set deskOctober 2026

Destined Rivals

244 cards trackedenglish printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-10-07

Full set$1,541

Median card$0.2

30 days−14.9%

90 days−27.5%

Top 10 share73%

Priced256

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history332 recorded readings

All-time high$2,4812025-09-29

From that high−37.9%set value today

From launch−18.8%2025-06-02

Days to peak122from the release date

Dearer than0%0 of 332 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Destined Rivals

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 73% of the bill

10 cards · $1,124other 246 · $417

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price

$398

Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 231/182

−14.6% 30d

$200

Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 232/182

−15.7% 30d

$145

Ethan's Ho-Oh ex - 230/182

−4.5% 30d

$83.86

Team Rocket's Moltres ex - 229/182

−10.5% 30d

$82.95

Team Rocket's Nidoking ex - 233/182

−18.2% 30d

$54.29

Team Rocket's Crobat ex - 234/182

−13.1% 30d

$51.49

Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 240/182

−12.0% 30d

$49.81

Misty's Psyduck - 193/182

−18.5% 30d

$30.04

Ethan's Adventure - 236/182

−20.2% 30d

$28.61

Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 241/182

−12.7% 30d

Every card244 cards · 244 priced

No.	Card	Rarity	Market
001/182	Ethan's Pinsir	Uncommon	$0.08
002/182	Yanma	Common	$0.12
003/182	Yanmega ex	Double rare	$0.55
004/182	Pineco	Common	$0.19
005/182	Shroomish	Common	$0.14
006/182	Breloom	Common	$0.11
007/182	Cynthia's Roselia	Common	$0.20
008/182	Cynthia's Roserade	Rare	$0.28
009/182	Mow Rotom	Common	$0.17
010/182	Shaymin	Uncommon	$0.26
011/182	Dwebble	Common	$0.21
012/182	Crustle	Rare	$0.25
013/182	Fomantis	Common	$0.15
014/182	Lurantis	Uncommon	$0.15
015/182	Team Rocket's Blipbug	Common	$0.07
016/182	Applin	Common	$0.19
017/182	Dipplin	Common	$0.12
018/182	Hydrapple	Rare	$0.20
019/182	Team Rocket's Tarountula	Common	$0.28
020/182	Team Rocket's Spidops	Rare	$0.31
021/182	Smoliv	Common	$0.24
022/182	Dolliv	Common	$0.22
023/182	Arboliva ex	Double rare	$0.64
024/182	Rellor	Common	$0.12
025/182	Rabsca ex	Double rare	$0.68
026/182	Teal Mask Ogerpon	Uncommon	$0.13
027/182	Growlithe	Common	$0.23
028/182	Arcanine	Uncommon	$0.13
029/182	Ponyta	Common	$0.11
030/182	Rapidash	Uncommon	$0.10
031/182	Team Rocket's Moltres ex	Double rare	$1.01
032/182	Ethan's Cyndaquil	Common	$0.17
033/182	Ethan's Quilava	Common	$0.24
034/182	Ethan's Typhlosion	Rare	$0.31
035/182	Ethan's Slugma	Common	$0.05
036/182	Ethan's Magcargo	Rare	$0.17
037/182	Team Rocket's Houndour	Common	$0.04
038/182	Team Rocket's Houndoom	Uncommon	$0.09
039/182	Ethan's Ho-Oh ex	Double rare	$0.77
040/182	Torchic	Common	$0.21
041/182	Combusken	Common	$0.27
042/182	Blaziken	Rare	$0.22
043/182	Heat Rotom	Common	$0.20
