Set deskNovember 2026

Evolving Skies

237 cards trackedEnglish printsUngradedTCGplayer marketas of November 1, 2026

$7,921Full set−2.4% 30 days

September 7, 2026November 1, 2026

The sum of every card's real TCGplayer price, recorded daily.

$0.33 Median card237 Priced

Set Market Report Pro

Where it sits in its own history56 recorded readings

$7,921 last reading

Recorded low$7,815October 29, 2026All-time high$8,303September 10, 2026

From that high−4.6%set value today

First recorded$8,243when we started tracking, not a release

Dearer than13%7 of 56 recorded days were cheaper

Realized vol10%annualized, 56 days of daily returns

Max drawdown−5.9%recorded window

How these are measured

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.

Ask about Evolving Skies

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 80% of the bill

Every one of them is a chase print.

If you are building it

You can own 227 of the 237 priced cards in Evolving Skies for about $1,612. The median card is $0.33. The remaining $6,309 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret), $2,299) is 29% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 20% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Chase laddertop 10 by price

Every card237 cards · 237 priced

No.	Card	Rarity	Market
1/203	PinsirRare	Rare	$0.17
2/203	HoppipCommon	Common	$0.14
3/203	SkiploomUncommon	Uncommon	$0.14
4/203	JumpluffHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.29
5/203	SeedotCommon	Common	$0.09
6/203	TropiusRare	Rare	$0.21
7/203	Leafeon VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$3.69
8/203	Leafeon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$9.09
9/203	PetililCommon	Common	$0.08
10/203	LilligantRare	Rare	$0.25
11/203	DwebbleCommon	Common	$0.14
12/203	CrustleUncommon	Uncommon	$0.13
13/203	Trevenant VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$0.77
14/203	Trevenant VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$1.61
15/203	GossifleurCommon	Common	$0.07
16/203	EldegossHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.31
17/203	ApplinCommon	Common	$0.16
18/203	Flareon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$12.07
19/203	EnteiHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.34
20/203	VictiniHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.33
21/203	Volcarona VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$1.04
22/203	LitleoCommon	Common	$0.14
23/203	PyroarUncommon	Uncommon	$0.12
24/203	PsyduckCommon	Common	$0.32
25/203	GolduckUncommon	Uncommon	$0.15
26/203	TentacoolCommon	Common	$0.13
27/203	TentacruelUncommon	Uncommon	$0.19
28/203	Gyarados VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$2.94
29/203	Gyarados VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$8.80
30/203	Vaporeon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$11.27
31/203	Suicune VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$1.40
32/203	LotadCommon	Common	$0.21
33/203	LombreUncommon	Uncommon	$0.11
34/203	LudicoloHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.35
35/203	CarvanhaCommon	Common	$0.10
36/203	SharpedoRare	Rare	$0.22
37/203	FeebasCommon	Common	$0.16
38/203	MiloticRare	Rare	$0.20
39/203	LuvdiscCommon	Common	$0.03
40/203	Glaceon VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$2.59
41/203	Glaceon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$8.06
42/203	TympoleCommon	Common	$0.03
43/203	CryogonalCommon	Common	$0.04
44/203	BergmiteCommon	Common	$0.04
45/203	AvaluggUncommon	Uncommon	$0.10
46/203	WishiwashiRare	Rare	$0.13
47/203	EiscueUncommon	Uncommon	$0.16
48/203	Arctovish VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$1.02
49/203	PikachuCommon	Common	$0.36
50/203	RaichuHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.51
51/203	Jolteon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$10.74
52/203	ChinchouCommon	Common	$0.09
53/203	LanturnUncommon	Uncommon	$0.09
54/203	MareepCommon	Common	$0.15
55/203	FlaaffyUncommon	Uncommon	$0.24
56/203	AmpharosRare	Rare	$0.23
57/203	EmolgaCommon	Common	$0.09
58/203	Dracozolt VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$1.00
59/203	Dracozolt VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$1.74
60/203	RegielekiHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.41
61/203	DrowzeeCommon	Common	$0.05
62/203	HypnoUncommon	Uncommon	$0.03
63/203	Galarian ArticunoHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.46
64/203	Espeon VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$2.92
65/203	Espeon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$15.85
66/203	WobbuffetCommon	Common	$0.11
67/203	SableyeCommon	Common	$0.19
68/203	WoobatCommon	Common	$0.19
69/203	SwoobatUncommon	Uncommon	$0.05
70/203	Golurk VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$0.91
71/203	FlabébéCommon	Common	$0.07
72/203	FloetteUncommon	Uncommon	$0.13
73/203	FlorgesHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.28
