Set deskNovember 2026

Destined Rivals

244 cards trackedEnglish printsUngradedTCGplayer marketas of November 1, 2026

$1,282Full set−17.8% 30 days

September 7, 2026November 1, 2026

The sum of every card's real TCGplayer price, recorded daily.

$0.21 Median card242 Priced

Set Market Report Pro

Where it sits in its own history56 recorded readings

$1,282 last reading

Recorded low$1,282November 1, 2026All-time high$1,770September 8, 2026

From that high−27.6%set value today

First recorded$1,770when we started tracking, not a release

Dearer than0%0 of 56 recorded days were cheaper

Realized vol8%annualized, 56 days of daily returns

Max drawdown−27.6%recorded window

How these are measured

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.

Ask about Destined Rivals

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 72% of the bill

The short, expensive tail of the set.

If you are building it

You can own 232 of the 242 priced cards in Destined Rivals for about $354. The median card is $0.21. The remaining $928 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 231/182, $328) is 26% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 28% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Chase laddertop 10 by price

Every card244 cards · 242 priced

No.	Card	Rarity	Market
001/182	Ethan's PinsirUncommon	Uncommon	$0.13
002/182	YanmaCommon	Common	$0.21
003/182	Yanmega exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.46
004/182	PinecoCommon	Common	$0.17
005/182	ShroomishCommon	Common	$0.18
006/182	BreloomCommon	Common	$0.17
007/182	Cynthia's RoseliaCommon	Common	$0.18
008/182	Cynthia's RoseradeRare	Rare	$0.24
009/182	Mow RotomCommon	Common	$0.16
010/182	ShayminUncommon	Uncommon	$0.29
011/182	DwebbleCommon	Common	$0.25
012/182	CrustleRare	Rare	$0.22
013/182	FomantisCommon	Common	$0.19
014/182	LurantisUncommon	Uncommon	$0.12
015/182	Team Rocket's BlipbugCommon	Common	$0.07
016/182	ApplinCommon	Common	$0.17
017/182	DipplinCommon	Common	$0.18
018/182	HydrappleRare	Rare	$0.17
019/182	Team Rocket's TarountulaCommon	Common	$0.22
020/182	Team Rocket's SpidopsRare	Rare	$0.20
021/182	SmolivCommon	Common	$0.29
022/182	DollivCommon	Common	$0.19
023/182	Arboliva exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.55
024/182	RellorCommon	Common	$0.13
025/182	Rabsca exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.47
026/182	Teal Mask OgerponUncommon	Uncommon	$0.12
027/182	GrowlitheCommon	Common	$0.23
028/182	ArcanineUncommon	Uncommon	$0.13
029/182	PonytaCommon	Common	$0.22
030/182	RapidashUncommon	Uncommon	$0.18
031/182	Team Rocket's Moltres exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.61
032/182	Ethan's CyndaquilCommon	Common	$0.18
033/182	Ethan's QuilavaCommon	Common	$0.27
034/182	Ethan's TyphlosionRare	Rare	$0.31
035/182	Ethan's SlugmaCommon	Common	$0.08
036/182	Ethan's MagcargoRare	Rare	$0.21
037/182	Team Rocket's HoundourCommon	Common	$0.06
038/182	Team Rocket's HoundoomUncommon	Uncommon	$0.09
039/182	Ethan's Ho-Oh exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.95
040/182	TorchicCommon	Common	$0.20
041/182	CombuskenCommon	Common	$0.26
042/182	BlazikenRare	Rare	$0.25
043/182	Heat RotomCommon	Common	$0.19
044/182	Hearthflame Mask OgerponUncommon	Uncommon	$0.17
045/182	Misty's PsyduckUncommon	Uncommon	$0.24
046/182	Misty's StaryuCommon	Common	$0.19
047/182	Misty's StarmieUncommon	Uncommon	$0.24
048/182	Misty's MagikarpCommon	Common	$0.21
049/182	Misty's GyaradosRare	Rare	$0.32
050/182	Misty's LaprasCommon	Common	$0.27
051/182	Team Rocket's ArticunoRare	Rare	$0.27
052/182	Cynthia's FeebasCommon	Common	$0.14
053/182	Cynthia's MiloticUncommon	Uncommon	$0.11
054/182	ClamperlCommon	Common	$0.11
055/182	HuntailUncommon	Uncommon	$0.16