044/182	Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon	Uncommon	$0.12
045/182	Misty's Psyduck	Uncommon	$0.29
046/182	Misty's Staryu	Common	$0.14
047/182	Misty's Starmie	Uncommon	$0.24
048/182	Misty's Magikarp	Common	$0.15
049/182	Misty's Gyarados	Rare	$0.33
050/182	Misty's Lapras	Common	$0.22
051/182	Team Rocket's Articuno	Rare	$0.27
052/182	Cynthia's Feebas	Common	$0.19
053/182	Cynthia's Milotic	Uncommon	$0.11
054/182	Clamperl	Common	$0.11
055/182	Huntail	Uncommon	$0.15
056/182	Gorebyss	Rare	$0.14
057/182	Buizel	Common	$0.17
058/182	Floatzel	Uncommon	$0.08
059/182	Snover	Common	$0.18
060/182	Abomasnow	Uncommon	$0.11
061/182	Wash Rotom	Common	$0.19
062/182	Arrokuda	Common	$0.13
063/182	Barraskewda	Uncommon	$0.12
064/182	Cetoddle	Common	$0.07
065/182	Cetitan ex	Double rare	$0.50
066/182	Dondozo ex	Double rare	$0.77
067/182	Wellspring Mask Ogerpon	Uncommon	$0.11
068/182	Electabuzz	Common	$0.04
069/182	Electivire ex	Double rare	$0.60
070/182	Team Rocket's Zapdos	Rare	$0.23
071/182	Ethan's Pichu	Common	$0.16
072/182	Team Rocket's Mareep	Common	$0.08
073/182	Team Rocket's Flaaffy	Common	$0.18
074/182	Team Rocket's Ampharos	Uncommon	$0.16
075/182	Electrike	Common	$0.17
076/182	Manectric	Uncommon	$0.07
077/182	Rotom	Common	$0.18
078/182	Zeraora	Rare	$0.23
079/182	Team Rocket's Drowzee	Common	$0.05
080/182	Team Rocket's Hypno	Uncommon	$0.10
081/182	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex	Double rare	$1.92
082/182	Team Rocket's Wobbuffet	Rare	$0.19
083/182	Steven's Baltoy	Common	$0.14
084/182	Steven's Claydol	Uncommon	$0.06
085/182	Team Rocket's Chingling	Common	$0.14
086/182	Steven's Carbink	Common	$0.21
087/182	Team Rocket's Mimikyu	Uncommon	$0.27
088/182	Team Rocket's Dottler	Common	$0.14
089/182	Team Rocket's Orbeetle	Uncommon	$0.10
090/182	Mankey	Common	$0.10
091/182	Primeape	Common	$0.09
092/182	Annihilape	Rare	$0.15
093/182	Ethan's Sudowoodo	Common	$0.21
094/182	Team Rocket's Larvitar	Common	$0.11
095/182	Team Rocket's Pupitar	Common	$0.19
096/182	Team Rocket's Tyranitar	Rare	$0.25
097/182	Nosepass	Common	$0.09
098/182	Probopass	Uncommon	$0.10
099/182	Meditite	Common	$0.08
100/182	Medicham	Uncommon	$0.11
101/182	Regirock ex	Double rare	$0.79
102/182	Cynthia's Gible	Common	$0.20
103/182	Cynthia's Gabite	Common	$0.25
104/182	Cynthia's Garchomp ex	Double rare	$1.33
105/182	Hippopotas	Common	$0.11
106/182	Hippowdon	Uncommon	$0.08
107/182	Mudbray	Common	$0.20
108/182	Mudsdale	Uncommon	$0.05
109/182	Arven's Toedscool	Common	$0.05
110/182	Arven's Toedscruel	Uncommon	$0.06
111/182	Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon	Uncommon	$0.17
112/182	Team Rocket's Ekans	Common	$0.14
113/182	Team Rocket's Arbok	Uncommon	$0.16
114/182	Team Rocket's Nidoran♀	Common	$0.12
115/182	Team Rocket's Nidorina	Common	$0.20
116/182	Team Rocket's Nidoqueen	Uncommon	$0.08
117/182	Team Rocket's Nidoran♂	Common	$0.15