74/203	Sylveon VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$6.20
75/203	Sylveon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$19.05
76/203	PumpkabooCommon	Common	$0.20
77/203	GourgeistRare	Rare	$0.23
78/203	CutieflyCommon	Common	$0.11
79/203	RibombeeUncommon	Uncommon	$0.17
80/203	MarshadowHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.29
81/203	HitmonchanCommon	Common	$0.10
82/203	Galarian ZapdosHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.43
83/203	Medicham VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$0.77
84/203	HippopotasCommon	Common	$0.08
85/203	HippowdonUncommon	Uncommon	$0.10
86/203	RoggenrolaCommon	Common	$0.13
87/203	BoldoreUncommon	Uncommon	$0.14
88/203	GigalithRare	Rare	$0.12
89/203	PalpitoadUncommon	Uncommon	$0.05
90/203	SeismitoadRare	Rare	$0.17
91/203	Lycanroc VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$0.95
92/203	Lycanroc VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$2.51
93/203	Galarian MoltresHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.48
94/203	Umbreon VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$8.11
95/203	Umbreon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$29.49
96/203	NuzleafUncommon	Uncommon	$0.05
97/203	ShiftryRare	Rare	$0.13
98/203	ScraggyCommon	Common	$0.14
99/203	ScraftyUncommon	Uncommon	$0.16
100/203	Garbodor VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$1.09
101/203	Garbodor VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$2.16
102/203	ZoruaCommon	Common	$0.15
103/203	ZoroarkHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.33
104/203	NickitCommon	Common	$0.11
105/203	ThievulRare	Rare	$0.13
106/203	AltariaRare	Rare	$0.21
107/203	BagonCommon	Common	$0.08
108/203	ShelgonUncommon	Uncommon	$0.22
109/203	SalamenceHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.61
110/203	Rayquaza VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$2.59
111/203	Rayquaza VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$13.20
112/203	DialgaHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.24
113/203	DeinoCommon	Common	$0.17
114/203	ZweilousUncommon	Uncommon	$0.18
115/203	HydreigonHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.34
116/203	KyuremHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.29
117/203	Noivern VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$0.88
118/203	ZygardeHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.38
119/203	DrampaRare	Rare	$0.22
120/203	FlappleRare	Rare	$0.16
121/203	AppletunRare	Rare	$0.21
122/203	Duraludon VHolo Rare V	Holo Rare V	$0.75
123/203	Duraludon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$1.37
124/203	RegidragoHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.25
125/203	EeveeCommon	Common	$0.41
126/203	TeddiursaCommon	Common	$0.20
127/203	UrsaringUncommon	Uncommon	$0.14
128/203	SmeargleRare	Rare	$0.22
129/203	SlakothCommon	Common	$0.14
130/203	VigorothUncommon	Uncommon	$0.07
131/203	SlakingHolo Rare	Holo Rare	$0.28
132/203	SwabluCommon	Common	$0.16
133/203	LillipupCommon	Common	$0.13
134/203	HerdierUncommon	Uncommon	$0.11
135/203	StoutlandRare	Rare	$0.23
136/203	RuffletCommon	Common	$0.14
137/203	BraviaryUncommon	Uncommon	$0.03
138/203	FletchlingCommon	Common	$0.04
139/203	FletchinderUncommon	Uncommon	$0.06
140/203	TalonflameRare	Rare	$0.19
141/203	Aroma LadyUncommon	Uncommon	$0.10
142/203	Boost ShakeUncommon	Uncommon	$0.13
143/203	CopycatUncommon	Uncommon	$0.09
144/203	Crystal CaveUncommon	Uncommon	$0.14
145/203	Digging GlovesUncommon	Uncommon	$0.08
146/203	Dream BallUncommon	Uncommon	$0.17
147/203	Elemental BadgeUncommon	Uncommon	$0.08
148/203	Full Face GuardUncommon	Uncommon	$0.04
149/203	GordieUncommon	Uncommon	$0.12
150/203	Lucky Ice PopUncommon	Uncommon	$0.11
151/203	Moon & Sun BadgeUncommon	Uncommon	$0.11
152/203	RaihanUncommon	Uncommon	$0.23
153/203	Rapid Strike Scroll of the Flying DragonUncommon	Uncommon	$0.04
154/203	Rescue CarrierUncommon	Uncommon	$0.15
155/203	Ribbon BadgeUncommon	Uncommon	$0.15
156/203	Rubber GlovesUncommon	Uncommon	$0.08
157/203	Shopping CenterUncommon	Uncommon	$0.13
158/203	Single Strike Scroll of the Fanged DragonUncommon	Uncommon	$0.07
159/203	Snow Leaf BadgeUncommon	Uncommon	$0.11
160/203	Spirit MaskUncommon	Uncommon	$0.09
161/203	Stormy MountainsUncommon	Uncommon	$0.28
162/203	Switching CupsUncommon	Uncommon	$0.09
163/203	Toy CatcherUncommon	Uncommon	$0.07
164/203	Zinnia's ResolveUncommon	Uncommon	$0.13
165/203	Treasure EnergyUncommon	Uncommon	$0.14
166/203	Leafeon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$23.37
167/203	Leafeon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$135.60
168/203	Trevenant VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$3.52
169/203	Flareon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$20.92
170/203	Volcarona VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$6.73
171/203	Gyarados VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$18.95
