{ "url": "https://www.moonstonehq.com/articles/psa10-population-giants", "slug": "psa10-population-giants", "title": "Population Giants: What 77,674 PSA 10s Do to a Price", "summary": "Supply is supposed to be gravity. We pulled the biggest PSA 10 registries we track, priced every one through our verified comp filter, and asked whether the crowd is actually paying for scarcity. Half of the answer is exactly what theory predicts. The other half isn't.", "section": "Market research", "published": "2026-08-04", "readMinutes": 7, "publisher": "moonstone", "findings": [ { "value": "77,674", "measures": "largest PSA 10 population tracked", "basis": "Umbreon ex, JP Terastal Festival" }, { "value": "−0.46", "measures": "correlation, population vs premium", "basis": "bigger registry, thinner multiple" }, { "value": "42 of 44", "measures": "population giants up over 75 days", "basis": "median +16% vs prior window" } ], "tables": [ { "title": "Ranked by PSA 10 population · prices from verified eBay sold comps, August 4, 2026", "columns": [ "Card", "PSA 10 pop", "PSA 10 price", "Premium over raw", "75-day trend" ], "rows": [ { "Card": "[Umbreon ex](/card/ja-SV8a-217) · JP Terastal Festival", "PSA 10 pop": "77,674", "PSA 10 price": "$650", "Premium over raw": "1.5x", "75-day trend": "+23%" }, { "Card": "[Charizard V](/card/swshp-SWSH050) · SWSH Promos", "PSA 10 pop": "50,825", "PSA 10 price": "$89", "Premium over raw": "7.4x", "75-day trend": "+11%" }, { "Card": "[Pikachu with Grey Felt Hat](/card/svp-085) · SVP", "PSA 10 pop": "49,647", "PSA 10 price": "$2,999", "Premium over raw": "2.7x", "75-day trend": "−6%" }, { "Card": "[Charizard VMAX](/card/swsh4.5sv-SV107) · [Shining Fates SV](/set/shining%20fates%20shiny%20vault)", "PSA 10 pop": "36,012", "PSA 10 price": "$290", "Premium over raw": "2.0x", "75-day trend": "+14%" }, { "Card": "[Charizard](/card/cel25cc-CC002) · Celebrations Classic", "PSA 10 pop": "35,423", "PSA 10 price": "$580", "Premium over raw": "3.3x", "75-day trend": "+10%" }, { "Card": "Charizard · JP 25th Anniversary", "PSA 10 pop": "33,205", "PSA 10 price": "$540", "Premium over raw": "1.5x", "75-day trend": "—" }, { "Card": "Mewtwo VSTAR · JP VSTAR Universe", "PSA 10 pop": "33,159", "PSA 10 price": "$260", "Premium over raw": "1.8x", "75-day trend": "+50%" }, { "Card": "[Eevee](/card/svp-173) · SVP Black Star Promos", "PSA 10 pop": "30,763", "PSA 10 price": "$140", "Premium over raw": "10.1x", "75-day trend": "+36%" }, { "Card": "Umbreon · JP SV-P Promo", "PSA 10 pop": "28,635", "PSA 10 price": "$260", "Premium over raw": "1.2x", "75-day trend": "+63%" }, { "Card": "[Charizard ex](/card/sv03.5-199) · [151](/set/151)", "PSA 10 pop": "28,275", "PSA 10 price": "$1,518", "Premium over raw": "4.2x", "75-day trend": "+9%" }, { "Card": "[Blastoise](/card/cel25cc-CC001) · Celebrations Classic", "PSA 10 pop": "27,625", "PSA 10 price": "$135", "Premium over raw": "10.5x", "75-day trend": "+13%" }, { "Card": "[Mew EX](/card/jat-602848) · JP Shiny Collection", "PSA 10 pop": "25,999", "PSA 10 price": "—", "Premium over raw": "—", "75-day trend": "—" } ] } ], "charts": [ { "title": "Median PSA 10 premium over raw, by population quintile", "unit": "x raw price", "note": "48 cards with 20+ verified PSA 10 comps · quintile boundaries at pops of 3.7k, 13.7k, 18.6k, 25.2k", "points": [ { "label": "Q1 · pop ≤ 3.7k", "value": 12.7, "basis": null }, { "label": "Q2", "value": 7.4, "basis": null }, { "label": "Q3", "value": 2.7, "basis": null }, { "label": "Q4", "value": 2.2, "basis": null }, { "label": "Q5 · pop ≥ 25k", "value": 2.7, "basis": null } ] } ], "sections": [ "The twelve biggest PSA 10 registries we track", "Population is gravity, but it pulls on the premium, not the price", "The giants are not falling" ], "method": [ "Population figures are PSA registry snapshots taken August 3-4, 2026 across the 539 cards moonstone tracks daily; we sampled the top 30 by PSA 10 population plus a stratified sixth of the remainder (115 cards). Prices are medians of individual eBay sold listings passed through moonstone's verified comp filter (lot, reprint, autograph, and wrong-set listings removed; bulk-flood collapse applied). The 75-day trend compares the verified PSA 10 median of the last 75 days against the prior 165 days and is shown only where both windows hold 8+ comps; aggregate correlations use the 48 cards with 20+ verified comps overall. Premium is the PSA 10 median divided by the card's TCGplayer raw market price. One top-12 card (the JP 25th Anniversary Charizard) has too few recent comps to trend and is shown unrated. Correction, 2026-09-22, from an independent recomputation against the stored August 4 registry snapshots: every printed population reproduces to the unit, but the census table originally skipped its true twelfth row, the Shiny Collection Mew EX at 25,999 tens, and printed the thirteenth, the [Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery Mewtwo VSTAR](/card/swsh12.5gg-GG44) at 25,975, in its place. The Mew EX now holds rank twelve; it carries no verified comps in that window, so its price, premium and trend are shown unrated. The prices, premiums, 75-day trends and the -0.46 correlation predate our daily graded tape for these cards and could not be recomputed at the August 4 date; the correlation has since been reproduced on 3,606 cards in [does a big PSA population lower the price](/articles/does-psa-population-lower-price)." ], "terms": "Figures are moonstone's own recorded measurements, dated as published. Quote them with the population stated beside them. The article at `url` is the human form of this file." }