Greninja ex Led Scarlet and Violet's Art Cards Lower, and It Took All Month

Greninja ex #214 from Twilight Masquerade started October 16 at $317.44 and finished November 14 at $231.41, the steepest fall of any Scarlet and Violet Special Illustration Rare that began the month above $20. On its worst day it lost no more than 14% of the total move, so the card gave up its value in small pieces across the whole window, with no bad afternoon anyone could point to and call a fluke.

I ranked the 108 cards in this rarity that cost $20 or more on October 16, using TCGplayer market prices on the first and last day of the window, and 102 of them got cheaper while the typical one in that group dropped 10.0%. For someone with these cards in a binder, how a card fell tells you as much as how far. I'd read a big loss that lands in one repricing as a possible thin day or a stray listing, whereas the same loss spread across a month looks to me like buyers settling a little lower each week, which is a harder thing to wait out. The cheap end of the rarity hardly moved, with cards that started between $1 and $5 down a typical 2.7%, so this is a story about the cards people paid up for.

Every card near the top slid. Of the 10, none lost its price in one sudden repricing, and the largest share any of them lost on its worst day was the 20% Gardevoir ex #245 from Scarlet & Violet gave up, while Zapdos ex #202 from 151 never lost more than 13% of its move in a day on the way from $82.77 to $63.51. Destined Rivals keeps turning up, and the priciest card on the whole ranking is its Mewtwo ex #231, which went from $361.97 to $285.31. Prismatic Evolutions is the other repeat name, through Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex #168, Dragapult ex #165 and Vaporeon ex #149, the last of which shed $49.90. The money lost across every card that got cheaper adds up to $1,252.92, and just five cards account for 29.1% of it.

Only 6 of the cards over $20 got more expensive, and most of those gains were too small to notice on a price tag. The exception is Pecharunt ex #93 from Shrouded Fable, which went from $23.12 to $26.17, up 13.2%, and did it steadily, the mirror image of how Greninja fell. Charizard ex #234 from Paldean Fates is up 1.6%, and most of that came on October 31, which makes it the rare card here whose move came mostly in a single day. The more useful surprise sits at the very top of the era. Umbreon ex #161 fell 6.5% to $1,186.84 and Mew ex #232 fell 5.1% to $819.75, both milder than the 10.0% drop that was typical above $20, and grading Umbreon still comes out $423.72 ahead of selling it raw, after fees on both. Sylveon ex #156 didn't get that cushion. It fell 15.5% to $375.70.

These never had a bad day to blame, just a steady drip of lower prices.

If you're holding Greninja or the Destined Rivals Mewtwo and treating the November 14 price as a dip that'll snap back, I don't think the path supports that reading. Greninja lost $86.03. These never had a bad day to blame, just a steady drip of lower prices, and I'd value copies at today's number rather than October's. Greninja is a $231.41 card this week, and nothing in how it got there looks like a pause before a rebound. Durant ex #236 from Surging Sparks, down 24.8% to $28.17, reads the same way at a much smaller price. It never had a crash day either. The cards I'd feel better about holding are the expensive pair at the top, Umbreon and Mew, which lost less than most and still pay to slab, along with that odd little Pecharunt, which climbed steadily while nearly everything else in the rarity went the other way.

Population: Special Illustration Rare cards from the Scarlet and Violet era, 167 English cards with a TCGplayer market price on both October 16, 2026 and November 14, 2026. Era bucket SV (the Scarlet and Violet era), rarity filter "Special Illustration Rare". Every move compares a card to itself on the same TCGplayer product, first day against last, before anything is ranked or summed; a set total is never compared across days. Prices are TCGplayer market prices for the flagship printing, read from our daily price file. Graded figures are sold medians from our graded comps, PSA population counts come from our daily registry snapshot, and the expected value counts the PSA 9 outcome as well as the PSA 10, net of the grading fee and selling costs. The expected value sits beside the raw price less the same eBay selling fee, so the two compare like with like. It counts copies that grade below a 9 at nothing and leaves out shipping to PSA and back. Angle: the steepest percentage falls above a price floor, each with how much of its fall landed in one day.