172/203	Vaporeon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$27.26
173/203	Suicune VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$9.55
174/203	Glaceon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$25.22
175/203	Glaceon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$148.40
176/203	Arctovish VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$3.11
177/203	Jolteon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$18.33
178/203	Dracozolt VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$4.70
179/203	Espeon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$26.68
180/203	Espeon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$225.61
181/203	Golurk VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$4.03
182/203	Golurk VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$34.87
183/203	Sylveon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$39.33
184/203	Sylveon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$190.51
185/203	Medicham VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$2.20
186/203	Medicham VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$17.58
187/203	Lycanroc VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$4.10
188/203	Umbreon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$50.31
189/203	Umbreon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$376.02
190/203	Garbodor VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$4.93
191/203	Dragonite VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$37.99
192/203	Dragonite VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$478.56
193/203	Rayquaza VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$64.41
194/203	Rayquaza VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$471.27
195/203	Noivern VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$5.72
196/203	Noivern VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$76.53
197/203	Duraludon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$2.39
198/203	Duraludon VUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$17.26
199/203	Aroma LadyUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$12.01
200/203	CopycatUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$2.40
201/203	GordieUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$1.99
202/203	RaihanUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$6.82
203/203	Zinnia's ResolveUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$5.19
204/203	Leafeon VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$43.24
205/203	Leafeon VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$373.32
206/203	Trevenant VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$7.34
207/203	Gyarados VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$45.87
208/203	Glaceon VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$37.06
209/203	Glaceon VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$291.37
210/203	Dracozolt VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$7.83
211/203	Sylveon VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$54.01
212/203	Sylveon VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$361.50
213/203	Lycanroc VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$10.31
214/203	Umbreon VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$81.87
215/203	Umbreon VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$2,298.95
216/203	Garbodor VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$9.45
217/203	Rayquaza VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$103.79
218/203	Rayquaza VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$1,241.76
219/203	Duraludon VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$6.80
220/203	Duraludon VMAXSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$14.51
221/203	Aroma LadySecret Rare	Secret Rare	$6.38
222/203	CopycatSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$4.97
223/203	GordieSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$3.53
224/203	RaihanSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$5.59
225/203	Zinnia's ResolveSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$6.73
226/203	FroslassSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$9.58
227/203	InteleonSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$9.98
228/203	CresseliaSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$13.74
229/203	Boost ShakeSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$2.32
230/203	Crystal CaveSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$4.35
231/203	Full Face GuardSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$2.23
232/203	Stormy MountainsSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$4.23
233/203	Toy CatcherSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$2.44
234/203	Turffield StadiumSecret Rare	Secret Rare	$4.21
235/203	Lightning EnergySecret Rare	Secret Rare	$8.18
236/203	Darkness EnergySecret Rare	Secret Rare	$19.23
237/203	Metal EnergySecret Rare	Secret Rare	$10.77

