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The Bloomberg terminal for Pokémon cards: real TCGplayer & eBay transactions, PSA populations, and research you can audit.

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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

Set deskNovember 2026

Brilliant Stars

186 cards trackedEnglish printsUngradedTCGplayer marketas of November 1, 2026
$739Full set−6.3% 30 days
September 7, 2026November 1, 2026

The sum of every card's real TCGplayer price, recorded daily.

$0.18 Median card185 Priced

Set Market Report Pro

Where it sits in its own history56 recorded readings
$739 last reading
Recorded low$738October 29, 2026All-time high$798September 25, 2026
From that high−7.4%set value today
First recorded$796when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than5%3 of 56 recorded days were cheaper
Realized vol7%annualized, 56 days of daily returns
Max drawdown−7.6%recorded window
How these are measured

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.

Ask about Brilliant Stars

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 71% of the bill
10 cards$525other 184$215

The short, expensive tail of the set.

This split counts the 194 cards TCGplayer prices in this set; the card index below lists the 185 in our catalog.

If you are building it

You can own 184 of the 194 priced cards in Brilliant Stars for about $215. The median card is $0.18. The remaining $525 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Charizard V (Alternate Full Art), $267) is 36% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 29% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
  1. Charizard V (Alternate Full Art)Charizard V (Alternate Full Art)$267−6.0% 30d
  2. Arceus V (Alternate Full Art)Arceus V (Alternate Full Art)$59.36−3.1% 30d
  3. Charizard VSTAR (Secret)Charizard VSTAR (Secret)$57.26−17.9% 30d
  4. Charizard V (Full Art)Charizard V (Full Art)$30.95−8.4% 30d
  5. Pikachu V (Full Art)Pikachu V (Full Art)$24.53−7.2% 30d
  6. Galarian Moltres V (Secret)Galarian Moltres V (Secret)$21.12−6.9% 30d
  7. Arceus VSTAR (Secret) (184)Arceus VSTAR (Secret) (184)$18.64+14.4% 30d
  8. Arceus VSTAR (Secret) (176)Arceus VSTAR (Secret) (176)$15.67−2.0% 30d
  9. Ultra Ball (Secret)Ultra Ball (Secret)$15.19+9.5% 30d
  10. Galarian Zapdos V (Secret)Galarian Zapdos V (Secret)$15.12−5.1% 30d
Every card186 cards · 185 priced
No.CardRarityMarket
001/172ExeggcuteCommonCommon$0.13
002/172ExeggutorUncommonUncommon$0.06
003/172ShroomishCommonCommon$0.09
004/172BreloomRareRare$0.16
005/172TropiusUncommonUncommon$0.04
006/172TurtwigCommonCommon$0.17
007/172GrotleUncommonUncommon$0.15
008/172TorterraHolo RareHolo Rare$0.32
009/172BurmyCommonCommon$0.13
010/172WormadamRareRare$0.32
011/172MothimRareRare$0.24
012/172CherubiCommonCommon$0.10
013/172Shaymin VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.99
014/172Shaymin VSTARHolo Rare VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR$1.10
015/172KarrablastCommonCommon$0.09
016/172Zarude VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.79
017/172Charizard VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$7.68
018/172Charizard VSTARHolo Rare VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR$12.02
019/172MagmarCommonCommon$0.20
020/172MagmortarRareRare$0.18
021/172MoltresHolo RareHolo Rare$0.31
022/172Entei VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$1.92
023/172TorkoalUncommonUncommon$0.10
