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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskOctober 2026

XY3: Rising Fist

105 cards trackedenglish printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-10-17
Full set$415
Median card$1.99
30 days—
90 days—
Top 10 share63%
Priced83

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history40 recorded readings
All-time high$4392026-10-07
From that high−5.5%set value today
First recorded$415when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than23%9 of 40 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about XY3: Rising Fist

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 63% of the bill
10 cards · $262other 73 · $153

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$40
Seismitoad EX - 098/09601
Seismitoad EX - 098/096
0.0% 30d
$40
Heracross EX - 097/09602
Heracross EX - 097/096
+14.3% 30d
$35
Mega Heracross EX - 104/09603
Mega Heracross EX - 104/096
0.0% 30d
$34.5
Sylveon04
Sylveon
+12.4% 30d
$32
Mega Lucario EX - 053/09605
Mega Lucario EX - 053/096
−46.6% 30d
$27.49
Heracross - 005/09606
Heracross - 005/096
0.0% 30d
$19.99
Tyrantrum07
Tyrantrum
+300.6% 30d
$14.15
Dragonite EX - 069/09608
Dragonite EX - 069/096
+5.0% 30d
$9.75
Aurorus09
Aurorus
−1.2% 30d
$8.95
Hypno10
Hypno
0.0% 30d
Every card105 cards · 80 priced
No.CardRarityMarket
001/096BellsproutCommon$1.23
002/096WeepinbellCommon$0.99
003/096VictreebelRare$2.15
004/096Heracross EX - 004/096Double Rare$4.02
005/096Heracross - 005/096Double Rare$27.49
006/096ShroomishCommon$0.77
007/096LeafeonUncommon$5.14
008/096ShelmetCommon$0.48
009/096AccelgorCommon·
010/096MagmarCommon$1.14
011/096MagmortarUncommon$1.94
012/096TorchicCommon$2.00
013/096CombuskenCommon$1.49
014/096BlazikenRare$8.44
015/096PoliwagCommon$0.98
016/096PoliwhirlCommon$2.00
017/096PoliwrathRare$4.13
018/096PolitoedUncommon$2.94
019/096GlaceonUncommon$4.38
020/096Seismitoad EX - 020/096Double Rare$2.49
021/096CubchooCommon$1.15
022/096BearticUncommon·
023/096ClauncherCommon·
024/096ClawitzerRare$1.25
025/096AmauraCommon$2.78
026/096AurorusUncommon$9.75
027/096ElectabuzzCommon$1.55
028/096ElectivireUncommon$3.00
029/096PlusleCommon$3.27
030/096MinunCommon$3.49
031/096ThundurusUncommon$3.00
032/096DedenneUncommon$2.73
033/096DrowzeeCommon$1.00
034/096HypnoUncommon$8.95
035/096JynxUncommon$2.40
036/096SkorupiCommon·
037/096GothitaCommon$1.00
038/096GothoritaCommon$1.15
039/096GothitelleUncommon$1.99
040/096GolettCommon·
041/096GolurkUncommon$1.98
042/096MachopCommon$0.66
043/096MachokeCommon$0.57
044/096MachampRare$2.00
045/096HitmonleeCommon$1.23
046/096HitmonchanCommon$0.87
047/096HitmontopCommon$1.00
048/096BreloomUncommon$0.50
049/096MakuhitaCommon$0.21
050/096HariyamaUncommon$1.50
051/096TrapinchCommon$1.10
052/096Lucario EX - 052/096Double Rare$4.31
053/096Mega Lucario EX - 053/096Double Rare·
054/096MienfooCommon$0.24
055/096MienshaoCommon$0.98
056/096LandorusRare$2.00
057/096PanchamCommon$1.21
058/096TyruntCommon$4.99
059/096TyrantrumUncommon$19.99
060/096HawluchaRare$4.60
061/096DrapionUncommon·
062/096ScraggyCommon$4.00
063/096ScraftyCommon$1.02
064/096PangoroRare$5.00
065/096ClefairyCommon$1.66
066/096ClefableCommon$3.09
067/096SylveonRare$37.99
068/096KlefkiCommon$1.00
069/096Dragonite EX - 069/096Rare$13.80
070/096VibravaCommon$0.99
071/096FlygonUncommon$1.99
072/096NoivernRare$2.00
073/096LickitungCommon$1.96
074/096LickilickyCommon$2.98
075/096EeveeCommon$5.14
076/096SlakothCommon$0.99
077/096VigorothCommon·
078/096SlakingRare·
079/096PatratCommon$0.99
080/096WatchogCommon$0.99
081/096TornadusUncommon$1.49
082/096NoibatCommon$1.41
083/096Tool RetrieverUncommon·
084/096MaintenanceUncommon·
085/096Jaw FossilCommon$1.99
086/096Sail FossilCommon·
087/096Sparkling RobeUncommon·
088/096Focus SashUncommon$0.24
089/096Fossil Researcher - 089/096Uncommon$2.00
090/096Korrina - 090/096Uncommon·
091/096Battle Reporter - 091/096Uncommon$1.98
092/096Training CenterUncommon·
093/096Fighting StadiumUncommon·
094/096Mountain RingUncommon·
095/096Herbal EnergyUncommon·
096/096Strong EnergyUncommon·
097/096Heracross EX - 097/096Super Rare$40.00
098/096Seismitoad EX - 098/096Super Rare$40.00
099/096Lucario EX - 099/096Super Rare·
100/096Dragonite EX - 100/096Super Rare·
101/096Fossil Researcher - 101/096Super Rare·
102/096Korrina - 102/096Super Rare·
103/096Battle Reporter - 103/096Super Rare·
104/096Mega Heracross EX - 104/096Ultra Rare$35.00
105/096Mega Lucario EX - 105/096Ultra Rare·

Every XY3: Rising Fist card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

If you are building it

You can own 73 of the 83 priced cards in XY3: Rising Fist for about $153. The median card is $1.99. The remaining $262 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Seismitoad EX - 098/096, $40) is 10% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 37% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
The quant read40 recorded points · 40 days
Realized vol24%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-6.6%recorded window
Off recorded high-5.5%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.

Rip or hold
Rip report

No rip report for XY3: Rising Fist

No published pull-rate study exists for this set, so there is nothing honest to simulate. We only rip sets whose per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study, and an inherited or inferred rate would put an invented number under every figure on this panel.

We publish a rip simulation only where per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study. Which sets have published pull rates counts what exists: 31 of the 110 English sets sold in booster packs, resting on eleven studies.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · — 30d · — 90d
2026-09-07$4152026-10-17

Breadth: 14 cards up · 7 down · 62 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Tyrantrum (+300.6%).

Every Pokémon setXY3: Rising Fist market reportPack opening simulatorSealed product prices