set deskOctober 2026

Phantasmal Flames

130 cards trackedenglish printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-10-06

Full set$1,092

Median card$0.19

30 days−8.5%

90 days−24.4%

Top 10 share92%

Priced139

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history327 recorded readings

All-time high$2,0052025-11-14

From that high−45.5%set value today

From launch−45.5%2025-11-14

Days to peak0from the release date

Dearer than4%14 of 327 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Phantasmal Flames

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 92% of the bill

10 cards · $1,001other 129 · $91

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price

$661

Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094

−5.1% 30d

$227

Mega Charizard X ex - 130/094

−13.5% 30d

$20.02

Mega Charizard X ex - 109/094

Mega Sharpedo ex - 127/094

Mega Lopunny ex - 128/094

Mega Charizard X ex - 013/094

+12.0% 30d

Every card130 cards · 129 priced

No.	Card	Rarity	Market
001/94	Oddish	Common	$0.15
002/94	Gloom	Common	$0.17
003/94	Vileplume	Rare	$0.21
004/94	Mega Heracross ex	Double rare	$0.66
005/94	Lotad	Common	$0.17
006/94	Lombre	Common	$0.13
007/94	Ludicolo	Uncommon	$0.15
008/94	Genesect	Rare	$0.16
009/94	Nymble	Common	$0.16
010/94	Lokix	Uncommon	$0.09
011/94	Charmander	Common	$0.24
012/94	Charmeleon	Common	$0.21
013/94	Mega Charizard X ex	Double rare	$5.86
014/94	Moltres	Rare	$0.23
015/94	Darumaka	Common	$0.12
016/94	Darmanitan	Uncommon	$0.09
017/94	Reshiram	Rare	$0.14
018/94	Oricorio ex	Double rare	$0.54
019/94	Charcadet	Common	$0.14
020/94	Ceruledge	Uncommon	$0.19
021/94	Seel	Common	$0.07
022/94	Dewgong	Common	·
023/94	Swinub	Common	$0.09
024/94	Piloswine	Common	$0.12
025/94	Mamoswine	Uncommon	$0.12
026/94	Suicune	Rare	$0.17
027/94	Piplup	Common	$0.19
028/94	Prinplup	Common	$0.19
029/94	Rotom ex	Double rare	$0.45
030/94	Yamper	Common	$0.16
031/94	Boltund	Common	$0.10
032/94	Pawmi	Common	$0.11
033/94	Pawmo	Common	$0.10
034/94	Pawmot	Rare	$0.18
035/94	Misdreavus	Common	$0.15
036/94	Mismagius ex	Double rare	$0.57
037/94	Snubbull	Common	$0.09
038/94	Granbull	Uncommon	$0.10
039/94	Cresselia	Uncommon	$0.11
040/94	Meloetta	Uncommon	$0.10
041/94	Mega Diancie ex	Double rare	$0.53
042/94	Mimikyu	Common	$0.26
043/94	Milcery	Common	$0.12
044/94	Alcremie	Uncommon	$0.14
045/94	Zacian	Rare	$0.22
046/94	Bramblin	Common	$0.15
047/94	Brambleghast	Uncommon	$0.08
048/94	Paldean Tauros	Uncommon	$0.11
049/94	Gligar	Common	$0.08
050/94	Gliscor	Uncommon	$0.14
051/94	Trapinch	Common	$0.06
052/94	Vibrava	Common	$0.14
053/94	Flygon	Rare	$0.19
054/94	Gastly	Common	$0.16
055/94	Haunter	Uncommon	$0.18
056/94	Mega Gengar ex	Double rare	$2.43
057/94	Murkrow	Common	$0.15
058/94	Honchkrow	Uncommon	$0.09
059/94	Sableye	Common	$0.16
060/94	Carvanha	Common	$0.22
061/94	Mega Sharpedo ex	Double rare	$0.69
062/94	Seviper	Uncommon	$0.18
063/94	Absol	Common	$0.16
064/94	Sandile	Common	$0.09
065/94	Krokorok	Common	$0.16
066/94	Krookodile	Uncommon	$0.14
067/94	Toxel	Common	$0.20
068/94	Toxtricity	Rare	$0.43
069/94	Eternatus	Uncommon	$0.16
070/94	Empoleon ex	Double rare	$0.56
071/94	Bronzor	Common	$0.07
072/94	Bronzong	Uncommon	$0.13
073/94	Togedemaru	Common	$0.09
074/94	Duraludon	Common	$0.18
075/94	Archaludon	Uncommon	$0.11
076/94	Jigglypuff	Common	$0.20
077/94	Wigglytuff	Uncommon	$0.16
078/94	Aipom	Common	$0.12
079/94	Ambipom	Rare	$0.14
080/94	Smeargle	Common	$0.05
081/94	Zigzagoon	Common	$0.13
