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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

Set deskNovember 2026

Vivid Voltage

203 cards trackedEnglish printsUngradedTCGplayer marketas of November 1, 2026
$522Full set+0.2% 30 days
September 7, 2026November 1, 2026

The sum of every card's real TCGplayer price, recorded daily.

$0.23 Median card203 Priced

Set Market Report Pro

Where it sits in its own history56 recorded readings
$522 last reading
Recorded low$507October 20, 2026All-time high$550September 7, 2026
From that high−5.1%set value today
First recorded$550when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than48%27 of 56 recorded days were cheaper
Realized vol7%annualized, 56 days of daily returns
Max drawdown−7.8%recorded window
How these are measured

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.

Ask about Vivid Voltage

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 61% of the bill
10 cards$318other 193$203

The short, expensive tail of the set.

If you are building it

You can own 193 of the 203 priced cards in Vivid Voltage for about $203. The median card is $0.23. The remaining $318 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Pikachu VMAX (Secret), $168) is 32% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 39% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
  1. Pikachu VMAX (Secret)Pikachu VMAX (Secret)$168−1.9% 30d
  2. Pikachu V (Full Art)Pikachu V (Full Art)$40.77−10.6% 30d
  3. RayquazaRayquaza$26.73+25.3% 30d
  4. Pokemon Center Lady (Full Art)Pokemon Center Lady (Full Art)$18.93−4.3% 30d
  5. Togekiss VMAX (Secret)Togekiss VMAX (Secret)$13.27−1.0% 30d
  6. Pikachu VMAXPikachu VMAX$11.7−0.7% 30d
  7. Nessa (Secret)Nessa (Secret)$11.11−0.5% 30d
  8. CelebiCelebi$10.36+91.7% 30d
  9. JirachiJirachi$9.24+33.7% 30d
  10. Nessa (Full Art)Nessa (Full Art)$8.36−13.4% 30d
Every card203 cards · 203 priced
No.CardRarityMarket
1/185WeedleCommonCommon$0.07
2/185KakunaUncommonUncommon$0.10
3/185BeedrillRareRare$0.23
4/185ExeggcuteCommonCommon$0.04
5/185ExeggutorRareRare$0.28
6/185YanmaCommonCommon$0.04
7/185YanmegaRareRare$0.05
8/185PinecoCommonCommon$0.22
9/185CelebiAmazing RareAmazing Rare$10.36
10/185SeedotCommonCommon$0.05
11/185NuzleafUncommonUncommon$0.14
12/185ShiftryRareRare$0.20
13/185NincadaCommonCommon$0.05
14/185NinjaskRareRare$0.32
15/185ShayminHolo RareHolo Rare$0.34
16/185GenesectHolo RareHolo Rare$0.29
17/185SkiddoCommonCommon$0.10
18/185GogoatUncommonUncommon$0.14
19/185DhelmiseUncommonUncommon$0.15
20/185Orbeetle VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.67
21/185Orbeetle VMAXHolo Rare VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$1.52
22/185Zarude VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.67
23/185CharmanderCommonCommon$0.29
24/185CharmeleonUncommonUncommon$0.17
25/185CharizardRareRare$3.64
26/185FlareonRareRare$0.47
27/185SlugmaCommonCommon$0.12
28/185MagcargoUncommonUncommon$0.08
29/185Talonflame VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.59
30/185VaporeonRareRare$0.50
31/185WailmerCommonCommon$0.22
32/185WailordHolo RareHolo Rare$0.45
33/185OshawottCommonCommon$0.18
34/185DewottUncommonUncommon$0.07
35/185SamurottRareRare$0.29
36/185Galarian Darmanitan VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.63
37/185Galarian Darmanitan VMAXHolo Rare VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$1.36
