Charizard Base Set Market Report

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Charizard price and historyThe live card page: price, chart and graded ladder.All Base Set pricesEvery card in the set, priced off the same tape.Base Set set reportHow the whole set has moved and what leads it.Cards illustrated by Mitsuhiro AritaEverything this illustrator has drawn, with prices.This week's biggest moversThe widest recorded moves across the catalog.All market reportsEvery card and set we publish a dossier on.How our calls scoredThe public ledger of every call, win or lose.Every Pokémon setThe full set index, oldest to newest.

Other Charizard printings

Research citing this card

The Numbers We Do Not Print: 4,250 Withheld PopulationsMethodology · 7 min read
We Put a Price Target on the Whole Book. It Refused Four Cards in FiveQuant research · 7 min read
The Float: 1.1 Million Copies on the Shelf, a $17.5 Million Shelf Price, and the $3,500 Card With Nobody Selling ItMarket Structure · 9 min read
Hard to Gem: 22.8 Million PSA Slabs Say the Decade Decides, Texture Helps, and the PSA 10 Premium Runs the Other WayData forensics · 10 min read

What stands out

PSA population larger than 99% of the WOTC era.

Reference class: WOTC era. Percentiles are recomputed nightly, by disclosed rule, from recorded data across every tracked card.

Since our last editionEd. 1 · stamped 2026-10-08 · observed 2026-10-12

Since Edition 1 (Oct 8): registry +0.4%

The full edition ledger and every scored prior call are part of the full dossier. Nothing is reworded after stamping.

01The verdict block4 readings

What the fixed formulas say about the figures below, with the arithmetic shown.

Assay

Supportive1Context2Neutral1

Each stamp is one fixed formula applied identically to every card. Supportive and caution mark a reading that cuts the same way for anyone holding the card. Context marks a fact that is good news to a buyer and bad news to a holder, so the desk does not pick a side.

Registry inflowContext

STEADY INFLOW

New slabs a week against the recorded PSA population.

Market floatContext

TIGHT LISTED FLOAT

Active raw listings divided by the PSA population.

Gem-rate driftNeutral

DRIFT NEUTRAL

The recent gem share against the rate at the window start.

Character demandSupportive

CHARACTER BID

The species demand index, a weighted percentile across every tracked species.

Every verdict is a disclosed formula over recorded data, applied with the same fixed thresholds to every card. No discretionary price forecasting is used, and the arithmetic is printed so it can be reproduced.

moonstone Pro

The full Charizard dossier is sealed

Pro breaks the seal on our call: a stamped buy, hold, or sell and a 180-day target price on every rated card, each a disclosed formula over recorded data. Below is every section this dossier is holding back.

What this dossier is holding8 sealed sections

02
The call
The rating was refused on this card 2026-10-12 and the refusal states its reason; members read why in full.
03
The tape · verified sold medians
22 grades carry a verified sold median on this card, each with its sample size. Comps through 2026-10-12.
04
The registry
43 daily PSA population snapshots on file, 70 days of continuous history, drawn as a growth curve.
05
Sales velocity
33 grades carry a measured weekly sale rate, each over its own 17 day window.
06
Market sentiment
This card reads as a non-holo finish; the desk ranks that class and the species against every other.
07
The comparables
13 comparable cards across 2 reference sets, every row linked to its own dossier.
08
Analyst desk
A written thesis with its risks and watch list, authored 2026-10-09, every numeral machine-checked against the figures in this dossier before publish.
09
Since our last edition
Edition 1, its full deterministic changelog, and every prior call closed with a held or missed stamp.

See a full report, freeMew exPaldean Fates · open to everyone, nothing sealed

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1680 report editions stamped and 3501 dated calls on the clock, each with a falsifier written at stamp time and never edited. Counted 2026-10-12. How our calls scored

Charizard Base Set Market Report