024/172ChimcharCommonCommon$0.15
025/172MonfernoUncommonUncommon$0.13
026/172InfernapeHolo RareHolo Rare$0.24
027/172Simisear VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.64
028/172Kingler VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.87
029/172Kingler VMAXHolo Rare VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$2.48
030/172StaryuCommonCommon$0.27
031/172LaprasRareRare$0.21
032/172CorphishCommonCommon$0.06
033/172CrawdauntUncommonUncommon$0.16
034/172SnoruntCommonCommon$0.10
035/172PiplupCommonCommon$0.23
036/172PrinplupUncommonUncommon$0.13
037/172EmpoleonHolo RareHolo Rare$0.32
038/172BuizelCommonCommon$0.09
039/172FloatzelUncommonUncommon$0.12
040/172Lumineon VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.81
041/172ManaphyRareRare$0.33
042/172CubchooCommonCommon$0.05
043/172BearticUncommonUncommon$0.05
044/172EiscueRareRare$0.16
045/172Raichu VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$1.79
046/172ElectabuzzCommonCommon$0.05
047/172ElectivireRareRare$0.13
048/172Raikou VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$1.61
049/172ShinxCommonCommon$0.17
050/172LuxioUncommonUncommon$0.13
051/172LuxrayRareRare$0.20
052/172PachirisuUncommonUncommon$0.13
053/172ClefairyCommonCommon$0.17
054/172ClefableRareRare$0.22
055/172StarmieUncommonUncommon$0.12
056/172MewtwoRareRare$0.53
057/172Granbull VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.85
058/172BaltoyCommonCommon$0.02
059/172ClaydolUncommonUncommon$0.12
060/172DuskullCommonCommon$0.13
061/172DusclopsUncommonUncommon$0.07
062/172DusknoirHolo RareHolo Rare$0.30
063/172ChimechoCommonCommon$0.09
064/172Whimsicott VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.83
065/172Whimsicott VSTARHolo Rare VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR$1.03
066/172SigilyphUncommonUncommon$0.07
067/172DedenneCommonCommon$0.14
068/172Mimikyu VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$3.92
069/172Mimikyu VMAXHolo Rare VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$12.60
070/172MilceryCommonCommon$0.15
071/172AlcremieRareRare$0.28
072/172HitmontopUncommonUncommon$0.12
073/172NosepassCommonCommon$0.09
074/172TrapinchCommonCommon$0.09
075/172VibravaUncommonUncommon$0.15
076/172FlygonRareRare$0.20
077/172WormadamRareRare$0.20
078/172RioluCommonCommon$0.12
079/172LucarioHolo RareHolo Rare$0.42
080/172ThrohCommonCommon$0.12
081/172SawkCommonCommon$0.18
082/172GolettCommonCommon$0.07
083/172GolurkRareRare$0.16
084/172GrimerCommonCommon$0.05
085/172MukRareRare$0.18
086/172SneaselCommonCommon$0.09
087/172WeavileUncommonUncommon$0.11
088/172Honchkrow VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.70
089/172SpiritombCommonCommon$0.06
090/172PurrloinCommonCommon$0.13
091/172LiepardRareRare$0.19
092/172ImpidimpCommonCommon$0.12
093/172MorgremUncommonUncommon$0.10
094/172GrimmsnarlRareRare$0.17
095/172Morpeko VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$1.43
096/172Aggron VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.96
097/172Aggron VMAXHolo Rare VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$2.47
098/172WormadamRareRare$0.20
099/172ProbopassUncommonUncommon$0.14
100/172HeatranRareRare$0.14
101/172EscavalierRareRare$0.11
102/172KlinkCommonCommon$0.04
103/172KlangUncommonUncommon$0.05
104/172KlinklangRareRare$0.09
105/172Zamazenta VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.86
106/172Flygon VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.91
107/172GibleCommonCommon$0.19