118/182	Team Rocket's Nidorino	Common	$0.19
119/182	Team Rocket's Nidoking ex	Double rare	$0.85
120/182	Team Rocket's Zubat	Common	$0.15
121/182	Team Rocket's Golbat	Uncommon	$0.18
122/182	Team Rocket's Crobat ex	Double rare	$0.64
123/182	Team Rocket's Grimer	Common	$0.06
124/182	Team Rocket's Muk	Uncommon	$0.16
125/182	Team Rocket's Koffing	Common	$0.10
126/182	Team Rocket's Weezing	Uncommon	$0.15
127/182	Team Rocket's Murkrow	Uncommon	$0.16
128/182	Team Rocket's Sneasel	Rare	$0.30
129/182	Cynthia's Spiritomb	Uncommon	$0.19
130/182	Marnie's Purrloin	Common	$0.14
131/182	Marnie's Liepard	Uncommon	$0.09
132/182	Marnie's Scraggy	Common	$0.13
133/182	Marnie's Scrafty	Uncommon	$0.08
134/182	Marnie's Impidimp	Common	$0.17
135/182	Marnie's Morgrem	Uncommon	$0.18
136/182	Marnie's Grimmsnarl ex	Double rare	$0.80
137/182	Marnie's Morpeko	Common	$0.17
138/182	Arven's Maschiff	Common	$0.05
139/182	Arven's Mabosstiff ex	Double rare	$0.51
140/182	Forretress	Uncommon	$0.04
141/182	Skarmory	Common	$0.13
142/182	Steven's Skarmory	Common	$0.17
143/182	Steven's Beldum	Common	$0.23
144/182	Steven's Metang	Uncommon	$0.24
145/182	Steven's Metagross ex	Double rare	$1.12
146/182	Zamazenta	Rare	$0.14
147/182	Team Rocket's Rattata	Common	$0.08
148/182	Team Rocket's Raticate	Common	$0.11
149/182	Team Rocket's Meowth	Common	$0.10
150/182	Team Rocket's Persian ex	Double rare	$0.96
151/182	Kangaskhan	Common	$0.08
152/182	Tauros	Common	$0.20
153/182	Team Rocket's Porygon	Common	$0.18
154/182	Team Rocket's Porygon2	Common	$0.19
155/182	Team Rocket's Porygon-Z	Uncommon	$0.17
156/182	Taillow	Common	$0.21
157/182	Swellow	Common	$0.13
158/182	Arven's Skwovet	Common	$0.09
159/182	Arven's Greedent	Rare	$0.06
160/182	Squawkabilly	Common	$0.12
161/182	Arven's Sandwich	Uncommon	$0.12
162/182	Cynthia's Power Weight	Uncommon	$0.20
163/182	Emcee's Hype	Common	$0.16
164/182	Energy Recycler	Uncommon	$0.23
165/182	Ethan's Adventure	Uncommon	$0.17
166/182	Granite Cave	Uncommon	$0.07
167/182	Judge	Uncommon	$0.20
168/182	Sacred Ash	Uncommon	$0.21
169/182	Spikemuth Gym	Uncommon	$0.19
170/182	Team Rocket's Archer	Uncommon	$0.18
171/182	Team Rocket's Ariana	Uncommon	$0.17
172/182	Team Rocket's Bother-Bot	Uncommon	$0.13
173/182	Team Rocket's Factory	Uncommon	$0.16
174/182	Team Rocket's Giovanni	Uncommon	$0.17
175/182	Team Rocket's Great Ball	Uncommon	$0.16
176/182	Team Rocket's Petrel	Uncommon	$0.29
177/182	Team Rocket's Proton	Uncommon	$0.22
178/182	Team Rocket's Transceiver	Uncommon	$0.19
179/182	Team Rocket's Venture Bomb	Uncommon	$0.22
180/182	Team Rocket's Watchtower	Uncommon	$0.27
181/182	TM Machine	Uncommon	$0.16
182/182	Team Rocket's Energy	Uncommon	$0.26
183/182	Yanma	Illustration rare	$3.57
184/182	Cynthia's Roserade	Illustration rare	$10.00
185/182	Shaymin	Illustration rare	$11.87
186/182	Crustle	Illustration rare	$2.61
187/182	Team Rocket's Spidops	Illustration rare	$3.89
