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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

Set deskNovember 2026

Paradox Rift

266 cards trackedEnglish printsUngradedTCGplayer marketas of November 1, 2026
$1,088Full set−7.5% 30 days
September 7, 2026November 1, 2026

The sum of every card's real TCGplayer price, recorded daily.

$0.21 Median card263 Priced

Set Market Report Pro

Where it sits in its own history56 recorded readings
$1,088 last reading
Recorded low$1,084October 29, 2026All-time high$1,213September 10, 2026
From that high−10.3%set value today
First recorded$1,209when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than11%6 of 56 recorded days were cheaper
Realized vol5%annualized, 56 days of daily returns
Max drawdown−10.6%recorded window
How these are measured

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.

Ask about Paradox Rift

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 40% of the bill
10 cards$437other 253$651

The short, expensive tail of the set.

If you are building it

You can own 253 of the 263 priced cards in Paradox Rift for about $651. The median card is $0.21. The remaining $437 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Groudon - 199/182, $92) is 8% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 60% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
  1. Groudon - 199/182Groudon - 199/182$92.33−17.8% 30d
  2. Morpeko - 206/182Morpeko - 206/182$59.99−1.4% 30d
  3. Minun - 194/182Minun - 194/182$44.73−1.7% 30d
  4. Plusle - 193/182Plusle - 193/182$43.63−4.0% 30d
  5. Altaria ex - 253/182Altaria ex - 253/182$43.17−8.1% 30d
  6. Steelix - 208/182Steelix - 208/182$34.17−6.3% 30d
  7. Gholdengo ex - 252/182Gholdengo ex - 252/182$30.01−4.9% 30d
  8. Garchomp ex - 245/182Garchomp ex - 245/182$30−12.9% 30d
  9. Mantyke - 189/182Mantyke - 189/182$29.76−10.8% 30d
  10. Aipom - 211/182Aipom - 211/182$29.44−1.8% 30d
Every card266 cards · 263 priced
No.CardRarityMarket
001/182SurskitCommonCommon$0.09
002/182MasquerainUncommonUncommon$0.09
003/182Froslass exDouble rareDouble rare$0.66
004/182PansageCommonCommon$0.07
005/182SimisageUncommonUncommon$0.09
006/182DwebbleCommonCommon$0.12
007/182CrustleCommonCommon$0.11
008/182BounsweetCommonCommon$0.05
009/182SteeneeUncommonUncommon$0.16
010/182BlipbugCommonCommon$0.06
011/182DottlerCommonCommon$0.12
012/182OrbeetleUncommonUncommon$0.09
013/182NymbleCommonCommon$0.06
014/182NymbleCommonCommon$0.15
015/182ToedscoolCommonCommon$0.17
016/182ToedscoolCommonCommon$0.19
017/182ToedscruelUncommonUncommon$0.20
018/182Wo-ChienRareRare$0.19
019/182MagbyCommonCommon$0.18
020/182PansearCommonCommon$0.04
021/182SimisearUncommonUncommon$0.06
022/182VolcanionRareRare$0.18
023/182FuecocoCommonCommon$0.13
024/182CrocalorUncommonUncommon$0.08
025/182CharcadetCommonCommon$0.19
026/182CharcadetCommonCommon$0.18
027/182Armarouge exDouble rareDouble rare$0.72
028/182Iron MothRareRare$0.15
029/182Chi-YuRareRare$0.16
030/182HorseaCommonCommon$0.16
031/182SeadraCommonCommon$0.15
032/182KingdraRareRare$0.24
033/182RemoraidCommonCommon$0.06
034/182OctilleryCommonCommon$0.18
035/182FeebasCommonCommon$0.09
036/182MiloticRareRare$0.23
037/182SnoruntCommonCommon$0.14
038/182Garchomp exDouble rareDouble rare$0.94
039/182MantykeCommonCommon$0.21
