Set deskNovember 2026
Paldea Evolved
$1,705Full set−10.6% 30 days
The sum of every card's real TCGplayer price, recorded daily.
$0.19 Median card278 Priced
Recorded low$1,705November 1, 2026All-time high$1,961September 11, 2026
From that high−13.0%set value today
First recorded$1,955when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than0%0 of 56 recorded days were cheaper
Realized vol6%annualized, 56 days of daily returns
Max drawdown−13.0%recorded window
How these are measured
Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.
Ask about Paldea Evolved
Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.
Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.
10 cards$807other 268$899
The short, expensive tail of the set.
If you are building it
You can own 268 of the 278 priced cards in Paldea Evolved for about $899. The median card is $0.19. The remaining $807 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Magikarp - 203/193, $289) is 17% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 53% and then a very short, very expensive tail.
Magikarp - 203/193$289−21.3% 30d
Raichu - 211/193$92.63−8.4% 30d
Maushold - 226/193$81.22−11.5% 30d
Tyranitar - 222/193$66.34−10.6% 30d
Sprigatito - 196/193$51.72−8.9% 30d
Tinkaton ex - 262/193$49.15−11.8% 30d
Iono - 269/193$47.04−12.1% 30d
Marill - 204/193$45.67−12.9% 30d
Chi-Yu ex - 259/193$43.73−19.0% 30d
Fuecoco - 201/193$40.19−15.5% 30d
| No. | Card | Market |
|---|---|---|
| 001/193 | HoppipCommon | $0.16 |
| 002/193 | SkiploomUncommon | $0.08 |
| 003/193 | JumpluffRare | $0.25 |
| 004/193 | PinecoCommon | $0.06 |
| 005/193 | Forretress exDouble rare | $0.70 |
| 006/193 | HeracrossUncommon | $0.11 |
| 007/193 | TropiusCommon | $0.06 |
| 008/193 | CombeeCommon | $0.15 |
| 009/193 | VespiquenUncommon | $0.14 |
| 010/193 | SnoverCommon | $0.04 |
| 011/193 | AbomasnowRare | $0.09 |
| 012/193 | SprigatitoCommon | $0.15 |
| 013/193 | SprigatitoCommon | $0.20 |
| 014/193 | FloragatoUncommon | $0.16 |
| 015/193 | Meowscarada exDouble rare | $0.86 |
| 016/193 | TarountulaCommon | $0.11 |
| 017/193 | TarountulaCommon | $0.11 |
| 018/193 | SpidopsUncommon | $0.12 |
| 019/193 | NymbleCommon | $0.12 |
| 020/193 | NymbleCommon | $0.06 |
| 021/193 | LokixRare | $0.11 |
| 022/193 | BramblinCommon | $0.13 |
| 023/193 | BramblinCommon | $0.13 |
| 024/193 | BrambleghastUncommon | $0.14 |
| 025/193 | RellorCommon | $0.09 |
| 026/193 | RellorCommon | $0.09 |
| 027/193 | Wo-Chien exDouble rare | $0.82 |
| 028/193 | Paldean TaurosUncommon | $0.16 |
| 029/193 | FletchinderUncommon | $0.11 |
| 030/193 | TalonflameUncommon | $0.13 |
| 031/193 | LitleoCommon | $0.05 |
| 032/193 | PyroarUncommon | $0.15 |
| 033/193 | OricorioRare | $0.19 |
| 034/193 | FuecocoCommon | $0.15 |
| 035/193 | FuecocoCommon | $0.19 |
| 036/193 | CrocalorUncommon | $0.05 |
| 037/193 | Skeledirge exDouble rare | $0.80 |
| 038/193 | CharcadetCommon | $0.13 |
| 039/193 | CharcadetCommon | $0.16 |
| 040/193 | Chi-Yu exDouble rare | $0.92 |
| 041/193 | Paldean TaurosUncommon | $0.20 |
| 042/193 | MagikarpCommon | $0.16 |
| 043/193 | GyaradosRare | $0.34 |
| 044/193 | MarillCommon | $0.08 |
| 045/193 | AzumarillUncommon | $0.11 |
| 046/193 | DelibirdCommon | $0.11 |
| 047/193 | LuvdiscCommon | $0.18 |