Show all 237Show fewer

Every Evolving Skies card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

Advisor read

Card vs box+7.1% vs the box

chase card · Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)$2,298.95
sealed booster box · Evolving Skies$2,147.19

Pricier than the box

The single most valuable card in this set costs $151.76 more than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, quoted October 31, 2026.

107.1% of the box. Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

Pull ratesmeasured

The chase, priced in packsUmbreon VMAX ($2,298.95) lands about once per 2,000 packs · ~55.6 booster boxes · $119,288 of packs at today's box price

Tier	Odds per pack	Cards in tier	Expected per box
Any V	1 in 9	·	4
Any VMAX	1 in 18	·	2
Full Art	1 in 36	·	1
Alt-art V	1 in 91	·	0.4
Rainbow rare	1 in 118	·	0.31
Gold rare	1 in 109	·	0.33
Alt-art VMAX	1 in 332	·	0.11

Where these odds come from

Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (packs opened Aug 2021) (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.

The product desk22 products · 9 lots

Cheapest recorded route to packsEvolving Skies Booster Pack $42.88/pack

Biggest 30-day moveEvolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Umbreon] +11.8%

	Product	Price	Family	Packs	$/pack	30d
01	Evolving Skies Booster Box	$2,147.19	Booster Box	36	$59.64	−5.8%
02	Evolving Skies Half Booster Box	$1,595.00	Half Box	·	·	·
03	Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Glaceon/Vaporeon/Sylveon/Espeon] (Exclusive)	$1,115.49	ETB (Pokémon Center)	·	·	+5.0%
04	Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Jolteon/Flareon/Umbreon/Leafeon] (Exclusive)	$1,087.99	ETB (Pokémon Center)	·	·	+1.2%
05	Evolving Skies Build & Battle Stadium	$658.47	Build & Battle	·	·	+0.1%
06	Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Flareon/Jolteon/Umbreon/Leafeon]	$552.57	Elite Trainer Box	·	·	−3.3%
07	Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Glaceon/Vaporeon/Sylveon/Espeon]	$457.02	Elite Trainer Box	·	·	−6.9%
08	Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box	$329.50	Build & Battle	·	·	−1.1%
09	Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Umbreon]	$279.42	Blister	·	·	+11.8%
10	Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Eiscue]	$223.31	Blister	·	·	0.0%
11	Evolving Skies 3 Pack Hanger Box	$191.24	Hanger Box	·	·	+10.6%
12	Mewtwo V-UNION Special Collection	$186.24	Collection	·	·	+1.8%
13	Greninja V-UNION Special Collection	$146.93	Collection	·	·	+10.4%
14	Zacian V-UNION Special Collection	$122.49	Collection	·	·	+3.8%
15	Evolving Skies Premium Checklane Blister [Houndoom]	$101.00	Blister	·	·	−1.6%
16	Evolving Skies Single Pack Blister [Eevee]	$86.69	Blister	·	·	+6.9%
17	Evolving Skies Single Pack Blister [Galarian Slowpoke]	$72.59	Blister	·	·	−3.7%
18	Evolving Skies Single Pack Blister [Octillery]	$59.00	Blister	·	·	0.0%
19	Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack	$57.44	Booster Pack	1	$57.44	−3.4%
20	Evolving Skies Premium Checklane Blister [Emboar]	$54.95	Blister	·	·	0.0%
21	Evolving Skies Premium Checklane Blister [Luxray]	$49.99	Blister	·	·	·
22	Evolving Skies Booster Pack	$42.88	Booster Pack	1	$42.88	−4.1%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
	Evolving Skies Booster Box Case	$16,800.00	Booster BoxLot	·	·	·
	Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box Case	$5,600.00	Elite Trainer BoxLot	·	·	0.0%
	Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box Display	$2,750.00	Build & BattleLot	·	·	·
	Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] (Exclusive)	$2,250.60	ETB (Pokémon Center)Lot	·	·	−1.3%
	Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2]	$1,104.08	Elite Trainer BoxLot	·	·	+1.3%
	Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack Bundle [Set of 8]	$541.16	Booster PackLot	·	·	−1.9%
	V-UNION Special Collection [Set of 3]	$376.13	CollectionLot	·	·	+1.9%
	Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$256.34	Booster PackLot	·	·	+3.3%
	Evolving Skies Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$169.04	Booster PackLot	·	·	+0.7%

Show all 31Show fewer

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold

Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Evolving Skies?

2.0%

of boxes beat the $2,147 box price

$2,147 box price

Bottom 5%$69
Median box$134
Expected value$284
Top 5%$849

Where 10,000 boxes landed

89.3%

$0-575

6.9%

$575-1150

1.6%

$1150-1725

0.6%

$1725-2300

1.5%

$2300-2875

0.1%

$2875-3450

0.0%

$3450-4025

0.0%

$4025-4600

Red buckets end below the $2,147 box price. 96.1% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.0% doubled it.

How the simulation works, tier by tier

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Evolving Skies using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($2,147, $59.64/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 13.2% of the box ask on average.

