Set deskNovember 2026
Phantasmal Flames
$960Full set−12.1% 30 days
The sum of every card's real TCGplayer price, recorded daily.
$0.19 Median card129 Priced
Recorded low$955October 31, 2026All-time high$1,189September 8, 2026
From that high−19.3%set value today
First recorded$1,189when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than4%2 of 56 recorded days were cheaper
Realized vol12%annualized, 56 days of daily returns
Max drawdown−19.7%recorded window
How these are measured
Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.
Ask about Phantasmal Flames
Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.
Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.
10 cards$878other 124$82
The short, expensive tail of the set.
This split counts the 134 cards TCGplayer prices in this set; the card index below lists the 129 in our catalog.
If you are building it
You can own 124 of the 134 priced cards in Phantasmal Flames for about $82. The median card is $0.19. The remaining $878 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094, $584) is 61% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 9% and then a very short, very expensive tail.
Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094$584−12.3% 30d
Mega Charizard X ex - 130/094$185−21.3% 30d
Mega Charizard X ex - 109/094$20.86+11.0% 30d
Dawn - 129/094$17.23+0.2% 30d
Mega Sharpedo ex - 127/094$17.12+7.2% 30d
Meowth$14.57+4.0% 30d
Mega Lopunny ex - 128/094$11.75−9.8% 30d
Piplup - 098/094$10.91−11.2% 30d
Rotom ex - 126/094$10.84−19.9% 30d
Dawn - 118/094$5.74+25.6% 30d
| No. | Card | Market |
|---|---|---|
| 001/94 | OddishCommon | $0.13 |
| 002/94 | GloomCommon | $0.15 |
| 003/94 | VileplumeRare | $0.17 |
| 004/94 | Mega Heracross exDouble rare | $0.60 |
| 005/94 | LotadCommon | $0.16 |
| 006/94 | LombreCommon | $0.15 |
| 007/94 | LudicoloUncommon | $0.12 |
| 008/94 | GenesectRare | $0.16 |
| 009/94 | NymbleCommon | $0.14 |
| 010/94 | LokixUncommon | $0.10 |
| 011/94 | CharmanderCommon | $0.18 |
| 012/94 | CharmeleonCommon | $0.21 |
| 013/94 | Mega Charizard X exDouble rare | $4.49 |
| 014/94 | MoltresRare | $0.26 |
| 015/94 | DarumakaCommon | $0.12 |
| 016/94 | DarmanitanUncommon | $0.06 |
| 017/94 | ReshiramRare | $0.19 |
| 018/94 | Oricorio exDouble rare | $0.64 |
| 019/94 | CharcadetCommon | $0.18 |
| 020/94 | CeruledgeUncommon | $0.14 |
| 021/94 | SeelCommon | $0.13 |
| 022/94 | DewgongCommon | $0.06 |
| 023/94 | SwinubCommon | $0.06 |
| 024/94 | PiloswineCommon | $0.12 |
| 025/94 | MamoswineUncommon | $0.15 |
| 026/94 | SuicuneRare | $0.18 |
| 027/94 | PiplupCommon | $0.23 |
| 028/94 | PrinplupCommon | $0.11 |
| 029/94 | Rotom exDouble rare | · |
| 030/94 | YamperCommon | $0.17 |
| 031/94 | BoltundCommon | $0.08 |
| 032/94 | PawmiCommon | $0.13 |
| 033/94 | PawmoCommon | $0.05 |
| 034/94 | PawmotRare | $0.13 |
| 035/94 | MisdreavusCommon | $0.18 |
| 036/94 | Mismagius exDouble rare | $0.55 |
| 037/94 | SnubbullCommon | $0.12 |
| 038/94 | GranbullUncommon | $0.06 |
| 039/94 | CresseliaUncommon | $0.13 |
| 040/94 | MeloettaUncommon | $0.11 |
| 041/94 | Mega Diancie exDouble rare | $0.65 |
| 042/94 | MimikyuCommon | $0.25 |
| 043/94 | MilceryCommon | $0.09 |
| 044/94 | AlcremieUncommon | $0.16 |
| 045/94 | ZacianRare | $0.16 |
| 046/94 | BramblinCommon | $0.15 |