188/182	Hydrapple	Illustration rare	$3.46
189/182	Rapidash	Illustration rare	$6.92
190/182	Ethan's Typhlosion	Illustration rare	$19.60
191/182	Team Rocket's Houndoom	Illustration rare	$8.87
192/182	Blaziken	Illustration rare	$8.50
193/182	Misty's Psyduck	Illustration rare	$45.81
194/182	Misty's Lapras	Illustration rare	$23.33
195/182	Clamperl	Illustration rare	$4.58
196/182	Electrike	Illustration rare	$3.37
197/182	Rotom	Illustration rare	$3.38
198/182	Team Rocket's Orbeetle	Illustration rare	$2.72
199/182	Team Rocket's Weezing	Illustration rare	$6.41
200/182	Team Rocket's Murkrow	Illustration rare	$5.72
201/182	Zamazenta	Illustration rare	$4.36
202/182	Team Rocket's Raticate	Illustration rare	$4.75
203/182	Team Rocket's Meowth	Illustration rare	$17.18
204/182	Kangaskhan	Illustration rare	$8.45
205/182	Arven's Greedent	Illustration rare	$2.56
206/182	Yanmega ex	Ultra Rare	$1.03
207/182	Arboliva ex	Ultra Rare	$1.44
208/182	Team Rocket's Moltres ex	Ultra Rare	$4.74
209/182	Ethan's Ho-Oh ex	Ultra Rare	$5.96
210/182	Cetitan ex	Ultra Rare	$1.16
211/182	Dondozo ex	Ultra Rare	$1.00
212/182	Electivire ex	Ultra Rare	$1.07
213/182	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex	Ultra Rare	$16.33
214/182	Regirock ex	Ultra Rare	$1.37
215/182	Cynthia's Garchomp ex	Ultra Rare	$4.38
216/182	Team Rocket's Nidoking ex	Ultra Rare	$3.24
217/182	Team Rocket's Crobat ex	Ultra Rare	$2.15
218/182	Arven's Mabosstiff ex	Ultra Rare	$1.15
219/182	Team Rocket's Persian ex	Ultra Rare	$3.59
220/182	Emcee's Hype	Ultra Rare	$2.06
221/182	Ethan's Adventure	Ultra Rare	$2.75
222/182	Judge	Ultra Rare	$1.60
223/182	Team Rocket's Archer	Ultra Rare	$2.23
224/182	Team Rocket's Ariana	Ultra Rare	$3.48
225/182	Team Rocket's Giovanni	Ultra Rare	$5.39
226/182	Team Rocket's Petrel	Ultra Rare	$9.09
227/182	Team Rocket's Proton	Ultra Rare	$2.49
228/182	Yanmega ex	Special illustration rare	$16.32
229/182	Team Rocket's Moltres ex	Special illustration rare	$80.74
230/182	Ethan's Ho-Oh ex	Special illustration rare	$144.13
231/182	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex	Special illustration rare	$387.52
232/182	Cynthia's Garchomp ex	Special illustration rare	$195.40
233/182	Team Rocket's Nidoking ex	Special illustration rare	$79.51
234/182	Team Rocket's Crobat ex	Special illustration rare	$54.12
235/182	Arven's Mabosstiff ex	Special illustration rare	$20.57
236/182	Ethan's Adventure	Special illustration rare	$29.75
237/182	Team Rocket's Ariana	Special illustration rare	$15.66
238/182	Team Rocket's Giovanni	Special illustration rare	$23.47
239/182	Ethan's Ho-Oh ex	Hyper rare	$20.10
240/182	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex	Hyper rare	$51.35
241/182	Cynthia's Garchomp ex	Hyper rare	$28.52
242/182	Team Rocket's Crobat ex	Hyper rare	$11.94
243/182	Jamming Tower	Hyper rare	$6.51
244/182	Levincia	Hyper rare	$6.41