What a box actually pulls (sim average)

Hit tier	Published rate	Pool	Avg / box	Mean value	Best case
Full-art V	1-in-36 (2.78% +/- 0.35%)	33	0.98	$77.95	Dragonite V ($479)
Gold secret rare	1-in-109 (0.91% +/- 0.20%)	34	0.32	$147.65	Umbreon VMAX ($2,210)
Rainbow rare	1-in-118 (0.84% +/- 0.19%)	34	0.31	$147.65	Umbreon VMAX ($2,210)
Alt-art V	1-in-91 (1.10% +/- 0.22%)	33	0.39	$77.95	Dragonite V ($479)
VMAX / VSTAR	1-in-18 (5.60% +/- 0.48%)	15	2.02	$9.71	Umbreon VMAX ($30)
Pokemon V	1-in-9 (10.56% +/- 0.65%)	18	3.79	$2.14	Umbreon V ($8)
Full-art Trainer	1-in-70 (1.42%) (inherited)	5	0.51	$5.67	Aroma Lady ($12)
Alt-art VMAX	1-in-332 (0.30% +/- 0.12%)	15	0.1	$9.71	Umbreon VMAX ($30)

Rows that repeat a pool are not a duplication: our catalog files full-art and alt-art V under one rarity, and rainbow and gold secrets under another, so the two published rates roll separately over the same cards.

Not simulated. Radiant rare: rated at 1-in-20 (5.01%) by the study, but our catalog holds no card of this tier for this set. A tier nobody has published a rate for is left out rather than folded into a neighboring tier.

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $2,147 box price (Evolving Skies Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: 7 of 8 rates were measured on this set; the rest are inherited from an era study of 8,000+ packs, not measured on this set (the study opened packs of Lost Origin) (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs, TCGplayer Authentication Center, August 2021, 95% CI). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 60.4% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $50 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (235 of 237 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Breadth: 89 cards up · 106 down · 39 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Lycanroc VMAX (+43.4%).

No.