056/182	GorebyssRare	Rare	$0.19
057/182	BuizelCommon	Common	$0.18
058/182	FloatzelUncommon	Uncommon	$0.08
059/182	SnoverCommon	Common	$0.14
060/182	AbomasnowUncommon	Uncommon	$0.06
061/182	Wash RotomCommon	Common	$0.24
062/182	ArrokudaCommon	Common	$0.15
063/182	BarraskewdaUncommon	Uncommon	$0.16
064/182	CetoddleCommon	Common	$0.13
065/182	Cetitan exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.42
066/182	Dondozo exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.56
067/182	Wellspring Mask OgerponUncommon	Uncommon	$0.21
068/182	ElectabuzzCommon	Common	$0.03
069/182	Electivire exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.47
070/182	Team Rocket's ZapdosRare	Rare	$0.25
071/182	Ethan's PichuCommon	Common	$0.20
072/182	Team Rocket's MareepCommon	Common	$0.08
073/182	Team Rocket's FlaaffyCommon	Common	$0.22
074/182	Team Rocket's AmpharosUncommon	Uncommon	$0.16
075/182	ElectrikeCommon	Common	$0.17
076/182	ManectricUncommon	Uncommon	$0.08
077/182	RotomCommon	Common	$0.17
078/182	ZeraoraRare	Rare	$0.21
079/182	Team Rocket's DrowzeeCommon	Common	$0.09
080/182	Team Rocket's HypnoUncommon	Uncommon	$0.16
081/182	Team Rocket's Mewtwo exDouble rare	Double rare	$2.08
082/182	Team Rocket's WobbuffetRare	Rare	$0.21
083/182	Steven's BaltoyCommon	Common	$0.18
084/182	Steven's ClaydolUncommon	Uncommon	$0.09
085/182	Team Rocket's ChinglingCommon	Common	$0.21
086/182	Steven's CarbinkCommon	Common	$0.17
087/182	Team Rocket's MimikyuUncommon	Uncommon	$0.25
088/182	Team Rocket's DottlerCommon	Common	$0.15
089/182	Team Rocket's OrbeetleUncommon	Uncommon	$0.10
090/182	MankeyCommon	Common	$0.16
091/182	PrimeapeCommon	Common	$0.25
092/182	AnnihilapeRare	Rare	$0.21
093/182	Ethan's SudowoodoCommon	Common	$0.17
094/182	Team Rocket's LarvitarCommon	Common	$0.17
095/182	Team Rocket's PupitarCommon	Common	$0.16
096/182	Team Rocket's TyranitarRare	Rare	$0.24
097/182	NosepassCommon	Common	$0.18
098/182	ProbopassUncommon	Uncommon	$0.15
099/182	MedititeCommon	Common	$0.23
100/182	MedichamUncommon	Uncommon	$0.18
101/182	Regirock exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.52
102/182	Cynthia's GibleCommon	Common	$0.26
103/182	Cynthia's GabiteCommon	Common	$0.25
104/182	Cynthia's Garchomp exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.99
105/182	HippopotasCommon	Common	$0.16
106/182	HippowdonUncommon	Uncommon	$0.05
107/182	MudbrayCommon	Common	$0.14
108/182	MudsdaleUncommon	Uncommon	$0.11
109/182	Arven's ToedscoolCommon	Common	$0.09
110/182	Arven's ToedscruelUncommon	Uncommon	$0.08
111/182	Cornerstone Mask OgerponUncommon	Uncommon	$0.17
112/182	Team Rocket's EkansCommon	Common	$0.20
113/182	Team Rocket's ArbokUncommon	Uncommon	$0.20
114/182	Team Rocket's Nidoran♀Common	Common	$0.14
115/182	Team Rocket's NidorinaCommon	Common	$0.21
116/182	Team Rocket's NidoqueenUncommon	Uncommon	$0.13
117/182	Team Rocket's Nidoran♂Common	Common	$0.22
118/182	Team Rocket's NidorinoCommon	Common	$0.21
119/182	Team Rocket's Nidoking exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.54
120/182	Team Rocket's ZubatCommon	Common	$0.19
121/182	Team Rocket's GolbatUncommon	Uncommon	$0.22
122/182	Team Rocket's Crobat exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.54
123/182	Team Rocket's GrimerCommon	Common	$0.08
124/182	Team Rocket's MukUncommon	Uncommon	$0.23
125/182	Team Rocket's KoffingCommon	Common	$0.20
126/182	Team Rocket's WeezingUncommon	Uncommon	$0.19
127/182	Team Rocket's MurkrowUncommon	Uncommon	$0.22
128/182	Team Rocket's SneaselRare	Rare	$0.23
129/182	Cynthia's SpiritombUncommon	Uncommon	$0.26
130/182	Marnie's PurrloinCommon	Common	$0.19
131/182	Marnie's LiepardUncommon	Uncommon	$0.20
132/182	Marnie's ScraggyCommon	Common	$0.20
