Set deskNovember 2026
Astral Radiance
$875Full set−2.4% 30 days
The sum of every card's real TCGplayer price, recorded daily.
$0.28 Median card243 Priced
Recorded low$875October 27, 2026All-time high$905September 8, 2026
From that high−3.4%set value today
First recorded$905when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than5%3 of 56 recorded days were cheaper
Realized vol3%annualized, 56 days of daily returns
Max drawdown−3.4%recorded window
How these are measured
Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Each return is the first recorded value inside its window against the last. We withhold it when the number of cards in the basket changed inside the window, when a single step moved more than 20%, or when the series cannot cover the window.
Ask about Astral Radiance
Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.
Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.
10 cards$543other 203$332
The short, expensive tail of the set.
This split counts the 213 cards TCGplayer prices in this set; the card index below lists the 243 in our catalog.
If you are building it
You can own 203 of the 213 priced cards in Astral Radiance for about $332. The median card is $0.28. The remaining $543 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Machamp V (Alternate Full Art), $189) is 22% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 38% and then a very short, very expensive tail.
Machamp V (Alternate Full Art)$189−3.0% 30d
Origin Forme Palkia V (Alternate Full Art)$86.89−2.0% 30d
Beedrill V (Alternate Full Art)$70.52−6.3% 30d
Origin Forme Dialga V (Alternate Full Art)$60.61−4.4% 30d
Hisuian Sneasler V (Alternate Full Art)$33.61−3.8% 30d
Hisuian Lilligant V (Alternate Full Art)$27.05−2.2% 30d
Jirachi V (Full Art)$25.24+1.0% 30d
Machamp VMAX (Secret)$17.58−0.1% 30d
Origin Forme Dialga VSTAR - 198/189 (Secret)$16.35−1.3% 30d
Hisuian Typhlosion VSTAR (Secret)$16.14+3.6% 30d
| No. | Card | Market |
|---|---|---|
| 001/189 | Beedrill VHolo Rare V | $1.09 |
| TG01/189 | Abomasnow | $2.18 |
| 002/189 | Hisuian VoltorbCommon | $0.13 |
| TG02/189 | Flapple | $3.54 |
| 003/189 | Hisuian ElectrodeUncommon | $0.20 |
| TG03/189 | Kingdra | $11.08 |
| 004/189 | ScytherCommon | $0.18 |
| TG04/189 | Frosmoth | $3.70 |
| 005/189 | ScytherCommon | $0.13 |
| TG05/189 | Gardevoir | $6.89 |
| 006/189 | YanmaCommon | $0.08 |
| TG06/189 | Wyrdeer | $2.26 |
| 007/189 | YanmegaUncommon | $0.14 |
| TG07/189 | Falinks | $3.27 |
| 008/189 | HeracrossCommon | $0.05 |
| TG08/189 | Kleavor | $2.62 |
| 009/189 | KricketotCommon | $0.13 |
| TG09/189 | Mightyena | $4.49 |
| 010/189 | KricketuneUncommon | $0.14 |
| TG10/189 | Galarian Obstagoon | $2.15 |
| 011/189 | CombeeCommon | $0.19 |
| TG11/189 | Bronzong | $2.86 |
| 012/189 | VespiquenRare | $0.15 |
| TG12/189 | Hoothoot | $6.83 |
| 013/189 | LeafeonRare | $0.40 |
| TG13/189 | Starmie V | $113.24 |
| 014/189 | ShayminRare | $0.23 |
| TG14/189 | Ice Rider Calyrex V | $9.66 |
| 015/189 | PetililCommon | $0.13 |
| TG15/189 | Ice Rider Calyrex VMAX | $9.97 |
| 016/189 | Hisuian LilligantHolo Rare | $0.33 |
| TG16/189 | Galarian Articuno V | $15.73 |
| 017/189 | Hisuian Lilligant VHolo Rare V | $0.89 |