Card

Rarity

Market

1/203

PinsirRare

Rare

$0.17

2/203

HoppipCommon

Common

$0.14

3/203

SkiploomUncommon

Uncommon

$0.14

4/203

JumpluffHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.29

5/203

SeedotCommon

Common

$0.09

6/203

TropiusRare

Rare

$0.21

7/203

Leafeon VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$3.69

8/203

Leafeon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$9.09

9/203

PetililCommon

Common

$0.08

10/203

LilligantRare

Rare

$0.25

11/203

DwebbleCommon

Common

$0.14

12/203

CrustleUncommon

Uncommon

$0.13

13/203

Trevenant VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$0.77

14/203

Trevenant VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$1.61

15/203

GossifleurCommon

Common

$0.07

16/203

EldegossHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.31

17/203

ApplinCommon

Common

$0.16

18/203

Flareon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$12.07

19/203

EnteiHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.34

20/203

VictiniHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.33

21/203

Volcarona VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$1.04

22/203

LitleoCommon

Common

$0.14

23/203

PyroarUncommon

Uncommon

$0.12

24/203

PsyduckCommon

Common

$0.32

25/203

GolduckUncommon

Uncommon

$0.15

26/203

TentacoolCommon

Common

$0.13

27/203

TentacruelUncommon

Uncommon

$0.19

28/203

Gyarados VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$2.94

29/203

Gyarados VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$8.80

30/203

Vaporeon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$11.27

31/203

Suicune VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$1.40

32/203

LotadCommon

Common

$0.21

33/203

LombreUncommon

Uncommon

$0.11

34/203

LudicoloHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.35

35/203

CarvanhaCommon

Common

$0.10

36/203

SharpedoRare

Rare

$0.22

37/203

FeebasCommon

Common

$0.16

38/203

MiloticRare

Rare

$0.20

39/203

LuvdiscCommon

Common

$0.03

40/203

Glaceon VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$2.59

41/203

Glaceon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$8.06

42/203

TympoleCommon

Common

$0.03

43/203

CryogonalCommon

Common

$0.04

44/203

BergmiteCommon

Common

$0.04

45/203

AvaluggUncommon

Uncommon

$0.10

46/203

WishiwashiRare

Rare

$0.13

47/203

EiscueUncommon

Uncommon

$0.16

48/203

Arctovish VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$1.02

49/203

PikachuCommon

Common

$0.36

50/203

RaichuHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.51

51/203

Jolteon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$10.74

52/203

ChinchouCommon

Common

$0.09

53/203

LanturnUncommon

Uncommon

$0.09

54/203

MareepCommon

Common

$0.15

55/203

FlaaffyUncommon

Uncommon

$0.24

56/203

AmpharosRare

Rare

$0.23

57/203

EmolgaCommon

Common

$0.09

58/203

Dracozolt VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$1.00

59/203

Dracozolt VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$1.74

60/203

RegielekiHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.41

61/203

DrowzeeCommon

Common

$0.05

62/203

HypnoUncommon

Uncommon

$0.03

63/203

Galarian ArticunoHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.46

64/203

Espeon VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$2.92

65/203

Espeon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$15.85

66/203

WobbuffetCommon

Common

$0.11

67/203

SableyeCommon

Common

$0.19

68/203

WoobatCommon

Common

$0.19

69/203

SwoobatUncommon

Uncommon

$0.05

70/203

Golurk VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$0.91

71/203

FlabébéCommon

Common

$0.07

72/203

FloetteUncommon

Uncommon

$0.13

73/203

FlorgesHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.28

74/203

Sylveon VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$6.20

75/203

Sylveon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$19.05

76/203

PumpkabooCommon

Common

$0.20

77/203

GourgeistRare

Rare

$0.23

78/203

CutieflyCommon

Common

$0.11

79/203

RibombeeUncommon

Uncommon

$0.17

80/203

MarshadowHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.29

81/203

HitmonchanCommon

Common

$0.10

82/203

Galarian ZapdosHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.43

83/203

Medicham VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$0.77

84/203

HippopotasCommon

Common

$0.08

85/203

HippowdonUncommon

Uncommon

$0.10

86/203

RoggenrolaCommon

Common

$0.13

87/203

BoldoreUncommon

Uncommon

$0.14

88/203

GigalithRare

Rare

$0.12

89/203

PalpitoadUncommon

Uncommon

$0.05

90/203

SeismitoadRare

Rare

$0.17

91/203

Lycanroc VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$0.95

92/203

Lycanroc VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$2.51

93/203

Galarian MoltresHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.48

94/203

Umbreon VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$8.11

95/203

Umbreon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$29.49

96/203

NuzleafUncommon

Uncommon

$0.05

97/203

ShiftryRare

Rare

$0.13

98/203

ScraggyCommon

Common

$0.14

99/203

ScraftyUncommon

Uncommon

$0.16

100/203

Garbodor VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$1.09

101/203

Garbodor VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$2.16

102/203

ZoruaCommon

Common

$0.15

103/203

ZoroarkHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.33

104/203

NickitCommon

Common

$0.11

105/203

ThievulRare

Rare

$0.13

106/203

AltariaRare

Rare

$0.21

107/203

BagonCommon

Common

$0.08

108/203

ShelgonUncommon

Uncommon

$0.22

109/203

SalamenceHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.61

110/203

Rayquaza VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$2.59

111/203

