{
  "url": "https://www.moonstonehq.com/articles/ninety-days-of-our-own-grave-or-trophy",
  "slug": "ninety-days-of-our-own-grave-or-trophy",
  "title": "Ninety Days to Our Own Grave or Trophy: 466 Dated Calls Are Now on the Books",
  "summary": "As of this week, every verdict our card reports print is frozen as a dated call with a written falsifier, and in about ninety days the first batch gets scored against recorded data whether we like the result or not. 466 calls across 219 cards are on the books. Misses will be listed first. This is the pre-announcement, written while we can still be wrong.",
  "section": "Prediction",
  "published": "2026-08-30",
  "readMinutes": 6,
  "publisher": "moonstone",
  "findings": [
    {
      "value": "466",
      "measures": "dated calls on the books",
      "basis": "across 236 editions of 219 cards"
    },
    {
      "value": "90 days",
      "measures": "per call horizon",
      "basis": "scored against recorded data, not memory"
    },
    {
      "value": "0",
      "measures": "scored so far",
      "basis": "every call is currently alive and falsifiable"
    },
    {
      "value": "Nov 26, 2026",
      "measures": "first scores land",
      "basis": "on /reports/track-record, misses first"
    }
  ],
  "tables": [
    {
      "title": "Live calls, quoted verbatim from the frozen editions",
      "columns": [
        "Card",
        "Call",
        "Falsifier, as written at stamp time"
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "Card": "[Umbreon VMAX](/card/swsh7-215)",
          "Call": "GEMMING HARDER: recent gem share 52.77% vs 69.53% (-16.76pts)",
          "Falsifier, as written at stamp time": "“falsified if gem-rate drift is +3pts or more at the 90 day horizon”"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[Eevee](/card/basep-11)",
          "Call": "EV NEGATIVE: net -$3.97 per submission at registry-average outcomes",
          "Falsifier, as written at stamp time": "“falsified if the disclosed EV formula prints a positive net at the 90 day horizon”"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[Eevee](/card/basep-11)",
          "Call": "EFFECTIVELY CLOSED: +18 slabs/week on pop 10,685 (0.17%/wk)",
          "Falsifier, as written at stamp time": "“falsified if the PSA population grows more than 5% over the 90 day horizon”"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[Umbreon ex](/card/sv08.5-161)",
          "Call": "STEADY INFLOW: +189.93 slabs/week on pop 21,003 (0.90%/wk)",
          "Falsifier, as written at stamp time": "“falsified if registry growth is under 0.2%/wk at the 90 day horizon”"
        },
        {
          "Card": "[Umbreon VMAX](/card/swsh7-215)",
          "Call": "LIQUID: 32.42 verified PSA 10 sales/week over 38 days",
          "Falsifier, as written at stamp time": "“falsified if verified PSA 10 velocity is under 2/wk at the 90 day horizon”"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "charts": [],
  "sections": [
    "What a frozen call looks like",
    "The rules we cannot bend later"
  ],
  "method": [
    "Counts pulled from the report_editions ledger on August 29, 2026: 236 frozen editions across 219 cards, stamped August 28 and 29; 466 calls (187 grading, 137 registry, 105 drift, 37 liquidity), zero scored, horizons 90 days from each call's stamp date, so scoring begins on or about November 26, 2026 and rolls forward as later stamps mature. Falsifiers in the table are quoted verbatim from the frozen calls_json. Edition bodies are immutable; outcomes are written beside them, never into them. Not financial advice."
  ],
  "terms": "Figures are moonstone's own recorded measurements, dated as published. Quote them with the population stated beside them. The article at `url` is the human form of this file."
}