in production, read on day 20719, September 23 2026. The card is resolved by NAME AND NUMBER: M Charizard EX, number 101, set Evolutions, catalog id xy12-101, TCGplayer product id 124114; our graded tape labels the same product M Charizard EX (Full Art) in set XY - Evolutions. A folded same-name sweep across all 62,388 products, stripping accents, apostrophes, the gender signs and the provider's trailing number suffix, returns thirteen products; ten carry a price on the day and are tabled, three Japanese rows do not and are named in prose. RAW is an ASK, the day-20719 `price_history` reading. GRADED figures are SOLD medians over verified completed sales with the count beside them, latest row per grade across both keyspaces with the fresher winning. REGISTRY is `population_snapshots`, latest reading per key, September 21 2026 for this card; the latest day differs per card across this series. Gem rates pass `gemRateIsTrustworthy()`; the September 14 reading on this card records an absent PSA 10 breakdown and is excluded, so the growth window runs September 7 to September 21 on readings that both carry a gem count. Line sharing is tested by `sharedRegistryKeys()` over all 24,385 population keys (883 flagged, 788 products affected, neither this card nor xy12-13 among them) and by the grade-by-grade pooling ratio described below. Two assertions run over the graded rows this series prints, and they do not cover the same rows. STALENESS: on every product this module prints a graded figure for, and after the fresher-keyspace rule, any median dated before day 20695, the first day of the current daily tape, is dropped, because the never-refreshed catalog-id keyspace holds rows old enough to invert against their own neighbouring grade. That assertion runs on all 258 graded rows the 66 products this module links carry, at every grade and every grader, and removes exactly one, a CGC 10 dated day 20694 on a card whose graded figures are not printed here, leaving 257. The cohort below is built WITHOUT that gate: applied across the whole catalog it drops nine PSA 10 medians, leaving 8,684 products with a PSA 10 median on two or more sales and a cohort of 5,871, 4,183 English and 1,688 Japanese, and no rank printed in this series moves by more than seven places. POOLING RATIO: recorded sales at a grade divided by the registry count at that grade. This is NOT an impossibility test, and calling it one would be wrong: `graded_snapshots` counts SALES and one slab can sell more than once, so a ratio above 1 is evidence that a graded key is pooling another product, not a physical contradiction. The declared bar is 1.0. `population_snapshots` records a per-grade count at PSA 10 and PSA 9 only, so the ratio is computable on 114 of those 257 rows and on no BGS or CGC row at all; the highest of the 114 is 0.94, 29 PSA 10 sales against the 31 tens on the Wizards-era Eevee's line, and only three exceed 0.5. THE COHORT: 62,388 products after deduplicating 63,600 catalog rows on the TCGplayer product id; 5,879 carry an ask, a PSA 10 median on two or more verified sales, a trustworthy gem rate and an unshared registry line, 4,191 English and 1,688 Japanese. Percentile is the share of the cohort strictly below this card's value; medians are upper-middle on even samples. The Evolutions set total of $798.71 is a same-day sum of `price_history` over the 113 English products we price in the set; the $887 on the set page comes from the `sethist2` set index, a different instrument, and the two are not reconciled here. The Charizard ranking recomputed here uses English priced products whose name contains Charizard and no ampersand and which carry a PSA 10 sold median, 83 products on day 20719; the published ranking used a canonical single-species matcher on day 20718 and reported 82. Both `/set/evolutions` and `/set/xy - evolutions` were fetched on September 23 2026 and both returned the 2016 set titled Evolutions at $887; this article links the unambiguous spelling. The weekly per-card series is `ppthist:124114`, first reading January 27 2025, last September 22 2026. Not financial advice."
  ],
  "terms": "Figures are moonstone's own recorded measurements, dated as published. Quote them with the population stated beside them. The article at `url` is the human form of this file."
}