| 048/193 | EiscueUncommon | $0.13 |
| 049/193 | QuaxlyCommon | $0.13 |
| 050/193 | QuaxlyCommon | $0.09 |
| 051/193 | QuaxwellUncommon | $0.09 |
| 052/193 | Quaquaval exDouble rare | $0.73 |
| 053/193 | CetoddleCommon | $0.13 |
| 054/193 | CetoddleCommon | $0.16 |
| 055/193 | CetitanUncommon | $0.13 |
| 056/193 | VeluzaRare | $0.08 |
| 057/193 | FrigibaxCommon | $0.17 |
| 058/193 | FrigibaxCommon | $0.14 |
| 059/193 | ArctibaxUncommon | $0.18 |
| 060/193 | BaxcaliburRare | $0.27 |
| 061/193 | Chien-Pao exDouble rare | $0.98 |
| 062/193 | PikachuCommon | $0.30 |
| 063/193 | Pikachu exDouble rare | $4.20 |
| 064/193 | RaichuUncommon | $0.21 |
| 065/193 | MagnemiteCommon | $0.11 |
| 066/193 | VoltorbCommon | $0.12 |
| 067/193 | ElectrodeUncommon | $0.05 |
| 068/193 | ShinxCommon | $0.15 |
| 069/193 | ShinxCommon | $0.14 |
| 070/193 | LuxioUncommon | $0.06 |
| 071/193 | LuxrayRare | $0.24 |
| 072/193 | PincurchinCommon | $0.20 |
| 073/193 | PincurchinUncommon | $0.08 |
| 074/193 | PawmiCommon | $0.12 |
| 075/193 | PawmoUncommon | $0.11 |
| 076/193 | PawmotRare | $0.07 |
| 077/193 | TadbulbCommon | $0.10 |
| 078/193 | TadbulbCommon | $0.04 |
| 079/193 | Bellibolt exDouble rare | $0.76 |
| 080/193 | WattrelCommon | $0.18 |
| 081/193 | WattrelCommon | $0.18 |
| 082/193 | KilowattrelUncommon | $0.12 |
| 083/193 | JigglypuffCommon | $0.26 |
| 084/193 | WigglytuffRare | $0.30 |
| 085/193 | SlowpokeCommon | $0.24 |
| 086/193 | Slowking exDouble rare | $1.18 |
| 087/193 | MisdreavusCommon | $0.14 |
| 088/193 | MismagiusUncommon | $0.10 |
| 089/193 | SpiritombRare | $0.19 |
| 090/193 | GothitaCommon | $0.12 |
| 091/193 | GothoritaUncommon | $0.17 |
| 092/193 | GothitelleUncommon | $0.14 |
| 093/193 | Dedenne exDouble rare | $1.19 |
| 094/193 | OranguruUncommon | $0.11 |
| 095/193 | SandygastCommon | $0.09 |
| 096/193 | PalossandUncommon | $0.14 |
| 097/193 | MimikyuRare | $0.31 |
| 098/193 | CeruledgeRare | $0.31 |
| 099/193 | RabscaRare | $0.20 |
| 100/193 | TinkatinkCommon | $0.19 |
| 101/193 | TinkatinkCommon | $0.15 |
| 102/193 | TinkatinkCommon | $0.15 |
| 103/193 | TinkatuffUncommon | $0.13 |
| 104/193 | TinkatuffUncommon | $0.19 |
| 105/193 | TinkatonRare | $0.20 |
| 106/193 | MankeyCommon | $0.14 |
| 107/193 | PrimeapeUncommon | $0.14 |
| 108/193 | Paldean TaurosUncommon | $0.12 |
| 109/193 | SudowoodoUncommon | $0.14 |
| 110/193 | LarvitarCommon | $0.15 |
| 111/193 | PupitarUncommon | $0.07 |
| 112/193 | MakuhitaCommon | $0.12 |
| 113/193 | HariyamaRare | $0.10 |
| 114/193 | CroagunkCommon | $0.09 |
| 115/193 | ToxicroakUncommon | $0.09 |
| 116/193 | RockruffCommon | $0.17 |
| 117/193 | Lycanroc exDouble rare | $1.12 |
| 118/193 | PassimianUncommon | $0.12 |
| 119/193 | FalinksCommon | $0.13 |
| 120/193 | NacliCommon | $0.15 |
| 121/193 | NacliCommon | $0.12 |
| 122/193 | NaclstackUncommon | $0.12 |
| 123/193 | GarganaclRare | $0.17 |
| 124/193 | GlimmetCommon | $0.08 |
| 125/193 | GlimmetCommon | $0.09 |
| 126/193 | GlimmoraRare | $0.09 |
| 127/193 | Ting-Lu exDouble rare | $0.64 |
| 128/193 | Paldean WooperCommon | $0.15 |
| 129/193 | Paldean WooperCommon | $0.20 |
| 130/193 | Paldean Clodsire exDouble rare | $0.84 |
| 131/193 | MurkrowCommon | $0.11 |
| 132/193 | HonchkrowUncommon | $0.14 |