082/94	Linoone	Uncommon	$0.12
083/94	Buneary	Common	$0.16
084/94	Mega Lopunny ex	Double rare	$0.59
085/94	Battle Cage	Uncommon	$0.25
086/94	Blowtorch	Uncommon	$0.13
087/94	Dawn	Uncommon	$1.75
088/94	Dizzying Valley	Uncommon	$0.16
089/94	Firebreather	Uncommon	$0.22
090/94	Grimsley's Move	Uncommon	$0.20
091/94	Jumbo Ice Cream	Uncommon	$0.21
092/94	Punk Helmet	Uncommon	$0.18
093/94	Sacred Charm	Uncommon	$0.15
094/94	Wondrous Patch	Uncommon	$0.20
095/94	Ludicolo	Illustration rare	$1.82
096/94	Nymble	Illustration rare	$1.35
097/94	Dewgong	Illustration rare	$4.12
098/94	Piplup	Illustration rare	$11.67
099/94	Yamper	Illustration rare	$3.44
100/94	Zacian	Illustration rare	$4.31
101/94	Flygon	Illustration rare	$4.38
102/94	Paldean Wooper	Illustration rare	$4.01
103/94	Toxtricity	Illustration rare	$2.32
104/94	Togedemaru	Illustration rare	$2.47
105/94	Wigglytuff	Illustration rare	$4.81
106/94	Meowth	Illustration rare	$12.94
107/94	Ambipom	Illustration rare	$1.63
108/94	Mega Heracross ex	Ultra Rare	$1.65
109/94	Mega Charizard X ex	Ultra Rare	$19.80
110/94	Oricorio ex	Ultra Rare	$1.29
111/94	Rotom ex	Ultra Rare	$1.05
112/94	Mismagius ex	Ultra Rare	$1.62
113/94	Mega Sharpedo ex	Ultra Rare	$2.00
114/94	Empoleon ex	Ultra Rare	$1.46
115/94	Mega Lopunny ex	Ultra Rare	$2.02
116/94	Battle Cage	Ultra Rare	$1.40
117/94	Blowtorch	Ultra Rare	$0.52
118/94	Dawn	Ultra Rare	$4.49
119/94	Firebreather	Ultra Rare	$0.78
120/94	Grimsley's Move	Ultra Rare	$0.93
121/94	Punk Helmet	Ultra Rare	$0.69
122/94	Sacred Charm	Ultra Rare	$0.67
123/94	Switch	Ultra Rare	$1.12
124/94	Ignition Energy	Ultra Rare	$1.14
125/94	Mega Charizard X ex	Special illustration rare	$661.14
126/94	Rotom ex	Special illustration rare	$12.86
127/94	Mega Sharpedo ex	Special illustration rare	$16.23
128/94	Mega Lopunny ex	Special illustration rare	$12.59
129/94	Dawn	Special illustration rare	$18.77
130/94	Mega Charizard X ex	Mega Hyper Rare	$217.11

Every Phantasmal Flames card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

If you are building it

You can own 129 of the 139 priced cards in Phantasmal Flames for about $91. The median card is $0.19. The remaining $1,001 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094, $661) is 60% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 8% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read

Card vs box+67.9% vs the box

chase card · Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094$661.14

sealed booster box · Phantasmal Flames$393.75

the card167.9% of the box

PRICIER THAN THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set costs $267.39 more than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-10-10.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read339 recorded points · 344 days

30-day return-8.3%

90-day return-24.4%

Realized vol16%annualized, ~90d daily returns

Max drawdown-47.4%recorded window

Off recorded high-45.6%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

Pull ratesmeasured

The chase, priced in packsMega Charizard X ex ($661.14) lands about once per 400 packs · ~11.1 booster boxes · $4,375 of packs at today's box price

Tier	Odds per pack	Cards in tier	Expected per box
Double rare (ex)	1 in 5	10	7.2
Ultra rare (full art)	1 in 12	17	3
Illustration rare	1 in 9	13	4
Special illustration rare	1 in 80	5	0.45
Hyper rare (gold)	1 in 1260	1	0.03

Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (5,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.