| 047/94 | BrambleghastUncommon | $0.07 |
| 048/94 | Paldean TaurosUncommon | $0.16 |
| 049/94 | GligarCommon | $0.10 |
| 050/94 | GliscorUncommon | $0.11 |
| 051/94 | TrapinchCommon | $0.07 |
| 052/94 | VibravaCommon | $0.12 |
| 053/94 | FlygonRare | $0.16 |
| 054/94 | GastlyCommon | $0.21 |
| 055/94 | HaunterUncommon | $0.19 |
| 056/94 | Mega Gengar exDouble rare | $1.78 |
| 057/94 | MurkrowCommon | $0.17 |
| 058/94 | HonchkrowUncommon | $0.05 |
| 059/94 | SableyeCommon | $0.16 |
| 060/94 | CarvanhaCommon | $0.21 |
| 061/94 | Mega Sharpedo exDouble rare | $0.68 |
| 062/94 | SeviperUncommon | $0.14 |
| 063/94 | AbsolCommon | $0.17 |
| 064/94 | SandileCommon | $0.07 |
| 065/94 | KrokorokCommon | $0.13 |
| 066/94 | KrookodileUncommon | $0.06 |
| 067/94 | ToxelCommon | $0.26 |
| 068/94 | ToxtricityRare | $0.43 |
| 069/94 | EternatusUncommon | $0.18 |
| 070/94 | Empoleon exDouble rare | $0.56 |
| 071/94 | BronzorCommon | $0.06 |
| 072/94 | BronzongUncommon | $0.11 |
| 073/94 | TogedemaruCommon | $0.09 |
| 074/94 | DuraludonCommon | $0.14 |
| 075/94 | ArchaludonUncommon | $0.08 |
| 076/94 | JigglypuffCommon | $0.21 |
| 077/94 | WigglytuffUncommon | $0.19 |
| 078/94 | AipomCommon | $0.14 |
| 079/94 | AmbipomRare | $0.11 |
| 080/94 | SmeargleCommon | $0.09 |
| 081/94 | ZigzagoonCommon | $0.14 |
| 082/94 | LinooneUncommon | $0.09 |
| 083/94 | BunearyCommon | $0.19 |
| 084/94 | Mega Lopunny exDouble rare | $0.65 |
| 085/94 | Battle CageUncommon | $0.24 |
| 086/94 | BlowtorchUncommon | $0.13 |
| 087/94 | DawnUncommon | $1.75 |
| 088/94 | Dizzying ValleyUncommon | $0.16 |
| 089/94 | FirebreatherUncommon | $0.16 |
| 090/94 | Grimsley's MoveUncommon | $0.19 |
| 091/94 | Jumbo Ice CreamUncommon | $0.18 |
| 092/94 | Punk HelmetUncommon | $0.20 |
| 093/94 | Sacred CharmUncommon | $0.18 |
| 094/94 | Wondrous PatchUncommon | $0.21 |
| 095/94 | LudicoloIllustration rare | $1.94 |
| 096/94 | NymbleIllustration rare | $1.55 |
| 097/94 | DewgongIllustration rare | $3.84 |
| 098/94 | PiplupIllustration rare | $10.91 |
| 099/94 | YamperIllustration rare | $3.51 |
| 100/94 | ZacianIllustration rare | $3.65 |
| 101/94 | FlygonIllustration rare | $4.41 |
| 102/94 | Paldean WooperIllustration rare | $3.53 |
| 103/94 | ToxtricityIllustration rare | $1.98 |
| 104/94 | TogedemaruIllustration rare | $2.17 |
| 105/94 | WigglytuffIllustration rare | $4.66 |
| 106/94 | MeowthIllustration rare | $14.57 |
| 107/94 | AmbipomIllustration rare | $2.01 |
| 108/94 | Mega Heracross exUltra Rare | $2.05 |
| 109/94 | Mega Charizard X exUltra Rare | $20.86 |
| 110/94 | Oricorio exUltra Rare | $1.01 |
| 111/94 | Rotom exUltra Rare | $1.19 |
| 112/94 | Mismagius exUltra Rare | $1.52 |
| 113/94 | Mega Sharpedo exUltra Rare | $2.71 |
| 114/94 | Empoleon exUltra Rare | $1.61 |
| 115/94 | Mega Lopunny exUltra Rare | $1.62 |
| 116/94 | Battle CageUltra Rare | $1.32 |
| 117/94 | BlowtorchUltra Rare | $0.57 |
| 118/94 | DawnUltra Rare | $5.74 |
| 119/94 | FirebreatherUltra Rare | $0.78 |
| 120/94 | Grimsley's MoveUltra Rare | $0.97 |
| 121/94 | Punk HelmetUltra Rare | $0.90 |
| 122/94 | Sacred CharmUltra Rare | $0.63 |
| 123/94 | SwitchUltra Rare | $1.21 |
| 124/94 | Ignition EnergyUltra Rare | $1.65 |
| 125/94 | Mega Charizard X exSpecial illustration rare | $584.09 |
