{ "url": "https://www.moonstonehq.com/articles/pokemon-set-size-vs-value", "slug": "pokemon-set-size-vs-value", "title": "Does Set Size Change What a Pokémon Set Is Worth?", "summary": "Across 192 English sets, printed checklist size correlates -0.402 with the median card price and +0.501 with total set value. Bigger sets, cheaper cards.", "section": "Set economics", "published": "2026-09-22", "readMinutes": 8, "publisher": "moonstone", "findings": [ { "value": "-0.402", "measures": "rank correlation, printed size against median card price", "basis": "192 sets" }, { "value": "+0.501", "measures": "rank correlation, printed size against total set value", "basis": "same 192 sets" }, { "value": "-0.455", "measures": "rank correlation, printed size against top-5 concentration", "basis": "bigger sets are flatter" }, { "value": "-0.331", "measures": "size against move, once set age is held fixed", "basis": "57 sets with a continuous series" } ], "tables": [ { "title": "Printed checklist size against value, 192 English sets", "columns": [ "Printed checklist", "Sets", "Median priced cards", "Median set value", "Median card", "Median top-5 share", "Value per priced card" ], "rows": [ { "Printed checklist": "Under 60", "Sets": "57", "Median priced cards": "18", "Median set value": "$177", "Median card": "$4.41", "Median top-5 share": "63.5%", "Value per priced card": "$8.28" }, { "Printed checklist": "60 to 110", "Sets": "55", "Median priced cards": "101", "Median set value": "$2,357", "Median card": "$1.30", "Median top-5 share": "58.8%", "Value per priced card": "$22.68" }, { "Printed checklist": "110 to 160", "Sets": "45", "Median priced cards": "130", "Median set value": "$1,759", "Median card": "$0.70", "Median top-5 share": "54.8%", "Value per priced card": "$12.86" }, { "Printed checklist": "160 to 210", "Sets": "25", "Median priced cards": "216", "Median set value": "$1,237", "Median card": "$0.21", "Median top-5 share": "51.1%", "Value per priced card": "$5.68" }, { "Printed checklist": "210 to 260", "Sets": "8", "Median priced cards": "246", "Median set value": "$5,153", "Median card": "$0.84", "Median top-5 share": "40.2%", "Value per priced card": "$18.23" }, { "Printed checklist": "260 or more", "Sets": "2", "Median priced cards": "302", "Median set value": "$4,413", "Median card": "$3.35", "Median top-5 share": "80.3%", "Value per priced card": "$14.61" } ] }, { "title": "Twelve sets, printed size against what they hold", "columns": [ "Set", "Printed", "Priced cards", "Total priced value", "Median card", "Dearest card", "Top-5 share" ], "rows": [ { "Set": "[Celebrations](/set/celebrations)", "Printed": "25", "Priced cards": "24", "Total priced value": "$109", "Median card": "$0.38", "Dearest card": "$68.07", "Top-5 share": "86.5%" }, { "Set": "[Fossil](/set/fossil)", "Printed": "62", "Priced cards": "62", "Total priced value": "$1,184", "Median card": "$2.34", "Dearest card": "$215.91", "Top-5 share": "50.9%" }, { "Set": "[Jungle](/set/jungle)", "Printed": "64", "Priced cards": "64", "Total priced value": "$1,094", "Median card": "$6.07", "Dearest card": "$151.06", "Top-5 share": "42.3%" }, { "Set": "[Hidden Fates](/set/hidden%20fates)", "Printed": "68", "Priced cards": "69", "Total priced value": "$293", "Median card": "$0.32", "Dearest card": "$74.48", "Top-5 share": "78.4%" }, { "Set": "[Champion's Path](/set/champion's%20path)", "Printed": "73", "Priced cards": "80", "Total priced value": "$573", "Median card": "$0.22", "Dearest card": "$263.66", "Top-5 share": "90.2%" }, { "Set": "[Shining Legends](/set/shining%20legends)", "Printed": "73", "Priced cards": "78", "Total priced value": "$1,555", "Median card": "$0.38", "Dearest card": "$809.37", "Top-5 share": "83.2%" }, { "Set": "[Base Set](/set/base%20set)", "Printed": "102", "Priced cards": "101", "Total priced value": "$2,218", "Median card": "$2.53", "Dearest card": "$919.98", "Top-5 share": "67.2%" }, { "Set": "[Legendary Collection](/set/legendary%20collection)", "Printed": "110", "Priced cards": "110", "Total priced value": "$3,049", "Median card": "$2.88", "Dearest card": "$899.99", "Top-5 share": "59.1%" }, { "Set": "[Prismatic Evolutions](/set/prismatic%20evolutions)", "Printed": "131", "Priced cards": "180", "Total priced value": "$4,913", "Median card": "$0.32", "Dearest card": "$1,412.72", "Top-5 share": "58.7%" }, { "Set": "[Crown Zenith](/set/crown%20zenith)", "Printed": "159", "Priced cards": "160", "Total priced value": "$251", "Median card": "$0.20", "Dearest card": "$49.35", "Top-5 share": "41.1%" }, { "Set": "[Evolving Skies](/set/evolving%20skies)", "Printed": "203", "Priced cards": "237", "Total priced value": "$8,160", "Median card": "$0.31", "Dearest card": "$2,283.14", "Top-5 share": "60.8%" }, { "Set": "[Fusion Strike](/set/fusion%20strike)", "Printed": "264", "Priced cards": "284", "Total priced value": "$2,270", "Median card": "$0.18", "Dearest card": "$1,020.24", "Top-5 share": "80.3%" } ] } ], "charts": [], "sections": [ "The size ladder", "Named sets, across the size range", "Size survives a control for age, and only just", "What would overturn this", "What this study cannot show" ], "method": [ "Population: every English catalog set with at least ten priced cards, 199 sets and 21,391 cards, of which 192 carry a printed checklist total taken as the maximum `printed_total` across the set's cards. Prices are the last recorded market ask per card from the daily `price_history` tape as of 2026-09-22, the same figure the card pages publish. Median card, set value and top-5 share are computed over priced cards only; medians take the upper middle value on even samples. Moves come from the `sethist2:` continuous cohort defined in [the age study](/articles/do-pokemon-sets-gain-value-with-age): anchored between 2025-01-27 and 2025-02-10, closed at the latest reading on or after 2026-09-01, excluding any set whose series contains an adjacent step above 15%. Correlations are Spearman rank correlations with tied ranks averaged. The partial correlation is the standard first-order partial of the three rank correlations among size, age and move on the 57 sets carrying all three. No regression with standard errors is fitted, because the population is a census rather than a sample. Not financial advice." ], "terms": "Figures are moonstone's own recorded measurements, dated as published. Quote them with the population stated beside them. The article at `url` is the human form of this file." }