| TG17/189 | Shadow Rider Calyrex V | $11.96 |
| 018/189 | Hisuian Lilligant VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR | $1.51 |
| TG18/189 | Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX | $11.09 |
| 019/189 | RowletCommon | $0.09 |
| TG19/189 | Galarian Zapdos V | $14.55 |
| 020/189 | DartrixUncommon | $0.12 |
| TG20/189 | Galarian Moltres V | $17.85 |
| 021/189 | PonytaCommon | $0.15 |
| TG21/189 | Zacian V | $18.20 |
| 022/189 | RapidashRare | $0.18 |
| TG22/189 | Zamazenta V | $8.32 |
| 023/189 | CyndaquilCommon | $0.19 |
| TG23/189 | Garchomp V | $71.40 |
| 024/189 | QuilavaUncommon | $0.15 |
| TG24/189 | Allister | $6.54 |
| 025/189 | Heatran VHolo Rare V | $1.02 |
| TG25/189 | Bea | $4.62 |
| 026/189 | Heatran VMAXHolo Rare VMAX | $2.48 |
| TG26/189 | Melony | $4.90 |
| 027/189 | Radiant HeatranRadiant Rare | $0.61 |
| TG27/189 | Milo | $2.99 |
| 028/189 | PsyduckCommon | $0.22 |
| TG28/189 | Piers | $4.22 |
| 029/189 | GolduckUncommon | $0.12 |
| TG29/189 | Ice Rider Calyrex VMAX | $4.12 |
| 030/189 | Starmie VUltra Rare | $1.01 |
| TG30/189 | Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX | $4.38 |
| 031/189 | SwinubCommon | $0.15 |
| 032/189 | PiloswineUncommon | $0.06 |
| 033/189 | MamoswineRare | $0.24 |
| 034/189 | MantineCommon | $0.14 |
| 035/189 | BarboachCommon | $0.05 |
| 036/189 | WhiscashUncommon | $0.21 |
| 037/189 | RegiceRare | $0.26 |
| 038/189 | GlaceonRare | $0.36 |
| 039/189 | Origin Forme Palkia VHolo Rare V | · |
| 040/189 | Origin Forme Palkia VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR | · |
| 041/189 | OshawottCommon | $0.22 |
| 042/189 | DewottUncommon | $0.18 |
| 043/189 | Hisuian BasculinCommon | $0.13 |
| 044/189 | Hisuian BasculegionRare | $0.22 |
| 045/189 | KeldeoHolo Rare | $0.28 |
| 046/189 | Radiant GreninjaRadiant Rare | $3.73 |
| 047/189 | BergmiteCommon | $0.12 |
| 048/189 | Hisuian AvaluggRare | $0.22 |
| 049/189 | Galarian Mr. Rime VHolo Rare V | $1.02 |
| 050/189 | Luxray VHolo Rare V | $2.62 |
| 051/189 | RegielekiRare | $0.21 |
| 052/189 | Hisuian TyphlosionHolo Rare | $0.59 |
| 053/189 | Hisuian Typhlosion VHolo Rare V | $1.60 |
| 054/189 | Hisuian Typhlosion VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR | $1.88 |
| 055/189 | TogepiCommon | $0.19 |
| 056/189 | TogeticUncommon | $0.21 |
| 057/189 | TogekissHolo Rare | $0.36 |
| 058/189 | MisdreavusCommon | $0.10 |
| 059/189 | MismagiusRare | $0.17 |
| 060/189 | RaltsCommon | $0.21 |
| 061/189 | KirliaUncommon | $0.15 |
| 062/189 | GalladeHolo Rare | $0.38 |
| 063/189 | DrifloonCommon | $0.14 |
| 064/189 | DrifblimUncommon | $0.10 |
| 065/189 | UxieUncommon | $0.07 |
| 066/189 | MespritHolo Rare | $0.33 |
| 067/189 | AzelfUncommon | $0.17 |
| 068/189 | DiancieHolo Rare | $0.33 |
| 069/189 | WyrdeerHolo Rare | $0.36 |
| 070/189 | Hisuian GrowlitheCommon | $0.17 |
| 071/189 | Hisuian ArcanineRare | $0.22 |
| 072/189 | Machamp VHolo Rare V | $1.84 |
| 073/189 | Machamp VMAXHolo Rare VMAX | $7.16 |
| 074/189 | SudowoodoCommon | $0.12 |
| 075/189 | RegirockRare | $0.17 |
| 076/189 | CranidosUncommon | $0.15 |
| 077/189 | RampardosHolo Rare | $0.59 |