108/172GabiteUncommonUncommon$0.11
109/172GarchompHolo RareHolo Rare$0.39
110/172AxewCommonCommon$0.14
111/172FraxureUncommonUncommon$0.14
112/172HaxorusRareRare$0.23
113/172DruddigonRareRare$0.18
114/172Dracovish VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.84
115/172Farfetch'dCommonCommon$0.17
116/172CastformCommonCommon$0.16
117/172StarlyCommonCommon$0.15
118/172StaraviaUncommonUncommon$0.06
119/172StaraptorRareRare$0.19
120/172BidoofCommonCommon$0.20
121/172BibarelHolo RareHolo Rare$0.36
122/172Arceus VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$3.09
123/172Arceus VSTARHolo Rare VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR$6.16
124/172MinccinoCommonCommon$0.18
125/172CinccinoUncommonUncommon$0.16
126/172TornadusRareRare$0.15
127/172HawluchaCommonCommon$0.11
128/172Drampa VHolo Rare VHolo Rare V$0.77
129/172Acerola's PremonitionUncommonUncommon$0.21
130/172BarryUncommonUncommon$0.10
131/172Blunder PolicyUncommonUncommon$0.09
132/172Boss's OrdersHolo RareHolo Rare$0.35
133/172Café MasterUncommonUncommon$0.08
134/172Cheren's CareUncommonUncommon$0.13
135/172Choice BeltUncommonUncommon$0.18
136/172Cleansing GlovesUncommonUncommon$0.10
137/172Collapsed StadiumUncommonUncommon$0.14
138/172Cynthia's AmbitionUncommonUncommon$0.14
139/172Fresh Water SetUncommonUncommon$0.09
140/172Friends in GalarUncommonUncommon$0.11
141/172GloriaUncommonUncommon$0.10
142/172Hunting GlovesUncommonUncommon$0.10
143/172KindlerUncommonUncommon$0.14
144/172Magma BasinUncommonUncommon$0.15
145/172Marnie's PrideUncommonUncommon$0.14
146/172Pot HelmetUncommonUncommon$0.11
147/172Professor's ResearchHolo RareHolo Rare$0.15
148/172Roseanne's BackupUncommonUncommon$0.18
149/172Team Yell's CheerUncommonUncommon$0.19
150/172Ultra BallUncommonUncommon$0.24
151/172Double Turbo EnergyUncommonUncommon$0.26
152/172Shaymin VUltra RareUltra Rare$2.48
153/172Charizard VUltra RareUltra Rare$30.95
154/172Charizard VUltra RareUltra Rare$266.88
155/172Lumineon VUltra RareUltra Rare$2.33
156/172Lumineon VUltra RareUltra Rare$14.76
157/172Pikachu VUltra RareUltra Rare$24.53
158/172Raichu VUltra RareUltra Rare$6.19
159/172Granbull VUltra RareUltra Rare$1.44
160/172Whimsicott VUltra RareUltra Rare$1.75
161/172Honchkrow VUltra RareUltra Rare·
162/172Honchkrow VUltra RareUltra Rare$11.87
163/172Zamazenta VUltra RareUltra Rare$2.35
164/172Flygon VUltra RareUltra Rare$2.30
165/172Arceus VUltra RareUltra Rare$9.63
166/172Arceus VUltra RareUltra Rare$59.36
167/172BarryUltra RareUltra Rare$1.30
168/172Cheren's CareUltra RareUltra Rare$1.38
169/172Cynthia's AmbitionUltra RareUltra Rare$10.30
170/172KindlerUltra RareUltra Rare$0.84
171/172Marnie's PrideUltra RareUltra Rare$9.84
172/172Roseanne's BackupUltra RareUltra Rare$2.29
173/172Shaymin VSTARSecret RareSecret Rare$6.43
174/172Charizard VSTARSecret RareSecret Rare$57.26
175/172Whimsicott VSTARSecret RareSecret Rare$5.85
176/172Arceus VSTARSecret RareSecret Rare$15.67
177/172Cheren's CareSecret RareSecret Rare$2.23
178/172Cynthia's AmbitionSecret RareSecret Rare$6.01
179/172KindlerSecret RareSecret Rare$2.59
180/172Roseanne's BackupSecret RareSecret Rare$3.12
181/172Galarian Articuno VSecret RareSecret Rare$14.07
182/172Galarian Zapdos VSecret RareSecret Rare$15.12
183/172Galarian Moltres VSecret RareSecret Rare$21.12
184/172Arceus VSTARSecret RareSecret Rare$18.64
185/172Magma BasinSecret RareSecret Rare$2.72
186/172Ultra BallSecret RareSecret Rare$15.19
Show all 186Show fewer