040/182PalkiaRareRare$0.22
041/182PanpourCommonCommon$0.06
042/182SimipourUncommonUncommon$0.12
043/182VanilliteCommonCommon$0.11
044/182VanillishCommonCommon$0.13
045/182VanilluxeUncommonUncommon$0.14
046/182Tsareena exDouble rareDouble rare$0.63
047/182WimpodCommonCommon$0.12
048/182WimpodCommonCommon$0.16
049/182GolisopodRareRare$0.16
050/182Golisopod exDouble rareDouble rare$0.61
051/182WiglettCommonCommon$0.15
052/182WiglettCommonCommon$0.21
053/182WugtrioUncommonUncommon$0.08
054/182VeluzaUncommonUncommon$0.09
055/182DondozoUncommonUncommon$0.10
056/182Iron BundleUncommonUncommon$0.20
057/182Chien-PaoRareRare$0.15
058/182Mewtwo exDouble rareDouble rare$2.69
059/182ElekidCommonCommon$0.17
060/182PlusleCommonCommon$0.16
061/182MinunCommonCommon$0.21
062/182BlitzleCommonCommon$0.22
063/182ZebstrikaUncommonUncommon$0.10
064/182JoltikCommonCommon$0.12
065/182GalvantulaCommonCommon$0.14
066/182ZekromRareRare$0.16
067/182OricorioCommonCommon$0.14
068/182Tapu Koko exDouble rareDouble rare$0.53
069/182ToxelCommonCommon$0.18
070/182Iron Hands exDouble rareDouble rare$0.67
071/182NatuCommonCommon$0.16
072/182XatuRareRare$0.21
073/182LatiosRareRare$0.21
074/182DeoxysRareRare$0.22
075/182YamaskCommonCommon$0.06
076/182Cofagrigus exDouble rareDouble rare$0.64
077/182PumpkabooCommonCommon$0.15
078/182GourgeistUncommonUncommon$0.15
079/182FlittleCommonCommon$0.09
080/182FlittleCommonCommon$0.18
081/182EspathraRareRare$0.11
082/182TinkatinkCommonCommon$0.15
083/182TinkatinkCommonCommon$0.14
084/182TinkatuffCommonCommon$0.13
085/182TinkatonUncommonUncommon$0.20
086/182Scream TailUncommonUncommon$0.14
087/182GimmighoulCommonCommon$0.16
088/182GimmighoulCommonCommon$0.13
089/182Iron Valiant exDouble rareDouble rare$0.73
090/182OnixCommonCommon$0.09
091/182GligarCommonCommon$0.11
092/182GliscorUncommonUncommon$0.07
093/182GroudonRareRare$0.08
094/182GibleCommonCommon$0.02
095/182GabiteCommonCommon$0.15
096/182MienfooCommonCommon$0.04
097/182MienshaoUncommonUncommon$0.06
098/182Hoopa exDouble rareDouble rare$0.69
099/182MiniorUncommonUncommon$0.13
100/182Toxtricity exDouble rareDouble rare$0.80
101/182NacliCommonCommon$0.12
102/182NacliCommonCommon$0.04
103/182NaclstackCommonCommon$0.09
104/182GarganaclRareRare$0.13
105/182KlawfUncommonUncommon$0.16
106/182FlamigoCommonCommon$0.06
107/182Slither WingUncommonUncommon$0.15
108/182Sandy Shocks exDouble rareDouble rare$0.60
109/182Ting-LuRareRare$0.17
110/182ZubatCommonCommon$0.05
111/182GolbatCommonCommon$0.15
112/182CrobatUncommonUncommon$0.07
113/182AbsolUncommonUncommon$0.26
114/182PurrloinCommonCommon$0.13
115/182LiepardCommonCommon$0.14
116/182TrubbishCommonCommon$0.16
117/182GarbodorUncommonUncommon$0.15
118/182YveltalRareRare$0.15
119/182NickitCommonCommon$0.11
120/182ThievulRareRare$0.15
121/182MorpekoRareRare$0.25
122/182LokixRareRare$0.16
123/182Brute BonnetRareRare$0.22
124/182Roaring Moon exDouble rareDouble rare$0.79
125/182SteelixRareRare$0.24
126/182JirachiCommonCommon$0.23
127/182FerroseedCommonCommon$0.06
128/182FerrothornUncommonUncommon$0.06
129/182DurantUncommonUncommon$0.09
130/182HonedgeCommonCommon$0.12
131/182HonedgeCommonCommon$0.14
132/182DoubladeCommonCommon$0.21
133/182DoubladeCommonCommon$0.14
134/182AegislashRareRare$0.16
135/182Aegislash exDouble rareDouble rare$0.63