| 126/94 | Rotom exSpecial illustration rare | $10.84 |
| 127/94 | Mega Sharpedo exSpecial illustration rare | $17.12 |
| 128/94 | Mega Lopunny exSpecial illustration rare | $11.75 |
| 129/94 | DawnSpecial illustration rare | $17.23 |
| 130/94 | Mega Charizard X exMega Hyper Rare | $184.70 |
Show all 130Show fewer
Every Phantasmal Flames card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.
- chase card · Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094$584.09
- sealed booster box · Phantasmal Flames$388.28
Pricier than the box
The single most valuable card in this set costs $195.81 more than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, quoted October 31, 2026.
150.4% of the box. Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.
The chase, priced in packsMega Charizard X ex ($584.09) lands about once per 400 packs · ~11.1 booster boxes · $4,314 of packs at today's box price
| Tier | Odds per pack | Expected per box |
|---|---|---|
| Double rare (ex) | 1 in 5 | 7.2 |
| Ultra rare (full art) | 1 in 12 | 3 |
| Illustration rare | 1 in 9 | 4 |
| Special illustration rare | 1 in 80 | 0.45 |
| Hyper rare (gold) | 1 in 1260 | 0.03 |
Where these odds come from
Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (5,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.
Cheapest recorded route to packsPhantasmal Flames Booster Box $10.79/pack
Biggest 30-day movePhantasmal Flames Booster Bundle −14.6%
Show all 23Show fewer
Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes
Should you rip Phantasmal Flames?
9.0%
of boxes beat the $388 box price
- Bottom 5%$71
- Median box$96
- Expected value$155
- Top 5%$674
Where 10,000 boxes landed
88.4%$0-175
2.6%$175-350
0.1%$350-525
7.4%$525-700
1.0%$700-875
0.1%$875-1050
0.0%$1050-1225
0.4%$1225-1400
Red buckets end below the $388 box price. 88.4% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.7% doubled it.
How the simulation works, tier by tier
We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Phantasmal Flames using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($388, $10.79/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 40.0% of the box ask on average.
What a box actually pulls (sim average)
| Hit tier | Published rate | Pool | Avg / box | Mean value | Best case |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special illustration rare | 1-in-80 | 5 | 0.45 | $128.03 | Mega Charizard X ex ($583) |
| Illustration rare | 1-in-9 | 13 | 3.97 | $4.51 | Meowth ($15) |
| Ultra rare (full art) | 1-in-12 | 17 | 3 | $2.63 | Mega Charizard X ex ($21) |
| Double rare (ex) | 1-in-5 | 10 | 7.19 | $0.97 | Mega Charizard X ex ($4) |
| Mega hyper rare (gold) | 1-in-1260 | 1 | 0.03 | $183.83 | Mega Charizard X ex ($184) |
Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $388 box price (Phantasmal Flames Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: all 5 rates were measured on this set's own packs (tcgplayer.com, 5,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 44.8% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $57 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (127 of 130 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.
Breadth: 53 cards up · 60 down · 20 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Mega Sharpedo ex - 113/094 (+37.7%).