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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskSeptember 2026

Xy - Fates Collide

english printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-09-24
Full set$927
Median card$0.34
30 days+0.6%
90 days+11.3%
Top 10 share77%
Priced128

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history368 recorded readings
All-time high$9312026-09-20
From that high−0.4%set value today
First recorded$341when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than98%360 of 368 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Xy - Fates Collide

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 77% of the bill
10 cards · $669other 118 · $259

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$184
Alakazam EX (Secret)01
Alakazam EX (Secret)
−0.6% 30d
$143
Umbreon EX (Full Art)02
Umbreon EX (Full Art)
+0.1% 30d
$83.68
M Alakazam EX (Full Art)03
M Alakazam EX (Full Art)
−0.2% 30d
$69.41
Umbreon EX04
Umbreon EX
−11.2% 30d
$46.29
Lugia BREAK05
Lugia BREAK
+13.4% 30d
$36.27
Glaceon EX (Full Art)06
Glaceon EX (Full Art)
−0.5% 30d
$32.38
Alakazam EX (Full Art)07
Alakazam EX (Full Art)
+1.5% 30d
$26.53
Team Rocket's Handiwork (Full Art)08
Team Rocket's Handiwork (Full Art)
+0.0% 30d
$25.59
M Altaria EX (Full Art)09
M Altaria EX (Full Art)
+1.0% 30d
$22.08
Kingdra EX (Full Art)10
Kingdra EX (Full Art)
−0.4% 30d
If you are building it

You can own 118 of the 128 priced cards in Xy - Fates Collide for about $259. The median card is $0.34. The remaining $669 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Alakazam EX (Secret), $184) is 20% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 23% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
Card vs box−93.4% vs the box
chase card · Alakazam EX (Secret)$182.18
sealed booster box · Xy - Fates Collide$2,754.99
the card6.6% of the box

CHEAPER THAN THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set costs $2,572.81 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-09-26.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read368 recorded points · 605 days
30-day return+0.6%
90-day return+11.3%
Realized vol7%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-11.3%recorded window
Off recorded high-0.4%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

The product desk14 products · 1 lot
Cheapest recorded route to packsXY Fates Collide Booster Pack $43.87/pack
Biggest 30-day moveXY - Fates Collide Sleeved Booster Pack [Mega Alakazam] −13.7%
ProductPriceFamilyPacks$/pack30d
01XY Fates Collide Booster Box$2,754.99Booster Box36$76.53·
02Fates Collide Elite Trainer Box$753.97Elite Trainer Box··0.0%
03Ash-Greninja EX Box$349.99Product···
04Mega Mawile EX Premium Collection$349.99Premium Collection···
05Fates Collide Prerelease Kit$208.87Product··0.0%
06Fates Collide Single Pack Blister [Gastly]$114.66Blister··+2.4%
07Fates Collide Single Pack Blister [Pansear]$95.99Blister··0.0%
08Fates Collide Theme Deck - "Sky Guardian" [Lugia]$78.61Deck··+6.1%
09XY - Fates Collide Sleeved Booster Pack [Zygarde]$52.47Booster Pack1$52.47−0.6%
10XY - Fates Collide Sleeved Booster Pack [Lugia BREAK]$48.96Booster Pack1$48.96−0.7%
11XY - Fates Collide Sleeved Booster Pack [Mega Alakazam]$47.80Booster Pack1$47.80−13.7%
12XY - Fates Collide Sleeved Booster Pack [Delphox BREAK]$47.50Booster Pack1$47.500.0%
13XY Fates Collide Booster Pack$43.87Booster Pack1$43.87−0.2%
14Fates Collide Theme Deck - "Battle Ruler" [Zygarde]$24.49Deck··0.0%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
Fates Collide Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$201.70Booster Packlot··+5.1%

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold
Rip report

No rip report for Xy - Fates Collide

No published pull-rate study exists for this set, so there is nothing honest to simulate. We only rip sets whose per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study, and an inherited or inferred rate would put an invented number under every figure on this panel.

We publish a rip simulation only where per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study. Which sets have published pull rates counts what exists: 31 of the 110 English sets sold in booster packs, resting on eleven studies.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · +0.6% 30d · +11.3% 90d
2025-01-27$9272026-09-24

Breadth: 62 cards up · 28 down · 38 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Lucario (63) (+87.3%).

Every Pokémon setXy - Fates Collide market reportPack opening simulatorSealed product pricesAlakazam ex 201/165 Value: the PSA 9 Sells for LessThe Grade Ladder: What PSA Populations Actually Say About PriceThe Drawdown Book: Among $5 Cards, Two in Three Sit Within 5% of Their 18-Month High, and Buying the Dip Trailed Buying Anything for a Quarter