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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskOctober 2026

Xy - Breakthrough

english printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-10-17
Full set$1,440
Median card$0.38
30 days+2.0%
90 days+6.9%
Top 10 share73%
Priced170

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history353 recorded readings
All-time high$1,4402026-10-17
From that high+0.0%set value today
First recorded$468when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than100%352 of 353 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Xy - Breakthrough

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 73% of the bill
10 cards · $1,052other 160 · $388

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$210
Mewtwo EX (164 Secret Full Art)01
Mewtwo EX (164 Secret Full Art)
+0.2% 30d
$208
Mewtwo EX (163 Secret Full Art)02
Mewtwo EX (163 Secret Full Art)
+4.9% 30d
$148
M Mewtwo EX (160 Full Art)03
M Mewtwo EX (160 Full Art)
−0.6% 30d
$137
M Mewtwo EX (159 Full Art)04
M Mewtwo EX (159 Full Art)
+4.3% 30d
$91.51
Mewtwo EX (158 Full Art)05
Mewtwo EX (158 Full Art)
+2.6% 30d
$72.23
Mewtwo EX (157 Full Art)06
Mewtwo EX (157 Full Art)
+1.1% 30d
$57.03
M Houndoom EX (Full Art)07
M Houndoom EX (Full Art)
+0.2% 30d
$45.8
Gengar08
Gengar
+0.0% 30d
$43
M Mewtwo EX (63)09
M Mewtwo EX (63)
+5.8% 30d
$39.17
Houndoom EX (Full Art)10
Houndoom EX (Full Art)
−1.6% 30d
If you are building it

You can own 160 of the 170 priced cards in Xy - Breakthrough for about $388. The median card is $0.38. The remaining $1,052 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Mewtwo EX (164 Secret Full Art), $210) is 15% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 27% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
Card vs box−93.7% vs the box
chase card · Mewtwo EX (164 Secret Full Art)$204.76
sealed booster box · Xy - Breakthrough$3,238.35
the card6.3% of the box

CHEAPER THAN THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set costs $3,033.59 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-10-19.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read353 recorded points · 628 days
30-day return+2.0%
90-day return+6.9%
Realized vol8%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-7.7%recorded window

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.

The product desk18 products · 2 lots
Cheapest recorded route to packsXY BREAKthrough Booster Pack $63.73/pack
Biggest 30-day moveBREAKthrough Theme Deck - "Night Striker" [Noivern] +3.9%
ProductPriceFamilyPacks$/pack30d
01XY BREAKthrough Booster Box$3,238.35Booster Box36$89.95+0.5%
02Pikachu EX Legendary Collection$1,799.99Collection···
03Elite Trainer Box [Mewtwo Y]$1,499.00Elite Trainer Box··0.0%
04Elite Trainer Box [Mewtwo X]$900.00Elite Trainer Box···
05Hoopa EX Legendary Collection$714.99Collection···
06Mega Mewtwo Collection [Mega Mewtwo X]$599.00Collection··0.0%
07Aurorus EX Box$399.00Product···
08Mega Mewtwo Collection [Mega Mewtwo Y]$309.99Collection···
09BREAKthrough 3 Pack Blister [Sableye]$299.99Blister···
10XY BREAKthrough Collector Chest$299.99Product···
11BREAKthrough Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Blaziken]$249.00Blister···
12BREAKthrough Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Swampert]$199.98Blister···
13XY 3 Pack Blister [Xerneas]$160.00Blister···
14BREAKthrough Single Pack Blister [Jirachi]$127.49Blister··+2.0%
15BREAKthrough Single Pack Blister [Hawlucha]$99.00Blister··0.0%
16XY BREAKthrough Booster Pack$63.73Booster Pack1$63.73+2.7%
17BREAKthrough Theme Deck - "Burning Spark" [Raichu]$54.97Deck··0.0%
18BREAKthrough Theme Deck - "Night Striker" [Noivern]$41.46Deck··+3.9%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
BREAKthrough Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$500.00Booster Packlot···
BREAKthrough Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$279.95Booster Packlot··0.0%

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold
Rip report

No rip report for Xy - Breakthrough

No published pull-rate study exists for this set, so there is nothing honest to simulate. We only rip sets whose per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study, and an inherited or inferred rate would put an invented number under every figure on this panel.

We publish a rip simulation only where per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study. Which sets have published pull rates counts what exists: 31 of the 110 English sets sold in booster packs, resting on eleven studies.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · +2.0% 30d · +6.9% 90d
2025-01-27$1,4402026-10-17

Breadth: 21 cards up · 16 down · 133 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Raichu BREAK (+97.8%).

Every Pokémon setXy - Breakthrough market reportPack opening simulatorSealed product pricesThe Most Expensive PSA 10 Pokémon Cards, Ranked on Sold Prices