38/185ChewtleCommonCommon$0.13
39/185DrednawRareRare$0.12
40/185CramorantUncommonUncommon$0.14
41/185ArrokudaCommonCommon$0.15
42/185BarraskewdaRareRare$0.21
43/185Pikachu VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$2.49
44/185Pikachu VMAXHolo Rare VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$11.70
45/185VoltorbCommonCommon$0.13
46/185ElectrodeHolo RareHolo Rare$0.28
47/185JolteonRareRare$0.54
48/185ZapdosHolo RareHolo Rare$0.52
49/185Ampharos VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.99
50/185RaikouAmazing RareAmazing Rare$6.54
51/185ElectrikeCommonCommon$0.06
52/185ManectricRareRare$0.20
53/185BlitzleCommonCommon$0.04
54/185ZebstrikaUncommonUncommon$0.06
55/185JoltikCommonCommon$0.20
56/185GalvantulaUncommonUncommon$0.15
57/185TynamoCommonCommon$0.17
58/185EelektrikUncommonUncommon$0.04
59/185EelektrossRareRare$0.21
60/185ZekromHolo RareHolo Rare$0.41
61/185ZeraoraHolo RareHolo Rare$0.37
62/185PincurchinUncommonUncommon$0.05
63/185ClefairyCommonCommon$0.20
64/185ClefableRareRare$0.35
65/185GirafarigUncommonUncommon$0.04
66/185ShedinjaRareRare$0.35
67/185ShuppetCommonCommon$0.06
68/185BanetteRareRare$0.27
69/185DuskullCommonCommon$0.11
70/185DusclopsUncommonUncommon$0.13
71/185DusknoirHolo RareHolo Rare$0.32
72/185ChimechoCommonCommon$0.28
73/185WoobatCommonCommon$0.06
74/185SwoobatUncommonUncommon$0.04
75/185CottoneeCommonCommon$0.08
76/185WhimsicottRareRare$0.29
77/185DedenneCommonCommon$0.30
78/185XerneasHolo RareHolo Rare$0.40
79/185DiancieHolo RareHolo Rare$0.33
80/185MilceryCommonCommon$0.08
81/185AlcremieRareRare$0.33
82/185ZacianAmazing RareAmazing Rare$4.46
83/185WooperCommonCommon$0.27
84/185QuagsireRareRare$0.31
85/185ShuckleUncommonUncommon$0.18
86/185PhanpyCommonCommon$0.25
87/185DonphanRareRare$0.20
88/185HitmontopUncommonUncommon$0.15
89/185RegirockHolo RareHolo Rare$0.28
90/185RioluCommonCommon$0.13
91/185DrilburCommonCommon$0.21
92/185TerrakionRareRare$0.22
93/185ZygardeHolo RareHolo Rare$0.34
94/185RockruffCommonCommon$0.17
95/185LycanrocRareRare$0.07
96/185MudbrayCommonCommon$0.11
97/185MudsdaleRareRare$0.25
98/185Coalossal VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.64
99/185Coalossal VMAXHolo Rare VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$1.51
100/185ClobbopusCommonCommon$0.06
101/185GrapploctRareRare$0.08
102/185ZamazentaAmazing RareAmazing Rare$4.08
103/185PoochyenaCommonCommon$0.18
104/185MightyenaUncommonUncommon$0.09
105/185SableyeUncommonUncommon$0.08
106/185Drapion VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.61
107/185SandileCommonCommon$0.04
108/185KrokorokUncommonUncommon$0.16
109/185KrookodileRareRare$0.22
110/185TrubbishCommonCommon$0.18
111/185GarbodorRareRare$0.23
112/185Galarian MeowthCommonCommon$0.06
113/185Galarian PerrserkerRareRare$0.07
114/185ForretressRareRare$0.12
115/185Steelix VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.96
116/185BeldumCommonCommon$0.05
117/185MetangUncommonUncommon$0.03
118/185MetagrossRareRare$0.30
119/185JirachiAmazing RareAmazing Rare$9.24
120/185LucarioRareRare$0.33
121/185DialgaHolo RareHolo Rare$0.36
122/185ExcadrillUncommonUncommon$0.04
123/185FerroseedCommonCommon$0.03
124/185FerrothornUncommonUncommon$0.04
125/185Galarian StunfiskUncommonUncommon$0.06
126/185Aegislash VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.72