133/182	Marnie's ScraftyUncommon	Uncommon	$0.07
134/182	Marnie's ImpidimpCommon	Common	$0.21
135/182	Marnie's MorgremUncommon	Uncommon	$0.21
136/182	Marnie's Grimmsnarl exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.65
137/182	Marnie's MorpekoCommon	Common	$0.26
138/182	Arven's MaschiffCommon	Common	$0.09
139/182	Arven's Mabosstiff exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.49
140/182	ForretressUncommon	Uncommon	$0.07
141/182	SkarmoryCommon	Common	$0.18
142/182	Steven's SkarmoryCommon	Common	$0.18
143/182	Steven's BeldumCommon	Common	$0.20
144/182	Steven's MetangUncommon	Uncommon	$0.23
145/182	Steven's Metagross exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.89
146/182	ZamazentaRare	Rare	$0.18
147/182	Team Rocket's RattataCommon	Common	$0.08
148/182	Team Rocket's RaticateCommon	Common	$0.13
149/182	Team Rocket's MeowthCommon	Common	$0.19
150/182	Team Rocket's Persian exDouble rare	Double rare	$0.58
151/182	KangaskhanCommon	Common	$0.09
152/182	TaurosCommon	Common	$0.29
153/182	Team Rocket's PorygonCommon	Common	$0.19
154/182	Team Rocket's Porygon2Common	Common	$0.21
155/182	Team Rocket's Porygon-ZUncommon	Uncommon	$0.21
156/182	TaillowCommon	Common	$0.17
157/182	SwellowCommon	Common	$0.05
158/182	Arven's SkwovetCommon	Common	$0.08
159/182	Arven's GreedentRare	Rare	$0.13
160/182	SquawkabillyCommon	Common	$0.13
161/182	Arven's SandwichUncommon	Uncommon	$0.14
162/182	Cynthia's Power WeightUncommon	Uncommon	$0.18
163/182	Emcee's HypeCommon	Common	$0.18
164/182	Energy RecyclerUncommon	Uncommon	$0.23
165/182	Ethan's AdventureUncommon	Uncommon	$0.16
166/182	Granite CaveUncommon	Uncommon	$0.12
167/182	JudgeUncommon	Uncommon	$0.25
168/182	Sacred AshUncommon	Uncommon	$0.19
169/182	Spikemuth GymUncommon	Uncommon	$0.19
170/182	Team Rocket's ArcherUncommon	Uncommon	$0.13
171/182	Team Rocket's ArianaUncommon	Uncommon	$0.21
172/182	Team Rocket's Bother-BotUncommon	Uncommon	$0.17
173/182	Team Rocket's FactoryUncommon	Uncommon	$0.18
174/182	Team Rocket's GiovanniUncommon	Uncommon	$0.19
175/182	Team Rocket's Great BallUncommon	Uncommon	$0.16
176/182	Team Rocket's PetrelUncommon	Uncommon	$0.25
177/182	Team Rocket's ProtonUncommon	Uncommon	$0.14
178/182	Team Rocket's TransceiverUncommon	Uncommon	$0.27
179/182	Team Rocket's Venture BombUncommon	Uncommon	$0.19
180/182	Team Rocket's WatchtowerUncommon	Uncommon	$0.20
181/182	TM MachineUncommon	Uncommon	$0.21
182/182	Team Rocket's EnergyUncommon	Uncommon	$0.23
183/182	YanmaIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$2.77
184/182	Cynthia's RoseradeIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$10.35
185/182	ShayminIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$10.89
186/182	CrustleIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$2.21
187/182	Team Rocket's SpidopsIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$3.78
188/182	HydrappleIllustration rare	Illustration rare	·
189/182	RapidashIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$7.22
190/182	Ethan's TyphlosionIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$18.08
191/182	Team Rocket's HoundoomIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$8.85
192/182	BlazikenIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$7.77
193/182	Misty's PsyduckIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$43.18
194/182	Misty's LaprasIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$19.24
195/182	ClamperlIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$3.40
196/182	ElectrikeIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$3.01
197/182	RotomIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$3.34
198/182	Team Rocket's OrbeetleIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$2.34