| 133/193 | SneaselCommon | $0.13 |
| 134/193 | WeavileRare | $0.16 |
| 135/193 | TyranitarRare | $0.21 |
| 136/193 | SableyeRare | $0.20 |
| 137/193 | SeviperUncommon | $0.06 |
| 138/193 | DeinoCommon | $0.04 |
| 139/193 | ZweilousUncommon | $0.10 |
| 140/193 | HydreigonRare | $0.20 |
| 141/193 | MaschiffCommon | $0.09 |
| 142/193 | MaschiffCommon | $0.14 |
| 143/193 | MabosstiffUncommon | $0.11 |
| 144/193 | ShroodleCommon | $0.12 |
| 145/193 | ShroodleCommon | $0.15 |
| 146/193 | GrafaiaiUncommon | $0.08 |
| 147/193 | BombirdierUncommon | $0.05 |
| 148/193 | CorviknightUncommon | $0.17 |
| 149/193 | CufantCommon | $0.04 |
| 150/193 | Copperajah exDouble rare | $0.59 |
| 151/193 | OrthwormRare | $0.22 |
| 152/193 | NoibatCommon | $0.14 |
| 153/193 | Noivern exDouble rare | $0.78 |
| 154/193 | GirafarigCommon | $0.18 |
| 155/193 | FarigirafUncommon | $0.10 |
| 156/193 | DunsparceCommon | $0.26 |
| 157/193 | DudunsparceUncommon | $0.15 |
| 158/193 | WingullCommon | $0.05 |
| 159/193 | PelipperUncommon | $0.11 |
| 160/193 | SlakothCommon | $0.11 |
| 161/193 | VigorothUncommon | $0.12 |
| 162/193 | SlakingRare | $0.20 |
| 163/193 | FletchlingCommon | $0.10 |
| 164/193 | RookideeCommon | $0.09 |
| 165/193 | CorvisquireUncommon | $0.09 |
| 166/193 | TandemausCommon | $0.19 |
| 167/193 | TandemausCommon | $0.26 |
| 168/193 | MausholdUncommon | $0.23 |
| 169/193 | Squawkabilly exDouble rare | $0.84 |
| 170/193 | FlamigoUncommon | $0.13 |
| 171/193 | ArtazonUncommon | $0.26 |
| 172/193 | Boss's OrdersRare | $0.37 |
| 173/193 | Bravery CharmUncommon | $0.32 |
| 174/193 | Calamitous Snowy MountainUncommon | $0.16 |
| 175/193 | Calamitous WastelandUncommon | $0.10 |
| 176/193 | Choice BeltUncommon | $0.17 |
| 177/193 | ClavellCommon | $0.17 |
| 178/193 | Delivery DroneUncommon | $0.12 |
| 179/193 | DendraUncommon | $0.03 |
| 180/193 | FalknerUncommon | $0.14 |
| 181/193 | Fighting Au LaitUncommon | $0.13 |
| 182/193 | GiacomoUncommon | $0.10 |
| 183/193 | Great BallCommon | $0.20 |
| 184/193 | GrushaUncommon | $0.13 |
| 185/193 | IonoUncommon | $0.32 |
| 186/193 | Practice StudioUncommon | $0.11 |
| 187/193 | SaguaroUncommon | $0.14 |
| 188/193 | Super RodCommon | $0.31 |
| 189/193 | Superior Energy RetrievalUncommon | $0.29 |
| 190/193 | Jet EnergyUncommon | $0.32 |
| 191/193 | Luminous EnergyUncommon | $0.27 |
| 192/193 | Reversal EnergyUncommon | $0.25 |
| 193/193 | Therapeutic EnergyUncommon | $0.18 |
| 194/193 | HeracrossIllustration rare | $29.93 |
| 195/193 | TropiusIllustration rare | $14.40 |
| 196/193 | SprigatitoIllustration rare | $51.72 |
| 197/193 | FloragatoIllustration rare | $19.70 |
| 198/193 | BramblinIllustration rare | $10.24 |
| 199/193 | FletchinderIllustration rare | $18.57 |
| 200/193 | PyroarIllustration rare | $15.39 |
| 201/193 | FuecocoIllustration rare | $40.19 |
| 202/193 | CrocalorIllustration rare | $15.44 |
| 203/193 | MagikarpIllustration rare | $288.99 |
| 204/193 | MarillIllustration rare | $45.67 |
| 205/193 | EiscueIllustration rare | $23.78 |
| 206/193 | QuaxlyIllustration rare | $16.46 |
| 207/193 | QuaxwellIllustration rare | $8.23 |
| 208/193 | FrigibaxIllustration rare | $20.54 |
| 209/193 | ArctibaxIllustration rare | $17.03 |
