Set deskNovember 2026
ME05: Pitch Black
$543Full set−13.2% 30 days
The sum of every card's real TCGplayer price, recorded daily.
$0.17 Median card120 Priced
Recorded low$538October 29, 2026All-time high$760September 8, 2026
From that high−28.6%set value today
First recorded$760when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than2%1 of 56 recorded days were cheaper
Realized vol15%annualized, 56 days of daily returns
Max drawdown−29.2%recorded window
How these are measured
Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.
Ask about ME05: Pitch Black
Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.
Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.
10 cards$454other 110$88
The short, expensive tail of the set.
If you are building it
You can own 110 of the 120 priced cards in ME05: Pitch Black for about $88. The median card is $0.17. The remaining $454 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Mega Darkrai ex - 116/084, $136) is 25% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 16% and then a very short, very expensive tail.
Mega Darkrai ex - 116/084$136−15.1% 30d
Mega Darkrai ex - 120/084$125−13.2% 30d
Morpeko ex - 117/084$57.8−17.2% 30d
Mega Zeraora ex - 114/084$34.96−26.6% 30d
Mega Chandelure ex - 115/084$29.87−21.1% 30d
Gwynn - 119/084$25.86−2.5% 30d
Gladion's Final Battle - 118/084$21.17−14.2% 30d
Misty's Vitality - 111/084$9.83+5.1% 30d
Gwynn - 109/084$7
Mega Darkrai ex - 101/084$6.44−6.7% 30d
| No. | Card | Market |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | TropiusSecret | $0.09 |
| 2 | GrubbinSecret | $0.06 |
| 3 | Fomantis - 003/084Secret | $0.12 |
| 4 | Lurantis ex - 004/084Secret | $0.44 |
| 5 | PoltchageistSecret | $0.13 |
| 6 | SinistchaSecret | $0.15 |
| 7 | HeatranSecret | $0.11 |
| 8 | Mega Delphox exSecret | $0.62 |
| 9 | SizzlipedeSecret | $0.03 |
| 10 | CentiskorchSecret | $0.12 |
| 11 | CharcadetSecret | $0.06 |
| 12 | Armarouge - 012/084Secret | $0.19 |
| 13 | Goldeen - 013/084Secret | $0.06 |
| 14 | SeakingSecret | $0.07 |
| 15 | WailmerSecret | $0.23 |
| 16 | Wailord ex - 016/084Secret | $0.64 |
| 17 | RelicanthSecret | $0.06 |
| 18 | PopplioSecret | $0.14 |
| 19 | BrionneSecret | $0.10 |
| 20 | Primarina - 020/084Secret | $0.23 |
| 21 | FinizenSecret | $0.09 |
| 22 | PalafinSecret | $0.09 |
| 23 | ElectrikeSecret | $0.06 |
| 24 | Manectric - 024/084Secret | $0.10 |
| 25 | CharjabugSecret | $0.08 |
| 26 | VikavoltSecret | $0.13 |
| 27 | Mega Zeraora ex - 027/084Secret | $0.66 |
| 28 | MiraidonSecret | $0.16 |
| 29 | SlowpokeSecret | $0.20 |
| 30 | Slowbro - 030/084Secret | $0.16 |
| 31 | Mega Slowbro exSecret | $0.63 |
| 32 | JynxSecret | $0.10 |
| 33 | ShuppetSecret | $0.13 |
| 34 | BanetteSecret | $0.13 |
| 35 | SpiritombSecret | $0.30 |
| 36 | LitwickSecret | $0.17 |
| 37 | LampentSecret | $0.16 |
| 38 | Mega Chandelure ex - 038/084Secret | $0.72 |
| 39 | Dhelmise - 039/084Secret | $0.16 |
| 40 | MarshadowSecret | $0.15 |
| 41 | AnnihilapeSecret | $0.15 |
| 42 | MankeySecret | $0.13 |
| 43 | PrimeapeSecret | $0.11 |
| 44 | CranidosSecret | $0.12 |
| 45 | Rampardos ex - 045/084Secret | $0.53 |
| 46 | DrilburSecret | $0.11 |
| 47 | KoraidonSecret | $0.20 |
| 48 | Mega Darkrai ex - 048/084Secret | $0.62 |
| 49 | VullabySecret | $0.11 |
| 50 | MandibuzzSecret | $0.10 |
| 51 | InkaySecret | $0.09 |
| 52 | MalamarSecret | $0.09 |
| 53 | NickitSecret | $0.07 |
| 54 | Thievul - 054/084Secret | $0.08 |
| 55 | Morpeko ex - 055/084Secret | $0.56 |
| 56 | ZarudeSecret | $0.20 |
| 57 | MaschiffSecret | $0.12 |
| 58 | MabosstiffSecret | $0.10 |
| 59 | Chi-YuSecret | $0.19 |
| 60 | SkarmorySecret | $0.06 |
| 61 | ShieldonSecret | $0.15 |
| 62 | Bastiodon - 062/084Secret | $0.21 |
| 63 | BronzorSecret | $0.04 |
| 64 | BronzongSecret | $0.05 |
| 65 | Mega Excadrill ex - 065/084Secret | $0.59 |
| 66 | PikipekSecret | $0.10 |
| 67 | TrumbeakSecret | $0.12 |
| 68 | Toucannon - 068/084Secret | $0.13 |
| 69 | Type: NullSecret | $0.12 |
| 70 | Silvally - 070/084Secret | $0.16 |
| 71 | BombirdierSecret | $0.05 |
| 72 | Antique Armor FossilSecret | $0.13 |
| 73 | Antique Skull FossilSecret | $0.10 |
| 74 | Backtrack BadgeSecret | $0.13 |
| 75 | Dark Bell - 075/084Secret | $0.18 |
| 76 | Fossil QuarrySecret | $0.09 |
| 77 | Gladion's Final Battle - 077/084Secret | $0.14 |
| 78 | Gwynn - 078/084Secret | $0.18 |
| 79 | JettSecret | $0.09 |