| 078/189 | Lucario VHolo Rare V | $1.35 |
| 079/189 | HippopotasCommon | $0.08 |
| 080/189 | HippowdonUncommon | $0.13 |
| 081/189 | Radiant HawluchaRadiant Rare | $0.64 |
| 082/189 | Hisuian DecidueyeHolo Rare | $0.35 |
| 083/189 | Hisuian Decidueye VHolo Rare V | $0.77 |
| 084/189 | Hisuian Decidueye VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR | $1.49 |
| 085/189 | KleavorRare | $0.21 |
| 086/189 | KleavorHolo Rare | $0.33 |
| 087/189 | Kleavor VHolo Rare V | $0.66 |
| 088/189 | Hisuian QwilfishCommon | $0.05 |
| 089/189 | Hisuian QwilfishCommon | $0.04 |
| 090/189 | Hisuian OverqwilUncommon | $0.23 |
| 091/189 | Hisuian OverqwilRare | $0.19 |
| 092/189 | Hisuian SneaselCommon | $0.15 |
| 093/189 | Hisuian SneaslerHolo Rare | $0.27 |
| 094/189 | Hisuian Sneasler VHolo Rare V | $0.77 |
| 095/189 | PoochyenaCommon | $0.15 |
| 096/189 | MightyenaRare | $0.16 |
| 097/189 | AbsolHolo Rare | $0.35 |
| 098/189 | Darkrai VHolo Rare V | $1.61 |
| 099/189 | Darkrai VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR | $2.17 |
| 100/189 | Hisuian SamurottHolo Rare | $0.31 |
| 101/189 | Hisuian Samurott VHolo Rare V | $0.99 |
| 102/189 | Hisuian Samurott VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR | $1.52 |
| 103/189 | NickitCommon | $0.08 |
| 104/189 | ThievulRare | $0.17 |
| 105/189 | MagnemiteCommon | $0.17 |
| 106/189 | MagnetonUncommon | $0.15 |
| 107/189 | MagnezoneHolo Rare | $0.34 |
| 108/189 | RegisteelRare | $0.26 |
| 109/189 | ShieldonUncommon | $0.21 |
| 110/189 | BastiodonHolo Rare | $0.38 |
| 111/189 | BronzorCommon | $0.02 |
| 112/189 | BronzongUncommon | $0.18 |
| 113/189 | Origin Forme Dialga VHolo Rare V | $1.15 |
| 114/189 | Origin Forme Dialga VSTARHolo Rare VSTAR | $2.08 |
| 115/189 | PawniardCommon | $0.18 |
| 116/189 | BisharpUncommon | $0.10 |
| 117/189 | Garchomp VHolo Rare V | $1.25 |
| 118/189 | RegidragoRare | $0.26 |
| 119/189 | EeveeCommon | $0.33 |
| 120/189 | HoothootCommon | $0.06 |
| 121/189 | NoctowlUncommon | $0.19 |
| 122/189 | TeddiursaCommon | $0.13 |
| 123/189 | UrsaringUncommon | $0.12 |
| 124/189 | UrsalunaRare | $0.23 |
| 125/189 | StantlerCommon | $0.13 |
| 126/189 | MiltankHolo Rare | $0.31 |
| 127/189 | GlameowCommon | $0.16 |
| 128/189 | PuruglyUncommon | $0.18 |
| 129/189 | ChatotCommon | $0.05 |
| 130/189 | RegigigasHolo Rare | $0.36 |
| 131/189 | RuffletCommon | $0.05 |
| 132/189 | Hisuian BraviaryRare | $0.23 |
| 133/189 | Oranguru VHolo Rare V | $0.74 |
| 134/189 | Wyrdeer VHolo Rare V | $0.81 |
| 135/189 | AdamanHolo Rare | $0.27 |
| 136/189 | Canceling CologneUncommon | $0.18 |
| 137/189 | ChoyUncommon | $0.14 |
| 138/189 | CylleneUncommon | $0.17 |
| 139/189 | Dark PatchUncommon | $0.24 |
| 140/189 | Energy LotoUncommon | $0.17 |
| 141/189 | Feather BallUncommon | $0.18 |
| 142/189 | Gapejaw BogUncommon | $0.14 |
| 143/189 | Gardenia's VigorUncommon | $0.19 |
| 144/189 | GrantUncommon | $0.13 |
| 145/189 | Gutsy PickaxeUncommon | $0.16 |
| 146/189 | Hisuian Heavy BallUncommon | $0.31 |
| 147/189 | IridaHolo Rare | $0.43 |
| 148/189 | Jubilife VillageUncommon | $0.16 |
| 149/189 | KamadoUncommon | $0.10 |
| 150/189 | RoxanneUncommon | $0.16 |