199/182	Team Rocket's WeezingIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$5.63
200/182	Team Rocket's MurkrowIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$5.78
201/182	ZamazentaIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$3.65
202/182	Team Rocket's RaticateIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$4.15
203/182	Team Rocket's MeowthIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$17.45
204/182	KangaskhanIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$7.84
205/182	Arven's GreedentIllustration rare	Illustration rare	$2.50
206/182	Yanmega exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$0.75
207/182	Arboliva exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$1.55
208/182	Team Rocket's Moltres exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$3.93
209/182	Ethan's Ho-Oh exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$6.34
210/182	Cetitan exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$1.00
211/182	Dondozo exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$0.91
212/182	Electivire exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$1.04
213/182	Team Rocket's Mewtwo exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$17.13
214/182	Regirock exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$1.22
215/182	Cynthia's Garchomp exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$4.20
216/182	Team Rocket's Nidoking exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$2.61
217/182	Team Rocket's Crobat exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$2.03
218/182	Arven's Mabosstiff exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$1.28
219/182	Team Rocket's Persian exUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$3.18
220/182	Emcee's HypeUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$1.77
221/182	Ethan's AdventureUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$2.75
222/182	JudgeUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$1.66
223/182	Team Rocket's ArcherUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$1.94
224/182	Team Rocket's ArianaUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$3.15
225/182	Team Rocket's GiovanniUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$4.90
226/182	Team Rocket's PetrelUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$7.47
227/182	Team Rocket's ProtonUltra Rare	Ultra Rare	$2.02
228/182	Yanmega exSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	$14.15
229/182	Team Rocket's Moltres exSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	$57.93
230/182	Ethan's Ho-Oh exSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	$131.89
231/182	Team Rocket's Mewtwo exSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	$328.13
232/182	Cynthia's Garchomp exSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	$163.12
233/182	Team Rocket's Nidoking exSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	$66.30
234/182	Team Rocket's Crobat exSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	$42.45
235/182	Arven's Mabosstiff exSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	·
236/182	Ethan's AdventureSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	$27.37
237/182	Team Rocket's ArianaSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	$13.31
238/182	Team Rocket's GiovanniSpecial illustration rare	Special illustration rare	$20.87
239/182	Ethan's Ho-Oh exHyper rare	Hyper rare	$18.82
240/182	Team Rocket's Mewtwo exHyper rare	Hyper rare	$43.32
241/182	Cynthia's Garchomp exHyper rare	Hyper rare	$24.50
242/182	Team Rocket's Crobat exHyper rare	Hyper rare	$10.74
243/182	Jamming TowerHyper rare	Hyper rare	$5.63
244/182	LevinciaHyper rare	Hyper rare	$6.13

