Moonstone · Set economicsAugust 2026

FIVE cards.60% of the bill.

Surging Sparks · 252 tracked cards · $1,306 to complete

5 cards · $773

The short, expensive tail of the set.THE OTHER 256 CARDS · $533

Hydreigon ex - 240/191

What this means if you are building it

You can own 256 of the 261 priced cards in Surging Sparks for about $533. The median card is $0.14. The remaining $773 sits in just 5 chase cards, and one of them (Pikachu ex - 238/191, $326) is 25% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 40% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Set value · real TCGplayer prices, summed daily−7.7% 30d · +7.5% 90d

Breadth: 126 cards up · 94 down · 41 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Precious Trolley (+18.8%).

ENGLISH PRINTS · UNGRADED · TCGPLAYER MARKET · UPDATED DAILY

Rip or hold · 2,000 boxes simulatedSOURCED PULL RATES · REAL MARKET PRICES

A Surging Sparks booster box opens to $120 in singles on average against a real $308 box price — 4% of boxes beat the box. Half of all boxes land between $79 and $126.

The pulls that pay the bill

Pikachu ex #238$291 · 1 in 28 boxes

Latias ex #239$178 · 1 in 29 boxes

Milotic ex #237$123 · 1 in 33 boxes

Pikachu ex #247$90.3 · 1 in 25 boxes

Durant ex #236$38.4 · 1 in 25 boxes

Simulated with the same sourced pull-rate model and card pools as the pack simulator; singles at TCGplayer market. Unpriced cards count $0 (252/252 priced). Tiers without published rates are excluded. Sealed box price: TCGplayer.