Moonstone Research · living report
The Thesis Scorecard
The Weekly Buys book vs its benchmarks, rule by rule · as of 2026-08-24 · regraded every Monday
+0.0%
Book return
equal-weight, since 2026-07-30
+2.9%
Pokémon Index
same window
+2.9%
S&P 500
same window
+24.0%
Crypto market
same window
The rules, graded
| Rule | Picks marked | Mean alpha vs index | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| momentum-cohort | 20 | -3.6% | under review |
| print-clock | 56 | -2.1% | under review |
| graded-ladder | 36 | -0.9% | watch |
| stamp-freeze | 4 | -2.0% | watch |
| sealed-ev | 4 | -2.0% | watch |
Best calls
Sinistcha ex - 210/167 — PSA 10 · 2026-W31+16.4%
Sinistcha ex - 210/167 — PSA 10 · 2026-W32+16.4%
Umbreon (Neo Discovery) — PSA 9 · 2026-W31+13.1%
Worst calls
Crispin (SIR) · 2026-W32-27.4%
Crispin (SIR) · 2026-W31-23.8%
Crispin (SIR) · 2026-W33-16.9%
Every pick is scored from its published entry price on its published date — never back-dated. A young book is reported as young, not extrapolated. A rule is marked “under review” only when six or more marked picks run negative alpha — the same evidence bar we hold price data to. Rule changes are announced here, on the record.