The product desk16 products · 7 lots

Cheapest recorded route to packsPhantasmal Flames Booster Box $10.94/pack

Biggest 30-day movePhantasmal Flames Booster Pack −3.9%

	Product	Price	Family	Packs	$/pack	30d
01	Phantasmal Flames Booster Box	$393.75	Booster Box	36	$10.94	−1.6%
02	Phantasmal Flames Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)	$285.50	ETB (Pokémon Center)	·	·	−1.0%
03	Phantasmal Flames Elite Trainer Box	$152.32	Elite Trainer Box	·	·	−1.3%
04	Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle	$84.63	Booster Bundle	6	$14.10	+2.1%
05	Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box	$63.57	Build & Battle	·	·	−1.4%
06	Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister [Weavile]	$43.69	Blister	·	·	+2.2%
07	Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister [Sneasel]	$43.11	Blister	·	·	+1.5%
08	Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Hydrapple]	$31.69	Blister	·	·	−0.1%
09	Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Blaziken]	$31.35	Blister	·	·	+1.5%
10	Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Ethan's Magcargo]	$15.96	Blister	·	·	−1.5%
11	Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Arven's Greedent]	$14.38	Blister	·	·	+0.3%
12	Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster Pack	$14.25	Booster Pack	1	$14.25	−0.7%
13	Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister [Cottonee]	$12.88	Blister	·	·	−0.5%
14	Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister [Whimsicott]	$12.79	Blister	·	·	−0.8%
15	Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack	$12.26	Booster Pack	1	$12.26	−3.9%
16	Phantasmal Flames Fun Pack	$7.69	Product	·	·	0.0%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
	Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Case	$2,227.62	Booster Boxlot	·	·	−8.3%
	Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle Case	$1,875.00	Booster Bundlelot	·	·	+5.1%
	Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster Case	$1,704.22	Booster Packlot	·	·	+6.7%
	Phantasmal Flames Elite Trainer Box Case	$1,470.73	Elite Trainer Boxlot	·	·	+0.6%
	Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box Display	$494.73	Build & Battlelot	·	·	+0.2%
	Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$54.72	Booster Packlot	·	·	+0.8%
	Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$45.73	Booster Packlot	·	·	−2.9%

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold

Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Phantasmal Flames?

9.0%

of boxes beat the $391 box price

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Phantasmal Flames using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($391, $10.86/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 42.8% of the box ask on average.

Median box

$100

Expected value

$167

Bottom 5%

$75

Top 5%

$756

Where 10,000 boxes landed

88.4%

$0-200

2.6%

$200-400

0.1%

$400-600

8.1%

$600-800

0.4%

$800-1000

0.0%

$1000-1200

0.1%

$1200-1400

0.3%

$1400-1600

Red buckets end below the $391 box price. 88.4% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 1.5% doubled it.

What a box actually pulls (sim average)

Hit tier	Published rate	Pool	Avg / box	Mean value	Best case
Special illustration rare	1-in-80	5	0.45	$144.39	Mega Charizard X ex ($661)
Illustration rare	1-in-9	13	3.97	$4.60	Meowth ($13)
Double rare (ex)	1-in-5	10	7.19	$1.32	Mega Charizard X ex ($6)
Ultra rare (full art)	1-in-12	17	3	$2.53	Mega Charizard X ex ($20)
Mega hyper rare (gold)	1-in-1260	1	0.03	$215.07	Mega Charizard X ex ($215)

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $391 box price (Phantasmal Flames Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: all 5 rates were measured on this set's own packs (tcgplayer.com, 5,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 45.6% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $58 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (129 of 130 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · −8.5% 30d · −24.4% 90d

2025-10-27$1,0922026-10-06

Breadth: 64 cards up · 56 down · 19 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Mega Charizard X ex - 013/094 (+12.0%).