127/185Aegislash VMAXHolo Rare VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$1.50
128/185MagearnaHolo RareHolo Rare$0.34
129/185DuraludonHolo RareHolo Rare$0.19
130/185EeveeCommonCommon$0.28
131/185SnorlaxHolo RareHolo Rare$3.68
132/185LugiaHolo RareHolo Rare$1.81
133/185TaillowCommonCommon$0.19
134/185SwellowUncommonUncommon$0.03
135/185WhismurCommonCommon$0.07
136/185LoudredUncommonUncommon$0.05
137/185ExploudRareRare$0.18
138/185RayquazaAmazing RareAmazing Rare$26.73
139/185ChatotCommonCommon$0.03
140/185Togekiss VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.94
141/185Togekiss VMAXHolo Rare VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$1.83
142/185TornadusHolo RareHolo Rare$0.22
143/185PikipekCommonCommon$0.05
144/185TrumbeakUncommonUncommon$0.12
145/185ToucannonRareRare$0.22
146/185AllisterUncommonUncommon$0.08
147/185BeaUncommonUncommon$0.04
148/185BeautyUncommonUncommon$0.04
149/185Cara LissUncommonUncommon$0.06
150/185Circhester BathUncommonUncommon$0.04
151/185Drone RotomUncommonUncommon$0.11
152/185Hero's MedalUncommonUncommon$0.03
153/185League StaffUncommonUncommon$0.06
154/185LeonHolo RareHolo Rare$0.31
155/185Memory CapsuleUncommonUncommon$0.15
156/185Moomoo CheeseUncommonUncommon$0.06
157/185NessaUncommonUncommon$0.18
158/185OpalUncommonUncommon$0.06
159/185Rocky HelmetUncommonUncommon$0.13
160/185Telescopic SightUncommonUncommon$0.06
161/185Wyndon StadiumUncommonUncommon$0.07
162/185Aromatic Grass EnergyUncommonUncommon$0.06
163/185Coating Metal EnergyUncommonUncommon$0.14
164/185Stone Fighting EnergyUncommonUncommon$0.19
165/185Wash Water EnergyUncommonUncommon$0.26
166/185Orbeetle VUltra RareUltra Rare$1.67
167/185Zarude VUltra RareUltra Rare$3.17
168/185Talonflame VUltra RareUltra Rare$3.45
169/185Galarian Darmanitan VUltra RareUltra Rare$1.72
170/185Pikachu VUltra RareUltra Rare$40.77
171/185Ampharos VUltra RareUltra Rare$6.69
172/185Alakazam VUltra RareUltra Rare$3.57
173/185Coalossal VUltra RareUltra Rare$2.70
174/185Galarian Sirfetch'd VUltra RareUltra Rare$2.45
175/185Drapion VUltra RareUltra Rare$1.71
176/185Steelix VUltra RareUltra Rare$4.69
177/185Aegislash VUltra RareUltra Rare$3.00
178/185Togekiss VUltra RareUltra Rare$4.93
179/185AllisterUltra RareUltra Rare$5.65
180/185BeaUltra RareUltra Rare$7.98
181/185BeautyUltra RareUltra Rare$3.28
182/185LeonUltra RareUltra Rare$7.55
183/185NessaUltra RareUltra Rare$8.36
184/185OpalUltra RareUltra Rare$1.35
185/185Pokémon Center LadyUltra RareUltra Rare$18.93
186/185Orbeetle VMAXSecret RareSecret Rare$5.27
187/185Galarian Darmanitan VMAXSecret RareSecret Rare$7.48
188/185Pikachu VMAXSecret RareSecret Rare$167.96
189/185Coalossal VMAXSecret RareSecret Rare$6.77
190/185Aegislash VMAXSecret RareSecret Rare$7.08
191/185Togekiss VMAXSecret RareSecret Rare$13.27
192/185AllisterSecret RareSecret Rare$5.21
193/185BeaSecret RareSecret Rare$6.99
194/185BeautySecret RareSecret Rare$4.86
195/185LeonSecret RareSecret Rare$5.82
196/185NessaSecret RareSecret Rare$11.11
197/185OpalSecret RareSecret Rare$3.52
198/185Galarian ObstagoonSecret RareSecret Rare$6.48
199/185OranguruSecret RareSecret Rare$4.68
200/185Cape of ToughnessSecret RareSecret Rare$2.01
201/185Hero's MedalSecret RareSecret Rare$2.00
202/185Memory CapsuleSecret RareSecret Rare$1.82
203/185Telescopic SightSecret RareSecret Rare$1.95
Show all 203Show fewer