Rayquaza VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$13.20

112/203

DialgaHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.24

113/203

DeinoCommon

Common

$0.17

114/203

ZweilousUncommon

Uncommon

$0.18

115/203

HydreigonHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.34

116/203

KyuremHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.29

117/203

Noivern VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$0.88

118/203

ZygardeHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.38

119/203

DrampaRare

Rare

$0.22

120/203

FlappleRare

Rare

$0.16

121/203

AppletunRare

Rare

$0.21

122/203

Duraludon VHolo Rare V

Holo Rare V

$0.75

123/203

Duraludon VMAXHolo Rare VMAX

Holo Rare VMAX

$1.37

124/203

RegidragoHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.25

125/203

EeveeCommon

Common

$0.41

126/203

TeddiursaCommon

Common

$0.20

127/203

UrsaringUncommon

Uncommon

$0.14

128/203

SmeargleRare

Rare

$0.22

129/203

SlakothCommon

Common

$0.14

130/203

VigorothUncommon

Uncommon

$0.07

131/203

SlakingHolo Rare

Holo Rare

$0.28

132/203

SwabluCommon

Common

$0.16

133/203

LillipupCommon

Common

$0.13

134/203

HerdierUncommon

Uncommon

$0.11

135/203

StoutlandRare

Rare

$0.23

136/203

RuffletCommon

Common

$0.14

137/203

BraviaryUncommon

Uncommon

$0.03

138/203

FletchlingCommon

Common

$0.04

139/203

FletchinderUncommon

Uncommon

$0.06

140/203

TalonflameRare

Rare

$0.19

141/203

Aroma LadyUncommon

Uncommon

$0.10

142/203

Boost ShakeUncommon

Uncommon

$0.13

143/203

CopycatUncommon

Uncommon

$0.09

144/203

Crystal CaveUncommon

Uncommon

$0.14

145/203

Digging GlovesUncommon

Uncommon

$0.08

146/203

Dream BallUncommon

Uncommon

$0.17

147/203

Elemental BadgeUncommon

Uncommon

$0.08

148/203

Full Face GuardUncommon

Uncommon

$0.04

149/203

GordieUncommon

Uncommon

$0.12

150/203

Lucky Ice PopUncommon

Uncommon

$0.11

151/203

Moon & Sun BadgeUncommon

Uncommon

$0.11

152/203

RaihanUncommon

Uncommon

$0.23

153/203

Rapid Strike Scroll of the Flying DragonUncommon

Uncommon

$0.04

154/203

Rescue CarrierUncommon

Uncommon

$0.15

155/203

Ribbon BadgeUncommon

Uncommon

$0.15

156/203

Rubber GlovesUncommon

Uncommon

$0.08

157/203

Shopping CenterUncommon

Uncommon

$0.13

158/203

Single Strike Scroll of the Fanged DragonUncommon

Uncommon

$0.07

159/203

Snow Leaf BadgeUncommon

Uncommon

$0.11

160/203

Spirit MaskUncommon

Uncommon

$0.09

161/203

Stormy MountainsUncommon

Uncommon

$0.28

162/203

Switching CupsUncommon

Uncommon

$0.09

163/203

Toy CatcherUncommon

Uncommon

$0.07

164/203

Zinnia's ResolveUncommon

Uncommon

$0.13

165/203

Treasure EnergyUncommon

Uncommon

$0.14

166/203

Leafeon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$23.37

167/203

Leafeon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$135.60

168/203

Trevenant VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$3.52

169/203

Flareon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$20.92

170/203

Volcarona VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$6.73

171/203

Gyarados VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$18.95

172/203

Vaporeon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$27.26

173/203

Suicune VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$9.55

174/203

Glaceon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$25.22

175/203

Glaceon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$148.40

176/203

Arctovish VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$3.11

177/203

Jolteon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$18.33

178/203

Dracozolt VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$4.70

179/203

Espeon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$26.68

180/203

Espeon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$225.61

181/203

Golurk VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$4.03

182/203

Golurk VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$34.87

183/203

Sylveon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$39.33

184/203

Sylveon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$190.51

185/203

Medicham VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$2.20

186/203

Medicham VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$17.58

187/203

Lycanroc VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$4.10

188/203

Umbreon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$50.31

189/203

Umbreon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$376.02

190/203

Garbodor VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$4.93

191/203

Dragonite VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$37.99

192/203

Dragonite VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$478.56

193/203

Rayquaza VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$64.41

194/203

Rayquaza VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$471.27

195/203

Noivern VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$5.72

196/203

Noivern VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$76.53

197/203

Duraludon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$2.39

198/203

Duraludon VUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$17.26

199/203

Aroma LadyUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$12.01

200/203

CopycatUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$2.40

201/203

GordieUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$1.99

202/203

RaihanUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$6.82

203/203

Zinnia's ResolveUltra Rare

Ultra Rare

$5.19

204/203

Leafeon VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$43.24

205/203

Leafeon VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$373.32

206/203

Trevenant VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$7.34

207/203

Gyarados VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$45.87