Show all 244Show fewer

Every Destined Rivals card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

Advisor read

Card vs box−14.0% vs the box

chase card · Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 231/182$328.13
sealed booster box · Destined Rivals$381.43

Cheaper than the box

The single most valuable card in this set costs $53.3 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, quoted October 31, 2026.

86.0% of the box. Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

Pull ratesmeasured

The chase, priced in packsTeam Rocket's Mewtwo ex ($328.13) lands about once per 1,033 packs · ~28.7 booster boxes · $10,945 of packs at today's box price

Tier	Odds per pack	Cards in tier	Expected per box
Double rare (ex)	1 in 5	17	7.2
Ultra rare (full art)	1 in 16	22	2.25
Illustration rare	1 in 12	23	3
Special illustration rare	1 in 94	11	0.38
Hyper rare (gold)	1 in 149	6	0.24

Where these odds come from

Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.

The product desk17 products · 8 lots

Cheapest recorded route to packsDestined Rivals Booster Pack $8.65/pack

Biggest 30-day moveDestined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Skeledirge] +10.3%

	Product	Price	Family	Packs	$/pack	30d
01	Destined Rivals Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)	$406.03	ETB (Pokémon Center)	·	·	−4.4%
02	Destined Rivals Booster Box	$381.43	Booster Box	36	$10.60	−5.7%
03	Destined Rivals Half Booster Box	$316.15	Half Box	·	·	0.0%
04	Destined Rivals Elite Trainer Box	$107.02	Elite Trainer Box	·	·	−8.3%
05	Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box	$68.79	Build & Battle	·	·	−0.6%
06	Destined Rivals Booster Bundle	$58.57	Booster Bundle	6	$9.76	−7.6%
07	Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Kangaskhan]	$48.70	Blister	·	·	−3.1%
08	Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Skeledirge]	$47.99	Blister	·	·	+10.3%
09	Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Zebstrika]	$45.95	Blister	·	·	−4.4%
10	Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Togekiss]	$37.52	Blister	·	·	−5.4%
11	Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Gastrodon]	$18.32	Blister	·	·	−1.6%
12	Destined Rivals Single Pack Blister [Eevee]	$17.71	Blister	·	·	−6.7%
13	Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Rabsca]	$16.93	Blister	·	·	−2.5%
14	Destined Rivals Single Pack Blister [Zarude]	$13.36	Blister	·	·	−4.3%
15	Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster Pack	$10.20	Booster Pack	1	$10.20	+9.9%
16	Destined Rivals Booster Pack	$8.65	Booster Pack	1	$8.65	−2.0%
17	Destined Rivals Fun Pack	$6.29	Product	·	·	+4.7%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
	Destined Rivals Booster Box Case	$2,482.24	Booster BoxLot	·	·	−2.8%
	Destined Rivals Booster Bundle Case	$1,799.12	Booster BundleLot	·	·	−0.2%
	Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster Case	$1,585.71	Booster PackLot	·	·	−0.7%
	Destined Rivals Elite Trainer Box Case	$1,198.81	Elite Trainer BoxLot	·	·	−1.4%
	Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box Display	$614.25	Build & BattleLot	·	·	+10.4%
	Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Set of 2]	$88.57	BlisterLot	·	·	+1.2%
	Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$38.92	Booster PackLot	·	·	−4.0%
	Destined Rivals Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$38.43	Booster PackLot	·	·	−2.3%

Show all 25Show fewer

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold

Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Destined Rivals?

3.5%

of boxes beat the $381 box price

$381 box price

Bottom 5%$75
Median box$108
Expected value$133
Top 5%$278

Where 10,000 boxes landed

86.3%

$0-175

10.0%

$175-350

3.3%

$350-525

0.3%

$525-700

0.1%

$700-875

0.0%

$875-1050

0.0%

$1050-1225

Red buckets end below the $381 box price. 88.2% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.0% doubled it.

How the simulation works, tier by tier

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Destined Rivals using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($381, $10.60/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 34.7% of the box ask on average.

What a box actually pulls (sim average)

Hit tier	Published rate	Pool	Avg / box	Mean value	Best case
Special illustration rare	1-in-94 (1.06% +/- 0.22%)	11	0.39	$78.72	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex ($328)
Illustration rare	1-in-12 (8.29% +/- 0.58%)	23	2.99	$8.54	Misty's Psyduck ($43)
Ultra rare (full art)	1-in-16 (6.39% +/- 0.52%)	22	2.3	$3.35	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex ($17)
Hyper rare (gold)	1-in-149 (0.67% +/- 0.17%)	6	0.24	$18.23	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex ($43)
Double rare (ex)	1-in-5 (19.83% +/- 0.84%)	17	7.1	$0.49	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex ($2)

Not simulated. ACE SPEC rare: rated at 1-in-20 (4.94% +/- 0.46%) by the study, but our catalog holds no card of this tier for this set. A tier nobody has published a rate for is left out rather than folded into a neighboring tier.

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $381 box price (Destined Rivals Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: all 5 rates were measured on this set's own packs (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs, 95% CI). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 17.6% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $62 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (237 of 244 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Breadth: 103 cards up · 114 down · 23 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Ethan's Ho-Oh ex - 209/182 (+10.5%).