Every Vivid Voltage card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

Advisor read
Card vs box−47.3% vs the box
  • chase card · Pikachu VMAX (Secret)$167.96
  • sealed booster box · Vivid Voltage$318.57

Cheaper than the box

The single most valuable card in this set costs $150.61 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, quoted November 1, 2026.

52.7% of the box. Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The product desk18 products · 7 lots
Cheapest recorded route to packsVivid Voltage Booster Box $8.85/pack
Biggest 30-day moveVivid Voltage Premium Checklane Blister [Appletun] +85.0%
ProductPriceFamilyPacks$/pack30d
01Vivid Voltage Booster Box$318.57Booster Box36$8.85+1.2%
02Galar Sidekicks Premium Collection$264.00Premium Collection···
03Sword & Shield Elite Trainer Box Plus [Zamazenta]$238.97Elite Trainer Box··+2.8%
04Sword & Shield Elite Trainer Box Plus [Zacian]$236.89Elite Trainer Box··−2.7%
05Vivid Voltage Elite Trainer Box$142.16Elite Trainer Box··+6.0%
06Fall 2020 Collector's Chest Tin$87.52Tin··+1.1%
07Orbeetle V Box$70.88Product··+3.7%
08Alakazam V Box$61.71Product··+0.7%
09Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box$59.67Build & Battle··+0.9%
10Vivid Voltage 3 Pack Blister [Vaporeon]$44.24Blister··+3.4%
11Vivid Voltage 3 Pack Blister [Sobble]$43.65Blister··0.0%
12Vivid Voltage Theme Deck [Charizard]$23.84Deck··−3.9%
13Vivid Voltage Single Pack Blister [Grookey]$20.18Blister··+13.8%
14Vivid Voltage Single Pack Blister [Scorbunny]$19.85Blister··+16.8%
15Vivid Voltage Premium Checklane Blister [Appletun]$18.50Blister··+85.0%
16Vivid Voltage Sleeved Booster Pack$13.07Booster Pack1$13.07+7.4%
17Vivid Voltage Theme Deck [Drednaw]$11.35Deck··−0.4%
18Vivid Voltage Booster Pack$10.04Booster Pack1$10.04−8.5%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
Vivid Voltage Booster Box Case$1,933.17Booster BoxLot··+2.0%
Vivid Voltage Sleeved Booster Case$1,516.63Booster PackLot··+7.3%
Vivid Voltage Elite Trainer Box Case$1,497.00Elite Trainer BoxLot···
Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box Display$645.30Build & BattleLot··+3.1%
Vivid Voltage Theme Deck Display$150.98DeckLot··0.0%
Vivid Voltage Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$42.04Booster PackLot··+2.9%
Vivid Voltage Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$41.44Booster PackLot··+4.2%
Show all 25Show fewer

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Vivid Voltage?

0.1%
of boxes beat the $319 box price
$319 box price
  • Bottom 5%$59
  • Median box$74
  • Expected value$83
  • Top 5%$126
Where 10,000 boxes landed
53.1%
$0-75
42.9%
$75-150
0.3%
$150-225
3.6%
$225-300
0.0%
$300-375
0.1%
$375-450
0.0%
$450-525
$0$525
Red buckets end below the $319 box price. 96.1% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.0% doubled it.
How the simulation works, tier by tier

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Vivid Voltage using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($319, $8.85/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 26.1% of the box ask on average.

What a box actually pulls (sim average)
Hit tierPublished ratePoolAvg / boxMean valueBest case
Rainbow rare1-in-78 (1.28%) (inherited)180.46$14.68Pikachu VMAX ($168)
VMAX / VSTAR1-in-23 (4.42%) (inherited)61.57$3.24Pikachu VMAX ($12)
Full-art V1-in-51 (1.98%) (inherited)130.7$6.19Pikachu V ($41)
Gold secret rare1-in-131 (0.76%) (inherited)180.28$14.68Pikachu VMAX ($168)
Full-art Trainer1-in-70 (1.42%) (inherited)70.52$7.59Pokémon Center Lady ($19)
Pokemon V1-in-9 (11.63%) (inherited)114.2$0.90Pikachu V ($2)
Alt-art V1-in-201 (0.50%) (inherited)130.17$6.19Pikachu V ($41)
Rows that repeat a pool are not a duplication: our catalog files full-art and alt-art V under one rarity, and rainbow and gold secrets under another, so the two published rates roll separately over the same cards.
Not simulated. Amazing rare (6 cards): no published per-pack rate for this tier, so it is not simulated; Radiant rare: rated at 1-in-20 (5.01%) by the study, but our catalog holds no card of this tier for this set. A tier nobody has published a rate for is left out rather than folded into a neighboring tier.

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $319 box price (Vivid Voltage Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: every rate here is inherited from an era study of 8,000+ packs, not measured on this set (the study opened packs of Lost Origin) (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 29.0% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $54 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (203 of 203 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Breadth: 53 cards up · 47 down · 101 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Celebi (+91.7%).

Every Pokémon setVivid Voltage market reportPack opening simulatorSealed product pricesWhat a Dollar in a Booster Pack Buys BackThe Art Floor: What 480 Price Histories Say About Every Foil and Rarity TierThe Velocity Report: What Actually Sells, and Why the Most-Traded Cards Made the Least MoneyBooster Box Expected Value Has Error Bars