| 151/189 | Spicy Seasoned CurryUncommon | $0.16 |
| 152/189 | Supereffective GlassesUncommon | $0.23 |
| 153/189 | Sweet HoneyUncommon | $0.14 |
| 154/189 | Switch CartUncommon | $0.27 |
| 155/189 | Temple of SinnohUncommon | $0.18 |
| 156/189 | Trekking ShoesUncommon | $0.18 |
| 157/189 | Unidentified FossilUncommon | $0.15 |
| 158/189 | Wait and See TurboUncommon | $0.03 |
| 159/189 | ZisuUncommon | $0.09 |
| 160/189 | Beedrill VUltra Rare | $4.38 |
| 161/189 | Beedrill VUltra Rare | $70.52 |
| 162/189 | Hisuian Lilligant VUltra Rare | $4.98 |
| 163/189 | Hisuian Lilligant VUltra Rare | $27.05 |
| 164/189 | Virizion VUltra Rare | $2.25 |
| 165/189 | Heatran VUltra Rare | $2.16 |
| 166/189 | Starmie VUltra Rare | $3.94 |
| 167/189 | Origin Forme Palkia VUltra Rare | $86.89 |
| 168/189 | Luxray VUltra Rare | $6.01 |
| 169/189 | Hisuian Typhlosion VUltra Rare | $5.52 |
| 170/189 | Jirachi VUltra Rare | $25.24 |
| 171/189 | Machamp VUltra Rare | $10.88 |
| 172/189 | Machamp VUltra Rare | $188.62 |
| 173/189 | Hisuian Decidueye VUltra Rare | $2.16 |
| 174/189 | Hisuian Sneasler VUltra Rare | $5.09 |
| 175/189 | Hisuian Sneasler VUltra Rare | $33.61 |
| 176/189 | Hisuian Samurott VUltra Rare | · |
| 177/189 | Origin Forme Dialga VUltra Rare | $60.61 |
| 178/189 | Garchomp VUltra Rare | $10.05 |
| 179/189 | Oranguru VUltra Rare | $2.18 |
| 180/189 | Wyrdeer VUltra Rare | $1.99 |
| 181/189 | AdamanUltra Rare | $3.46 |
| 182/189 | ChoyUltra Rare | $1.22 |
| 183/189 | CylleneUltra Rare | $2.45 |
| 184/189 | Gardenia's VigorUltra Rare | $6.49 |
| 185/189 | GrantUltra Rare | $1.79 |
| 186/189 | IridaUltra Rare | $6.89 |
| 187/189 | KamadoUltra Rare | $1.52 |
| 188/189 | RoxanneUltra Rare | $4.83 |
| 189/189 | ZisuUltra Rare | $1.47 |
| 190/189 | Hisuian Lilligant VSTARSecret Rare | $8.20 |
| 191/189 | Heatran VMAXSecret Rare | $7.25 |
| 192/189 | Origin Forme Palkia VSTARSecret Rare | $15.42 |
| 193/189 | Hisuian Typhlosion VSTARSecret Rare | $16.14 |
| 194/189 | Machamp VMAXSecret Rare | $17.58 |
| 195/189 | Hisuian Decidueye VSTARSecret Rare | $7.91 |
| 196/189 | Kleavor VSTARSecret Rare | $8.50 |
| 197/189 | Hisuian Samurott VSTARSecret Rare | $8.82 |
| 198/189 | Origin Forme Dialga VSTARSecret Rare | $16.35 |
| 199/189 | AdamanSecret Rare | $5.45 |
| 200/189 | ChoySecret Rare | $3.12 |
| 201/189 | CylleneSecret Rare | $4.34 |
| 202/189 | Gardenia's VigorSecret Rare | $5.82 |
| 203/189 | GrantSecret Rare | $3.92 |
| 204/189 | IridaSecret Rare | $8.79 |
| 205/189 | KamadoSecret Rare | $4.62 |
| 206/189 | RoxanneSecret Rare | $6.44 |
| 207/189 | ZisuSecret Rare | $4.07 |
| 208/189 | Origin Forme Palkia VSTARSecret Rare | $13.21 |
| 209/189 | Hisuian Samurott VSTARSecret Rare | $9.14 |
| 210/189 | Origin Forme Dialga VSTARSecret Rare | $13.91 |
| 211/189 | Choice BeltSecret Rare | $1.97 |
| 212/189 | Jubilife VillageSecret Rare | $4.87 |
| 213/189 | Path to the PeakSecret Rare | $12.42 |
| 214/189 | Temple of SinnohSecret Rare | $5.85 |
| 215/189 | Trekking ShoesSecret Rare | $2.40 |
| 216/189 | Double Turbo EnergySecret Rare | $2.97 |
Show all 246Show fewer
Every Astral Radiance card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.