208/203

Glaceon VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$37.06

209/203

Glaceon VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$291.37

210/203

Dracozolt VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$7.83

211/203

Sylveon VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$54.01

212/203

Sylveon VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$361.50

213/203

Lycanroc VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$10.31

214/203

Umbreon VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$81.87

215/203

Umbreon VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$2,298.95

216/203

Garbodor VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$9.45

217/203

Rayquaza VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$103.79

218/203

Rayquaza VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$1,241.76

219/203

Duraludon VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$6.80

220/203

Duraludon VMAXSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$14.51

221/203

Aroma LadySecret Rare

Secret Rare

$6.38

222/203

CopycatSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$4.97

223/203

GordieSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$3.53

224/203

RaihanSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$5.59

225/203

Zinnia's ResolveSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$6.73

226/203

FroslassSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$9.58

227/203

InteleonSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$9.98

228/203

CresseliaSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$13.74

229/203

Boost ShakeSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$2.32

230/203

Crystal CaveSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$4.35

231/203

Full Face GuardSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$2.23

232/203

Stormy MountainsSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$4.23

233/203

Toy CatcherSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$2.44

234/203

Turffield StadiumSecret Rare

Secret Rare

$4.21

235/203

Lightning EnergySecret Rare

Secret Rare

$8.18

236/203

Darkness EnergySecret Rare

Secret Rare

$19.23

237/203

Metal EnergySecret Rare

Secret Rare

$10.77

Tier

Odds per pack

Cards in tier

Expected per box

Any V

1 in 9

Any VMAX

1 in 18

Full Art

1 in 36

Alt-art V

1 in 91

0.4

Rainbow rare

1 in 118

0.31

Gold rare

1 in 109

0.33

Alt-art VMAX

1 in 332

0.11

Product

Price

Family

Packs

$/pack

30d

Evolving Skies Booster Box

$2,147.19

Booster Box

$59.64

−5.8%

Evolving Skies Half Booster Box

$1,595.00

Half Box

Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Glaceon/Vaporeon/Sylveon/Espeon] (Exclusive)

$1,115.49

ETB (Pokémon Center)

+5.0%

Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Jolteon/Flareon/Umbreon/Leafeon] (Exclusive)

$1,087.99

ETB (Pokémon Center)

+1.2%

Evolving Skies Build & Battle Stadium

$658.47

Build & Battle

+0.1%

Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Flareon/Jolteon/Umbreon/Leafeon]

$552.57

Elite Trainer Box

−3.3%

Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Glaceon/Vaporeon/Sylveon/Espeon]

$457.02

Elite Trainer Box

−6.9%

Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box

$329.50

Build & Battle

−1.1%

Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Umbreon]

$279.42

Blister

+11.8%

Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Eiscue]

$223.31

Blister

0.0%

Evolving Skies 3 Pack Hanger Box

$191.24

Hanger Box

+10.6%

Mewtwo V-UNION Special Collection

$186.24

Collection

+1.8%

Greninja V-UNION Special Collection

$146.93

Collection

+10.4%

Zacian V-UNION Special Collection

$122.49

Collection

+3.8%

Evolving Skies Premium Checklane Blister [Houndoom]

$101.00

Blister

−1.6%

Evolving Skies Single Pack Blister [Eevee]

$86.69

Blister

+6.9%

Evolving Skies Single Pack Blister [Galarian Slowpoke]

$72.59

Blister

−3.7%

Evolving Skies Single Pack Blister [Octillery]

$59.00

Blister

0.0%

Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack

$57.44

Booster Pack

$57.44

−3.4%

Evolving Skies Premium Checklane Blister [Emboar]

$54.95

Blister

0.0%

Evolving Skies Premium Checklane Blister [Luxray]

$49.99

Blister

Evolving Skies Booster Pack

$42.88

Booster Pack

$42.88

−4.1%

Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math

Evolving Skies Booster Box Case

$16,800.00

Booster BoxLot

Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box Case

$5,600.00

Elite Trainer BoxLot

0.0%

Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box Display

$2,750.00

Build & BattleLot

Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] (Exclusive)

$2,250.60

ETB (Pokémon Center)Lot

−1.3%

Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2]

$1,104.08

Elite Trainer BoxLot

+1.3%

Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack Bundle [Set of 8]

$541.16

Booster PackLot

−1.9%

V-UNION Special Collection [Set of 3]

$376.13

CollectionLot

+1.9%

Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]

$256.34

Booster PackLot

+3.3%

Evolving Skies Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]

$169.04

Booster PackLot

+0.7%

Hit tier

Published rate

Pool

Avg / box

Mean value

Best case

Full-art V

1-in-36 (2.78% +/- 0.35%)

0.98

$77.95

Dragonite V ($479)

Gold secret rare

1-in-109 (0.91% +/- 0.20%)

0.32

$147.65

Umbreon VMAX ($2,210)

Rainbow rare

1-in-118 (0.84% +/- 0.19%)

0.31

$147.65

Umbreon VMAX ($2,210)

Alt-art V

1-in-91 (1.10% +/- 0.22%)

0.39

$77.95

Dragonite V ($479)

VMAX / VSTAR

1-in-18 (5.60% +/- 0.48%)

2.02

$9.71

Umbreon VMAX ($30)

Pokemon V

1-in-9 (10.56% +/- 0.65%)

3.79

$2.14

Umbreon V ($8)

Full-art Trainer

1-in-70 (1.42%) (inherited)

0.51

$5.67

Aroma Lady ($12)

Alt-art VMAX

1-in-332 (0.30% +/- 0.12%)

0.1

$9.71

Umbreon VMAX ($30)