136/182ZacianRareRare$0.20
137/182Skeledirge exDouble rareDouble rare$0.79
138/182OrthwormUncommonUncommon$0.16
139/182Gholdengo exDouble rareDouble rare$0.95
140/182Altaria exDouble rareDouble rare$0.65
141/182TatsugiriUncommonUncommon$0.12
142/182PorygonCommonCommon$0.14
143/182Porygon2CommonCommon$0.22
144/182Porygon-ZRareRare$0.21
145/182AipomCommonCommon$0.10
146/182AmbipomUncommonUncommon$0.07
147/182MiltankCommonCommon$0.17
148/182WhismurCommonCommon$0.15
149/182LoudredCommonCommon$0.11
150/182ExploudUncommonUncommon$0.19
151/182SpindaCommonCommon$0.16
152/182SwabluCommonCommon$0.11
153/182TandemausCommonCommon$0.24
154/182TandemausCommonCommon$0.24
155/182Maushold exDouble rareDouble rare$1.68
156/182Bombirdier exDouble rareDouble rare$0.60
157/182CyclizarUncommonUncommon$0.08
158/182Iron JugulisRareRare$0.21
159/182Ancient Booster Energy CapsuleUncommonUncommon$0.19
160/182Counter CatcherUncommonUncommon$0.26
161/182Cursed DusterUncommonUncommon$0.06
162/182Defiance VestUncommonUncommon$0.11
163/182Earthen VesselUncommonUncommon$0.22
164/182Future Booster Energy CapsuleUncommonUncommon$0.12
165/182LarryCommonCommon$0.15
166/182Luxurious CapeUncommonUncommon$0.21
167/182MelaUncommonUncommon$0.21
168/182NormanUncommonUncommon$0.11
169/182Parasol LadyCommonCommon$0.10
170/182Professor Sada's VitalityUncommonUncommon$0.16
171/182Professor Turo's ScenarioUncommonUncommon$0.22
172/182RikaUncommonUncommon$0.14
173/182RoarkUncommonUncommon$0.17
174/182ShauntalUncommonUncommon$0.12
175/182Snorlax DollUncommonUncommon$0.27
176/182Technical Machine: BlindsideUncommonUncommon$0.16
177/182Technical Machine: DevolutionUncommonUncommon$0.25
178/182Technical Machine: EvolutionUncommonUncommon$0.27
179/182Technical Machine: Turbo EnergizeUncommonUncommon$0.24
180/182Techno RadarUncommonUncommon$0.15
181/182TulipUncommonUncommon$0.20
182/182Medical EnergyUncommonUncommon$0.22
183/182CrustleIllustration rareIllustration rare$5.14
184/182DottlerIllustration rareIllustration rare$4.99
185/182ToedscruelIllustration rareIllustration rare$5.45
186/182MagbyIllustration rareIllustration rare$21.28
187/182Iron MothIllustration rareIllustration rare$7.49
188/182SnoruntIllustration rareIllustration rare$6.98
189/182MantykeIllustration rareIllustration rare$29.76
190/182VanillishIllustration rareIllustration rare$10.99
191/182WimpodIllustration rareIllustration rare$13.13
192/182VeluzaIllustration rareIllustration rare$9.63
193/182PlusleIllustration rareIllustration rare$43.63
194/182MinunIllustration rareIllustration rare$44.73
195/182BlitzleIllustration rareIllustration rare$11.08
196/182JoltikIllustration rareIllustration rare$25.50
197/182EspathraIllustration rareIllustration rare$8.57
198/182GimmighoulIllustration rareIllustration rare·
199/182GroudonIllustration rareIllustration rare$92.33
200/182MienshaoIllustration rareIllustration rare$8.51
201/182MiniorIllustration rareIllustration rare$26.95
202/182GarganaclIllustration rareIllustration rare$5.87
203/182Slither WingIllustration rareIllustration rare$5.22
204/182GarbodorIllustration rareIllustration rare$18.67
205/182YveltalIllustration rareIllustration rare$26.91
206/182MorpekoIllustration rareIllustration rare$59.99
207/182Brute BonnetIllustration rareIllustration rare$15.75
