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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskOctober 2026

Movie Commemoration Random Pack

22 cards trackedenglish printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-10-24
Full set$849
Median card$24.58
30 days−3.0%
90 days—
Top 10 share80%
Priced19

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history47 recorded readings
All-time high$8762026-09-16
From that high−3.1%set value today
First recorded$867when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than17%8 of 47 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Movie Commemoration Random Pack

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 80% of the bill
10 cards · $567other 9 · $283

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$93.51
Spiky-eared Pichu M - 009/02201
Spiky-eared Pichu M - 009/022
0.0% 30d
$87.5
Pikachu M - 012/02202
Pikachu M - 012/022
−6.7% 30d
$72.5
Piplup M - 007/02203
Piplup M - 007/022
+1.2% 30d
$66.77
Arceus - 022/02204
Arceus - 022/022
0.0% 30d
$60
Spiky-eared Pichu M - 010/02205
Spiky-eared Pichu M - 010/022
−34.5% 30d
$50
Buneary M - 019/02206
Buneary M - 019/022
0.0% 30d
$45
Meowth M - 017/02207
Meowth M - 017/022
0.0% 30d
$34.19
Arceus - 021/02208
Arceus - 021/022
+8.2% 30d
$32.49
Staraptor M - 018/02209
Staraptor M - 018/022
0.0% 30d
$24.58
Croagunk M - 013/02210
Croagunk M - 013/022
0.0% 30d
Every card22 cards · 17 priced
No.CardRarityMarket
001/022Chikorita M - 001/022$19.00
002/022Heracross M - 002/022$17.50
003/022Beautifly M - 003/022$11.55
004/022Cyndaquil M - 004/022·
005/022Heatran M - 005/022$8.08
006/022Totodile M - 006/022·
007/022Piplup M - 007/022$72.50
008/022Palkia M - 008/022$15.71
009/022Spiky-eared Pichu M - 009/022$93.51
010/022Spiky-eared Pichu M - 010/022$93.13
011/022Spiky-eared Pichu M - 011/022·
012/022Pikachu M - 012/022$87.50
013/022Croagunk M - 013/022$24.64
014/022Giratina M - 014/022$13.75
015/022Bronzong M - 015/022$9.30
016/022Dialga M - 016/022$26.66
017/022Meowth M - 017/022·
018/022Staraptor M - 018/022$32.49
019/022Buneary M - 019/022$55.00
020/022Arceus - 020/022·
021/022Arceus - 021/022$34.19
022/022Arceus - 022/022$66.77

Every Movie Commemoration Random Pack card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

If you are building it

You can own 9 of the 19 priced cards in Movie Commemoration Random Pack for about $283. The median card is $24.58. The remaining $567 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Spiky-eared Pichu M - 009/022, $94) is 11% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 20% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
The quant read47 recorded points · 47 days
30-day return−3.0%
Realized vol12%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-4.4%recorded window
Off recorded high-3.1%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.

Rip or hold
Rip report

No rip report for Movie Commemoration Random Pack

No published pull-rate study exists for this set, so there is nothing honest to simulate. We only rip sets whose per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study, and an inherited or inferred rate would put an invented number under every figure on this panel.

We publish a rip simulation only where per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study. Which sets have published pull rates counts what exists: 31 of the 110 English sets sold in booster packs, resting on eleven studies.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · −3.0% 30d · — 90d
2026-09-07$8492026-10-24

Breadth: 1 cards up · 4 down · 14 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Arceus - 021/022 (+8.2%).

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