moonstone · set deskSeptember 2026
Scarlet & Violet
Full set$8,236
Median card$3.54
30 days+0.0%
90 days+1.0%
Top 5 share41%
Priced282
5 cards · $2,892other 277 · $5,344
The short, expensive tail of the set.
![Paradise Resort - 045 (World Championships 2023) [Staff]](https://assets.tcgdex.net/en/sv/svp/045/low.webp)
![Paradise Resort - 224 (World Championships 2025) [Staff]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/649234_in_800x800.jpg)
![Hop's Snorlax - 184 (Prerelease) [Staff]](https://assets.tcgdex.net/en/sv/svp/184/low.webp)
You can own 277 of the 282 priced cards in Scarlet & Violet for about $5,344. The median card is $3.54. The remaining $2,892 sits in just 5 chase cards, and one of them (Pikachu with Grey Felt Hat, $1,094) is 13% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 59% and then a very short, very expensive tail.
chase card · Pikachu with Grey Felt Hat$1,092.15
sealed booster box · Scarlet & Violet$295.69
the card369.4% of the box
PRICIER THAN THE BOX
The single most valuable card in this set costs $796.46 more than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-08-31.
Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.
The chase, priced in packsGardevoir ex ($71.69) lands about once per 318 packs · ~8.8 booster boxes · $2,612 of packs at today's box price
| Tier | Odds per pack | Cards in tier | Expected per box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double rare (ex) | 1 in 7 | 12 | 5.14 |
| Ultra rare (full art) | 1 in 15 | 20 | 2.4 |
| Illustration rare | 1 in 13 | 24 | 2.77 |
| Special illustration rare | 1 in 32 | 10 | 1.13 |
| Hyper rare (gold) | 1 in 54 | 6 | 0.67 |
Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.
Rip or hold · 2,000 boxes simulatedSourced pull rates · Real market prices
A Scarlet & Violet booster box opens to $136 in singles on average against a real $296 box price; 1% of boxes beat the box. Half of all boxes land between $101 and $163.
The pulls that pay the bill
$72.1 · 1 in 10 boxes
$59.76 · 1 in 11 boxes
$43.65 · 1 in 11 boxes
$43.16 · 1 in 8.7 boxes
$39.12 · 1 in 11 boxes
Simulated with the same sourced pull-rate model and card pools as the pack simulator; singles at TCGplayer market. Unpriced cards count $0 (258/258 priced). Tiers without published rates are excluded. Sealed box price: TCGplayer.
Breadth: 79 cards up · 82 down · 121 flat over 30 days.