| 80 | Misty's Vitality - 080/084Secret | $0.15 |
| 81 | Rust Syndicate Grunt - 081/084Secret | $0.08 |
| 82 | Tremendous Bomb - 082/084Secret | $0.10 |
| 83 | Shadowy Darkness EnergySecret | $0.24 |
| 84 | Voltaic Lightning EnergySecret | $0.23 |
| 85 | Fomantis - 085/084Secret | $1.93 |
| 86 | Armarouge - 086/084Secret | $1.98 |
| 87 | Goldeen - 087/084Secret | $3.76 |
| 88 | Primarina - 088/084Secret | $2.30 |
| 89 | Manectric - 089/084Secret | $1.40 |
| 90 | Slowbro - 090/084Secret | $6.17 |
| 91 | Dhelmise - 091/084Secret | $1.81 |
| 92 | Thievul - 092/084Secret | $1.27 |
| 93 | Bastiodon - 093/084Secret | $1.57 |
| 94 | Toucannon - 094/084Secret | $1.59 |
| 95 | Silvally - 095/084Secret | $1.58 |
| 96 | Lurantis ex - 096/084Secret | $2.34 |
| 97 | Wailord ex - 097/084Secret | $3.81 |
| 98 | Mega Zeraora ex - 098/084Secret | $5.96 |
| 99 | Mega Chandelure ex - 099/084Secret | $5.79 |
| 100/84 | Rampardos exUltra Rare | $2.97 |
| 101/84 | Mega Darkrai exUltra Rare | $6.44 |
| 102/84 | Morpeko exUltra Rare | $4.55 |
| 103/84 | Mega Excadrill exUltra Rare | $3.75 |
| 104/84 | Brave BangleUltra Rare | $2.72 |
| 105/84 | Crushing HammerUltra Rare | $4.61 |
| 106/84 | Dark BellUltra Rare | $1.93 |
| 107/84 | Energy SwitchUltra Rare | $2.57 |
| 108/84 | Gladion's Final BattleUltra Rare | $2.33 |
| 109/84 | GwynnUltra Rare | $7.00 |
| 110/84 | Iron DefenderUltra Rare | $1.19 |
| 111/84 | Misty's VitalityUltra Rare | $9.83 |
| 112/84 | Rust Syndicate GruntUltra Rare | $1.90 |
| 113/84 | Tremendous BombUltra Rare | $1.31 |
| 114/84 | Mega Zeraora exSpecial illustration rare | $34.96 |
| 115/84 | Mega Chandelure exSpecial illustration rare | $29.87 |
| 116/84 | Mega Darkrai exSpecial illustration rare | $136.29 |
| 117/84 | Morpeko exSpecial illustration rare | $57.80 |
| 118/84 | Gladion's Final BattleSpecial illustration rare | $21.17 |
| 119/84 | GwynnSpecial illustration rare | $25.86 |
| 120/84 | Mega Darkrai exMega Hyper Rare | $124.93 |
Show all 120Show fewer
Every ME05: Pitch Black card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.
- chase card · Mega Darkrai ex - 116/084$136.29
- sealed booster box · ME05: Pitch Black$180.27
Cheaper than the box
The single most valuable card in this set costs $43.98 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, quoted November 1, 2026.
75.6% of the box. Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes
Should you rip Pitch Black?
8.6%
of boxes beat the $181 box price
- Bottom 5%$55
- Median box$72
- Expected value$89
- Top 5%$203
Where 10,000 boxes landed
56.6%$0-75
33.7%$75-150
7.9%$150-225
1.5%$225-300
0.3%$300-375
0.1%$375-450
Red buckets end below the $181 box price. 73.1% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.1% doubled it.
How the simulation works, tier by tier
We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Pitch Black using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($181, $5.03/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 49.1% of the box ask on average.
What a box actually pulls (sim average)
| Hit tier | Published rate | Pool | Avg / box | Mean value | Best case |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special illustration rare | 1-in-101 (0.99% +/- 0.27%) (inherited) | 6 | 0.37 | $51.26 | Mega Darkrai ex ($138) |
| Ultra rare (full art) | 1-in-12 (8.23% +/- 0.76%) (inherited) | 18 | 2.96 | $3.91 | Misty's Vitality ($10) |
| Illustration rare | 1-in-9 (10.89% +/- 0.86%) (inherited) | 11 | 3.95 | $2.34 | Slowbro - 090/084 ($6) |
| Mega hyper rare (gold) | 1-in-1260 (0.08% +/- 0.08%) (inherited) | 1 | 0.03 | $125.76 | Mega Darkrai ex ($126) |
| Double rare (ex) | 1-in-5 (20.91% +/- 1.12%) (inherited) | 10 | 7.51 | $0.47 | Mega Chandelure ex - 038/084 ($1) |
Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $181 box price (Pitch Black Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: every rate here is inherited from an era study of 5,000+ packs, not measured on this set (the study opened packs of Mega Evolution (ME1)) (tcgplayer.com, 5,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 9.5% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $42 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (119 of 120 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.
Breadth: 42 cards up · 61 down · 14 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Morpeko ex - 102/084 (+58.0%).