- chase card · Machamp V (Alternate Full Art)$188.62
- sealed booster box · Astral Radiance$409.29
Cheaper than the box
The single most valuable card in this set costs $220.67 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, quoted October 31, 2026.
46.1% of the box. Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.
| Tier | Odds per pack | Expected per box |
|---|---|---|
| Any ultra rare | 1 in 5 | 7.2 |
| Any V | 1 in 8 | 4.5 |
| VMAX / VSTAR | 1 in 29 | 1.24 |
| Full Art V | 1 in 47 | 0.77 |
| Full Art Trainer | 1 in 93 | 0.39 |
| Alt-art V | 1 in 135 | 0.27 |
| Gold rare | 1 in 130 | 0.28 |
Where these odds come from
Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.
Cheapest recorded route to packsAstral Radiance Booster Pack $10.09/pack
Biggest 30-day moveAstral Radiance Single Pack Blister [Toxel] +10.6%
Show all 27Show fewer
Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes
Should you rip Astral Radiance?
0.8%
of boxes beat the $409 box price
- Bottom 5%$82
- Median box$128
- Expected value$156
- Top 5%$310
Where 10,000 boxes landed
22.2%$0-100
54.9%$100-200
17.0%$200-300
5.0%$300-400
0.8%$400-500
0.2%$500-600
0.0%$600-700
Red buckets end below the $409 box price. 78.6% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.0% doubled it.
How the simulation works, tier by tier
We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Astral Radiance using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($409, $11.37/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 38.2% of the box ask on average.
What a box actually pulls (sim average)
| Hit tier | Published rate | Pool | Avg / box | Mean value | Best case |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trainer Gallery | 1-in-8 (12.31%) (inherited) | 30 | 4.45 | $12.84 | Starmie V ($113) |
| Full-art V | 1-in-47 | 22 | 0.77 | $25.39 | Machamp V ($189) |
| Alt-art V | 1-in-135 | 22 | 0.27 | $25.39 | Machamp V ($189) |
| Pokemon V | 1-in-8 | 18 | 4.48 | $1.17 | Luxray V ($3) |
| Rainbow rare | 1-in-78 (1.28%) (inherited) | 27 | 0.46 | $8.13 | Machamp VMAX ($17) |
| VMAX / VSTAR | 1-in-29 | 9 | 1.24 | $2.40 | Machamp VMAX ($7) |
| Radiant rare | 1-in-20 (5.01%) (inherited) | 3 | 1.78 | $1.66 | Radiant Greninja ($4) |
| Gold secret rare | 1-in-130 | 27 | 0.28 | $8.13 | Machamp VMAX ($17) |
| Full-art Trainer | 1-in-93 | 9 | 0.39 | $3.34 | Irida ($7) |
Rows that repeat a pool are not a duplication: our catalog files full-art and alt-art V under one rarity, and rainbow and gold secrets under another, so the two published rates roll separately over the same cards.
Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $409 box price (Astral Radiance Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: 6 of 9 rates were measured on this set; the rest are inherited from an era study of 8,000+ packs, not measured on this set (the study opened packs of Lost Origin) (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 34.5% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $54 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (276 of 276 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.
Breadth: 88 cards up · 94 down · 30 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Radiant Greninja (+45.8%).