| 210/193 | BaxcaliburIllustration rare | $30.34 |
| 211/193 | RaichuIllustration rare | $92.63 |
| 212/193 | MismagiusIllustration rare | $34.52 |
| 213/193 | GothoritaIllustration rare | $13.50 |
| 214/193 | SandygastIllustration rare | $11.31 |
| 215/193 | RabscaIllustration rare | $6.10 |
| 216/193 | TinkatinkIllustration rare | $27.87 |
| 217/193 | TinkatuffIllustration rare | $29.78 |
| 218/193 | Paldean TaurosIllustration rare | $16.92 |
| 219/193 | SudowoodoIllustration rare | $30.39 |
| 220/193 | NacliIllustration rare | $6.75 |
| 221/193 | Paldean WooperIllustration rare | $16.95 |
| 222/193 | TyranitarIllustration rare | $66.34 |
| 223/193 | GrafaiaiIllustration rare | $7.79 |
| 224/193 | OrthwormIllustration rare | $7.08 |
| 225/193 | RookideeIllustration rare | $11.52 |
| 226/193 | MausholdIllustration rare | $81.22 |
| 227/193 | FlamigoIllustration rare | $12.57 |
| 228/193 | FarigirafIllustration rare | $13.83 |
| 229/193 | DudunsparceIllustration rare | $14.26 |
| 230/193 | Forretress exUltra Rare | $1.20 |
| 231/193 | Meowscarada exUltra Rare | $4.80 |
| 232/193 | Wo-Chien exUltra Rare | $1.62 |
| 233/193 | Skeledirge exUltra Rare | $3.11 |
| 234/193 | Chi-Yu exUltra Rare | $4.39 |
| 235/193 | Quaquaval exUltra Rare | $1.95 |
| 236/193 | Chien-Pao exUltra Rare | $2.76 |
| 237/193 | Bellibolt exUltra Rare | $3.20 |
| 238/193 | Slowking exUltra Rare | $9.05 |
| 239/193 | Dedenne exUltra Rare | $16.02 |
| 240/193 | Tinkaton exUltra Rare | $9.77 |
| 241/193 | Lycanroc exUltra Rare | $2.24 |
| 242/193 | Annihilape exUltra Rare | $6.65 |
| 243/193 | Ting-Lu exUltra Rare | · |
| 244/193 | Paldean Clodsire exUltra Rare | $3.31 |
| 245/193 | Copperajah exUltra Rare | $1.30 |
| 246/193 | Noivern exUltra Rare | $2.41 |
| 247/193 | Squawkabilly exUltra Rare | $1.60 |
| 248/193 | Boss's OrdersUltra Rare | $9.01 |
| 249/193 | ClavellUltra Rare | $0.85 |
| 250/193 | DendraUltra Rare | $2.04 |
| 251/193 | FalknerUltra Rare | $1.24 |
| 252/193 | GiacomoUltra Rare | $1.04 |
| 253/193 | GrushaUltra Rare | $3.13 |
| 254/193 | IonoUltra Rare | $10.28 |
| 255/193 | SaguaroUltra Rare | $0.99 |
| 256/193 | Meowscarada exSpecial illustration rare | $26.51 |
| 257/193 | Wo-Chien exSpecial illustration rare | $14.37 |
| 258/193 | Skeledirge exSpecial illustration rare | $32.68 |
| 259/193 | Chi-Yu exSpecial illustration rare | $43.73 |
| 260/193 | Quaquaval exSpecial illustration rare | $12.81 |
| 261/193 | Chien-Pao exSpecial illustration rare | $26.01 |
| 262/193 | Tinkaton exSpecial illustration rare | $49.15 |
| 263/193 | Ting-Lu exSpecial illustration rare | $10.18 |
| 264/193 | Squawkabilly exSpecial illustration rare | $11.27 |
| 265/193 | Boss's OrdersSpecial illustration rare | $15.77 |
| 266/193 | DendraSpecial illustration rare | $8.46 |
| 267/193 | GiacomoSpecial illustration rare | $4.10 |
| 268/193 | GrushaSpecial illustration rare | $20.08 |
| 269/193 | IonoSpecial illustration rare | $47.04 |
| 270/193 | SaguaroSpecial illustration rare | $14.20 |
| 271/193 | Meowscarada exHyper rare | $9.09 |
| 272/193 | Skeledirge exHyper rare | $6.01 |
| 273/193 | Quaquaval exHyper rare | $5.84 |
| 274/193 | Chien-Pao exHyper rare | $6.16 |
| 275/193 | Ting-Lu exHyper rare | $3.86 |
| 276/193 | Super RodHyper rare | $4.22 |