Every Brilliant Stars card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

Advisor read
Card vs box−52.2% vs the box
  • chase card · Charizard V (Alternate Full Art)$266.88
  • sealed booster box · Brilliant Stars$558.23

Cheaper than the box

The single most valuable card in this set costs $291.35 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, quoted October 31, 2026.

47.8% of the box. Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The product desk16 products · 10 lots
Cheapest recorded route to packsBrilliant Stars Booster Pack $14.46/pack
Biggest 30-day moveBrilliant Stars Booster Pack −15.1%
ProductPriceFamilyPacks$/pack30d
01Brilliant Stars Booster Box$558.23Booster Box36$15.51−1.8%
02Brilliant Stars Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)$241.50ETB (Pokémon Center)··+3.8%
03Brilliant Stars Build & Battle Stadium$170.45Build & Battle··+1.1%
04Brilliant Stars Elite Trainer Box$167.90Elite Trainer Box··+5.7%
05Arceus V Figure Collection$146.48Collection··−2.1%
06Glaceon VSTAR Special Collection$144.00Collection··+5.6%
07Leafeon VSTAR Special Collection$123.09Collection··+1.1%
08Brilliant Stars Build & Battle Box$63.64Build & Battle··−0.3%
09Brilliant Stars 3 Pack Blister [Leafeon]$58.08Blister··+4.3%
10Brilliant Stars 3 Pack Blister [Glaceon]$56.67Blister··+7.6%
11Brilliant Stars Premium Checklane Blister [Zoroark]$34.77Blister··0.0%
12Brilliant Stars Single Pack Blister [Eevee]$29.61Blister··+6.6%
13Brilliant Stars Sleeved Booster Pack$18.92Booster Pack1$18.92−4.8%
14Brilliant Stars Single Pack Blister [Flapple]$18.30Blister··+8.5%
15Brilliant Stars Booster Pack$14.46Booster Pack1$14.46−15.1%
16Brilliant Stars Fun Pack$7.49Product··+4.9%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
Brilliant Stars Booster Box Case$3,730.08Booster BoxLot··−2.4%
Brilliant Stars Sleeved Booster Pack Case$2,436.62Booster PackLot··+9.8%
Brilliant Stars Elite Trainer Box Case$1,676.50Elite Trainer BoxLot··−0.4%
Arceus V Figure Collection Case$925.00CollectionLot··+3.5%
Brilliant Stars Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Case$875.00ETB (Pokémon Center)Lot···
Brilliant Stars Build & Battle Box Display$636.96Build & BattleLot··+1.2%
Glaceon / Leafeon VSTAR Special Collection [Set of 2]$249.57CollectionLot··+3.6%
Brilliant Stars Sleeved Booster Pack Bundle [Set of 8]$148.41Booster PackLot··+1.9%
Brilliant Stars Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$74.50Booster PackLot··+1.3%
Brilliant Stars Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$61.11Booster PackLot··+2.0%
Show all 26Show fewer

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Brilliant Stars?

0.7%
of boxes beat the $558 box price
$558 box price
  • Bottom 5%$80
  • Median box$172
  • Expected value$192
  • Top 5%$396
Where 10,000 boxes landed
27.3%
$0-125
52.1%
$125-250
14.7%
$250-375
4.5%
$375-500
1.2%
$500-625
0.3%
$625-750
0.0%
$750-875
$0$875
Red buckets end below the $558 box price. 85.3% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.0% doubled it.
How the simulation works, tier by tier

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Brilliant Stars using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($558, $15.51/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 34.4% of the box ask on average.

What a box actually pulls (sim average)
Hit tierPublished ratePoolAvg / boxMean valueBest case
Trainer Gallery1-in-8 (12.31%) (inherited)314.44$20.62Umbreon VMAX ($95)
Full-art V1-in-51 (1.98%) (inherited)150.72$29.41Charizard V ($271)
VMAX / VSTAR1-in-23 (4.42%) (inherited)71.59$5.43Mimikyu VMAX ($13)
Pokemon V1-in-9 (11.63%) (inherited)204.2$1.61Charizard V ($8)
Rainbow rare1-in-78 (1.28%) (inherited)140.46$13.31Charizard VSTAR ($57)
Alt-art V1-in-201 (0.50%) (inherited)150.18$29.41Charizard V ($271)
Gold secret rare1-in-131 (0.76%) (inherited)140.27$13.31Charizard VSTAR ($57)
Full-art Trainer1-in-70 (1.42%) (inherited)60.52$4.33Cynthia's Ambition ($10)
Rows that repeat a pool are not a duplication: our catalog files full-art and alt-art V under one rarity, and rainbow and gold secrets under another, so the two published rates roll separately over the same cards.
Not simulated. Radiant rare: rated at 1-in-20 (5.01%) by the study, but our catalog holds no card of this tier for this set. A tier nobody has published a rate for is left out rather than folded into a neighboring tier.

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $558 box price (Brilliant Stars Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: every rate here is inherited from an era study of 8,000+ packs, not measured on this set (the study opened packs of Lost Origin) (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 46.4% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $48 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (214 of 217 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Breadth: 59 cards up · 108 down · 25 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Arceus VSTAR (+14.6%).

Every Pokémon setBrilliant Stars market reportPack opening simulatorSealed product pricesWhat a Dollar in a Booster Pack Buys BackWhich Trainer and Supporter Cards Are Worth the Most?In Ten Sets the Cards Fell and the Sealed Box Went UpEvery Charizard's PSA 10 Premium, Ranked