208/182SteelixIllustration rareIllustration rare$34.17
209/182FerrothornIllustration rareIllustration rare$6.23
210/182AegislashIllustration rareIllustration rare$11.11
211/182AipomIllustration rareIllustration rare$29.44
212/182LoudredIllustration rareIllustration rare$14.99
213/182SwabluIllustration rareIllustration rare$17.29
214/182Porygon-ZIllustration rareIllustration rare$15.18
215/182CyclizarIllustration rareIllustration rare$6.65
216/182Iron JugulisIllustration rareIllustration rare$9.87
217/182Froslass exUltra RareUltra Rare$2.14
218/182Armarouge exUltra RareUltra Rare$2.10
219/182Garchomp exUltra RareUltra Rare$8.03
220/182Tsareena exUltra RareUltra Rare$2.73
221/182Golisopod exUltra RareUltra Rare$2.16
222/182Tapu Koko exUltra RareUltra Rare$1.56
223/182Iron Hands exUltra RareUltra Rare$2.09
224/182Cofagrigus exUltra RareUltra Rare$1.61
225/182Iron Valiant exUltra RareUltra Rare$2.40
226/182Hoopa exUltra RareUltra Rare$3.40
227/182Toxtricity exUltra RareUltra Rare$4.43
228/182Sandy Shocks exUltra RareUltra Rare$1.84
229/182Roaring Moon exUltra RareUltra Rare$3.90
230/182Aegislash exUltra RareUltra Rare$2.01
231/182Gholdengo exUltra RareUltra Rare$3.05
232/182Altaria exUltra RareUltra Rare$3.39
233/182Maushold exUltra RareUltra Rare$20.67
234/182Bombirdier exUltra RareUltra Rare$1.65
235/182LarryUltra RareUltra Rare$2.03
236/182MelaUltra RareUltra Rare$2.36
237/182NormanUltra RareUltra Rare·
238/182Parasol LadyUltra RareUltra Rare$4.65
239/182Professor Sada's VitalityUltra RareUltra Rare$1.69
240/182Professor Turo's ScenarioUltra RareUltra Rare·
241/182RikaUltra RareUltra Rare$2.15
242/182RoarkUltra RareUltra Rare$1.27
243/182ShauntalUltra RareUltra Rare$1.76
244/182TulipUltra RareUltra Rare$3.26
245/182Garchomp exSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$30.00
246/182Golisopod exSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$24.92
247/182Tapu Koko exSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$17.49
248/182Iron Hands exSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$12.44
249/182Iron Valiant exSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$19.49
250/182Sandy Shocks exSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$8.31
251/182Roaring Moon exSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$28.96
252/182Gholdengo exSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$30.01
253/182Altaria exSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$43.17
254/182MelaSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$9.56
255/182Parasol LadySpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$15.11
256/182Professor Sada's VitalitySpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$8.63
257/182Professor Turo's ScenarioSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$5.37
258/182RikaSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$8.96
259/182TulipSpecial illustration rareSpecial illustration rare$7.80
260/182Garchomp exHyper rareHyper rare$15.76
261/182Iron Valiant exHyper rareHyper rare$4.37
262/182Roaring Moon exHyper rareHyper rare$6.09
263/182Beach CourtHyper rareHyper rare$3.01
264/182Counter CatcherHyper rareHyper rare$1.74
265/182Luxurious CapeHyper rareHyper rare$2.85
266/182Reversal EnergyHyper rareHyper rare$1.90
Show all 266Show fewer