| 277/193 | Superior Energy RetrievalHyper rare | $1.80 |
| 278/193 | Basic Grass EnergyHyper rare | $8.31 |
| 279/193 | Basic Water EnergyHyper rare | $7.75 |
Show all 279Show fewer
Every Paldea Evolved card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.
- chase card · Magikarp - 203/193$288.99
- sealed booster box · Paldea Evolved$459.88
Cheaper than the box
The single most valuable card in this set costs $170.89 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, quoted October 31, 2026.
62.8% of the box. Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.
The chase, priced in packsMagikarp ($288.99) lands about once per 468 packs · ~13 booster boxes · $5,978 of packs at today's box price
| Tier | Odds per pack | Expected per box |
|---|---|---|
| Double rare (ex) | 1 in 7 | 5.14 |
| Ultra rare (full art) | 1 in 15 | 2.4 |
| Illustration rare | 1 in 13 | 2.77 |
| Special illustration rare | 1 in 32 | 1.13 |
| Hyper rare (gold) | 1 in 57 | 0.63 |
Where these odds come from
Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.
Cheapest recorded route to packsPaldea Evolved Booster Box $12.77/pack
Biggest 30-day movePaldea Evolved Single Pack Blister [Smoliv] +12.1%
Show all 26Show fewer
Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes
Should you rip Paldea Evolved?
3.1%
of boxes beat the $460 box price
- Bottom 5%$83
- Median box$161
- Expected value$186
- Top 5%$427
Where 10,000 boxes landed
26.8%$0-125
57.7%$125-250
7.9%$250-375
6.2%$375-500
1.3%$500-625
0.2%$625-750
0.1%$750-875
0.0%$875-1000
Red buckets end below the $460 box price. 80.2% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.0% doubled it.
How the simulation works, tier by tier
We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Paldea Evolved using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($460, $12.77/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 40.4% of the box ask on average.
What a box actually pulls (sim average)
| Hit tier | Published rate | Pool | Avg / box | Mean value | Best case |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration rare | 1-in-13 | 36 | 2.76 | $32.46 | Magikarp ($289) |
| Special illustration rare | 1-in-32 | 15 | 1.14 | $22.57 | Tinkaton ex ($49) |
| Ultra rare (full art) | 1-in-15 | 26 | 2.39 | $4.06 | Dedenne ex ($16) |
| Double rare (ex) | 1-in-7 | 17 | 5.15 | $1.05 | Pikachu ex ($4) |
| Hyper rare (gold) | 1-in-57 | 9 | 0.64 | $5.90 | Meowscarada ex ($9) |
Not simulated. ACE SPEC rare: rated at 1-in-20 (4.94% +/- 0.46%) by the study, but our catalog holds no card of this tier for this set. A tier nobody has published a rate for is left out rather than folded into a neighboring tier.
Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $460 box price (Paldea Evolved Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: all 5 rates were measured on this set's own packs (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 30.7% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $51 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (279 of 279 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.
Breadth: 83 cards up · 154 down · 36 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Super Rod - 276/193 (+15.8%).