Every Destined Rivals card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

If you are building it

You can own 246 of the 256 priced cards in Destined Rivals for about $417. The median card is $0.2. The remaining $1,124 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 231/182, $398) is 26% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 27% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read

Card vs box−4.9% vs the box

chase card · Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 231/182$387.52

sealed booster box · Destined Rivals$407.33

the card95.1% of the box

LEVEL WITH THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set and one sealed booster box of it are within 5% of each other, which is too close to call either way. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-10-10.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read334 recorded points · 506 days

30-day return-14.3%

90-day return-27.0%

Realized vol8%annualized, ~90d daily returns

Max drawdown-37.9%recorded window

Off recorded high-37.9%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

Pull ratesmeasured

The chase, priced in packsTeam Rocket's Mewtwo ex ($387.52) lands about once per 1,033 packs · ~28.7 booster boxes · $11,688 of packs at today's box price

Tier	Odds per pack	Cards in tier	Expected per box
Double rare (ex)	1 in 5	17	7.2
Ultra rare (full art)	1 in 16	22	2.25
Illustration rare	1 in 12	23	3
Special illustration rare	1 in 94	11	0.38
Hyper rare (gold)	1 in 149	6	0.24

Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.

The product desk17 products · 8 lots

Cheapest recorded route to packsDestined Rivals Booster Pack $8.44/pack

Biggest 30-day moveDestined Rivals Sleeved Booster Pack −11.1%

	Product	Price	Family	Packs	$/pack	30d
01	Destined Rivals Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)	$425.85	ETB (Pokémon Center)	·	·	−6.8%
02	Destined Rivals Booster Box	$407.33	Booster Box	36	$11.31	−5.6%
03	Destined Rivals Half Booster Box	$316.15	Half Box	·	·	+3.2%
04	Destined Rivals Elite Trainer Box	$117.28	Elite Trainer Box	·	·	−0.1%
05	Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box	$69.24	Build & Battle	·	·	+2.7%
06	Destined Rivals Booster Bundle	$61.57	Booster Bundle	6	$10.26	−10.2%
07	Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Kangaskhan]	$50.24	Blister	·	·	−0.1%
08	Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Zebstrika]	$48.02	Blister	·	·	+4.9%
09	Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Skeledirge]	$43.99	Blister	·	·	+1.1%
10	Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Togekiss]	$39.13	Blister	·	·	−1.3%
11	Destined Rivals Single Pack Blister [Eevee]	$18.95	Blister	·	·	−1.3%
12	Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Gastrodon]	$18.37	Blister	·	·	−1.7%
13	Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Rabsca]	$17.06	Blister	·	·	+1.3%
14	Destined Rivals Single Pack Blister [Zarude]	$14.24	Blister	·	·	+5.3%
15	Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster Pack	$9.88	Booster Pack	1	$9.88	−11.1%
16	Destined Rivals Booster Pack	$8.44	Booster Pack	1	$8.44	−7.0%
17	Destined Rivals Fun Pack	$6.12	Product	·	·	+8.9%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
	Destined Rivals Booster Box Case	$2,523.26	Booster Boxlot	·	·	−3.2%
	Destined Rivals Booster Bundle Case	$1,802.28	Booster Bundlelot	·	·	0.0%
	Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster Case	$1,597.57	Booster Packlot	·	·	−0.8%
	Destined Rivals Elite Trainer Box Case	$1,216.96	Elite Trainer Boxlot	·	·	−1.5%
	Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box Display	$566.32	Build & Battlelot	·	·	+5.3%
	Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Set of 2]	$87.49	Blisterlot	·	·	+7.1%
	Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$40.43	Booster Packlot	·	·	−6.8%
	Destined Rivals Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$38.71	Booster Packlot	·	·	−1.2%

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold

Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Destined Rivals?

3.6%

of boxes beat the $407 box price

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Destined Rivals using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($407, $11.31/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 34.0% of the box ask on average.

Median box

$109

Expected value

$139

Bottom 5%

$72

Top 5%

$309

Where 10,000 boxes landed

87.5%

$0-200

8.9%

$200-400

3.2%

$400-600

0.3%

$600-800

0.1%

$800-1000

0.0%

$1000-1200

0.0%

$1200-1400

0.0%

$1400-1600

Red buckets end below the $407 box price. 87.8% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.1% doubled it.

What a box actually pulls (sim average)

Hit tier	Published rate	Pool	Avg / box	Mean value	Best case
Special illustration rare	1-in-94 (1.06% +/- 0.22%)	11	0.39	$95.97	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex ($392)
Illustration rare	1-in-12 (8.29% +/- 0.58%)	23	2.99	$9.29	Misty's Psyduck ($46)
Ultra rare (full art)	1-in-16 (6.39% +/- 0.52%)	22	2.3	$3.61	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex ($17)
Double rare (ex)	1-in-5 (19.83% +/- 0.84%)	17	7.1	$0.87	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex ($2)
Hyper rare (gold)	1-in-149 (0.67% +/- 0.17%)	6	0.24	$20.88	Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex ($51)

Not simulated. ACE SPEC rare: rated at 1-in-20 (4.94% +/- 0.46%) by the study, but our catalog holds no card of this tier for this set. A tier nobody has published a rate for is left out rather than folded into a neighbouring tier.

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $407 box price (Destined Rivals Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: all 5 rates were measured on this set's own packs (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs, 95% CI). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 20.6% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $55 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (244 of 244 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · −14.9% 30d · −27.5% 90d

2025-05-19$1,5412026-10-07

Breadth: 114 cards up · 113 down · 29 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Ethan's Ho-Oh ex - 209/182 (+8.6%).