Every Paradox Rift card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

Advisor read
Card vs box−67.4% vs the box
  • chase card · Groudon - 199/182$92.33
  • sealed booster box · Paradox Rift$282.98

Cheaper than the box

The single most valuable card in this set costs $190.65 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, quoted October 31, 2026.

32.6% of the box. Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

Pull ratesmeasured
The chase, priced in packsGroudon ($92.33) lands about once per 442 packs · ~12.3 booster boxes · $3,474 of packs at today's box price
TierOdds per packCards in tierExpected per box
Double rare (ex)1 in 6206
Ultra rare (full art)1 in 15282.4
Illustration rare1 in 13342.77
Special illustration rare1 in 47150.77
Hyper rare (gold)1 in 8270.44
Where these odds come from

Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.

The product desk19 products · 10 lots
Cheapest recorded route to packsParadox Rift Booster Box $7.86/pack
Biggest 30-day moveParadox Rift Fun Pack −10.1%
ProductPriceFamilyPacks$/pack30d
01Paradox Rift Booster Box$282.98Booster Box36$7.860.0%
02Paradox Rift Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Roaring Moon]$215.44ETB (Pokémon Center)··−3.3%
03Paradox Rift Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Iron Valiant]$190.47ETB (Pokémon Center)··−0.7%
04Paradox Rift Elite Trainer Box [Iron Valiant]$135.87Elite Trainer Box··+0.5%
05Paradox Rift Elite Trainer Box [Roaring Moon]$133.12Elite Trainer Box··−3.0%
06Paradox Rift Build & Battle Stadium$98.05Build & Battle··+3.3%
07Paradox Rift Booster Bundle$91.86Booster Bundle6$15.31+1.4%
08Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box$43.06Build & Battle··−0.4%
09Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister [Ceruledge]$40.98Blister··0.0%
10Paradox Rift Premium Checklane Blister [Hydreigon]$34.67Blister··0.0%
11Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister [Arctibax]$30.70Blister··−1.0%
12Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister [Cetitan]$30.59Blister··+3.3%
13Paradox Rift Fun Pack$13.48Product··−10.1%
14Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister [Glimmora]$12.00Blister··0.0%
15Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister [Sinistea]$11.03Blister··−1.7%
16Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster Pack$10.97Booster Pack1$10.97−3.3%
17Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister [Pineco]$10.85Blister··−1.5%
18Paradox Rift Premium Checklane Blister [Tinkaton]$10.00Blister···
19Paradox Rift Booster Pack$8.52Booster Pack1$8.52−2.4%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
Paradox Rift Booster Box Case$1,841.61Booster BoxLot··−0.4%
Paradox Rift Elite Trainer Box Case$1,299.00Elite Trainer BoxLot···
Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster Case$1,257.96Booster PackLot··−0.1%
Paradox Rift Build & Battle Stadium Case$499.99Build & BattleLot···
Paradox Rift Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Set of 2]$421.85ETB (Pokémon Center)Lot··+3.8%
Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box Display$371.96Build & BattleLot··−0.7%
Paradox Rift Elite Trainer Boxes [Set of 2]$328.25Elite Trainer BoxLot··+2.7%
Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister [Set of 2]$70.46BlisterLot··+20.3%
Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$40.99Booster PackLot··−8.2%
Paradox Rift Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$39.39Booster PackLot··−1.5%
Show all 29Show fewer

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Paradox Rift?

0.7%
of boxes beat the $283 box price
$283 box price
  • Bottom 5%$72
  • Median box$124
  • Expected value$133
  • Top 5%$222
Where 10,000 boxes landed
6.8%
$0-75
63.4%
$75-150
25.4%
$150-225
4.1%
$225-300
0.4%
$300-375
0.1%
$375-450
$0$450
Red buckets end below the $283 box price. 64.5% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.0% doubled it.
How the simulation works, tier by tier

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Paradox Rift using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($283, $7.86/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 46.8% of the box ask on average.

What a box actually pulls (sim average)
Hit tierPublished ratePoolAvg / boxMean valueBest case
Illustration rare1-in-13342.76$19.53Groudon ($92)
Special illustration rare1-in-47150.77$18.03Altaria ex ($43)
Ultra rare (full art)1-in-15282.4$3.23Maushold ex ($20)
Double rare (ex)1-in-6206.01$0.79Mewtwo ex ($3)
Hyper rare (gold)1-in-8270.45$5.10Garchomp ex ($16)
Not simulated. ACE SPEC rare: rated at 1-in-20 (4.94% +/- 0.46%) by the study, but our catalog holds no card of this tier for this set. A tier nobody has published a rate for is left out rather than folded into a neighboring tier.

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $283 box price (Paradox Rift Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: all 5 rates were measured on this set's own packs (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 16.9% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $50 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (264 of 266 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Breadth: 95 cards up · 135 down · 29 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Toxtricity ex - 227/182 (+24.7%).

Every Pokémon setParadox Rift market reportPack opening simulatorSealed product pricesWhat a Dollar in a Booster Pack Buys BackBreadth: The Index Rose 4.8% in Sixteen Days, 120 of 156 Sets Rose With It, and the 300 Most Valuable Cards Did Not MovePulling the Chase Costs 6x to 86x More Than Buying ItThe Big Hit Went From One Per Box to One Every Third Box