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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskSeptember 2026

Sm - Burning Shadows

english printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-09-22
Full set$1,779
Median card$0.32
30 days+6.6%
90 days+22.8%
Top 10 share71%
Priced180

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history356 recorded readings
All-time high$1,7792026-09-22
From that high+0.0%set value today
First recorded$934when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than100%355 of 356 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Sm - Burning Shadows

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 71% of the bill
10 cards · $1,247other 170 · $532

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$769
Charizard GX (Secret)01
Charizard GX (Secret)
+13.2% 30d
$90.16
Fairy Energy (Secret)02
Fairy Energy (Secret)
+2.0% 30d
$65.08
Wicke (Full Art)03
Wicke (Full Art)
+1.6% 30d
$54.86
Darkness Energy (Secret)04
Darkness Energy (Secret)
+2.0% 30d
$54.6
Darkrai GX (Secret)05
Darkrai GX (Secret)
+3.3% 30d
$53.46
Acerola (Full Art)06
Acerola (Full Art)
+1.1% 30d
$52.52
Gardevoir GX (Secret)07
Gardevoir GX (Secret)
−0.3% 30d
$38.94
Machamp GX (Secret)08
Machamp GX (Secret)
+1.0% 30d
$38.31
Darkrai GX (Full Art)09
Darkrai GX (Full Art)
+3.8% 30d
$29.95
Marshadow GX (Secret)10
Marshadow GX (Secret)
+0.5% 30d
If you are building it

You can own 170 of the 180 priced cards in Sm - Burning Shadows for about $532. The median card is $0.32. The remaining $1,247 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Charizard GX (Secret), $769) is 43% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 29% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
Card vs box−38.1% vs the box
chase card · Charizard GX (Secret)$769.02
sealed booster box · Sm - Burning Shadows$1,243.1
the card61.9% of the box

CHEAPER THAN THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set costs $474.08 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-09-23.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read356 recorded points · 603 days
30-day return+8.9%
90-day return+22.7%
Realized vol10%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-6.7%recorded window

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

The product desk21 products · 2 lots
Cheapest recorded route to packsBurning Shadows Booster Pack $31.42/pack
Biggest 30-day moveBurning Shadows Booster Pack −3.7%
ProductPriceFamilyPacks$/pack30d
01Burning Shadows Booster Box$1,243.10Booster Box36$34.53+1.4%
02Burning Shadows Elite Trainer Box$324.68Elite Trainer Box··+0.4%
03Burning Shadows Prerelease Kit$299.97Product···
04Team Skull Pin Collection$210.00Collection··0.0%
05Tsareena GX Box$199.98Product··0.0%
06Alolan Raichu Figure Collection$160.99Collection···
07Mysterious Powers Tin [Necrozma GX]$126.74Tin···
08Kommo-o GX Box$121.98Product···
09Burning Shadows 3 Pack Blister [Alolan Meowth]$120.00Blister···
10Burning Shadows 3 Pack Blister [Cosmog]$120.00Blister···
11Mysterious Powers Tin [Ho-Oh GX]$115.71Tin··0.0%
12Mysterious Powers Tin [Marshadow GX]$99.90Tin···
13Alolan Ninetales GX Challenge Box$97.50Product··+0.5%
14Lycanroc GX Challenge Box$80.00Product···
15Tapu Lele Pin Collection$48.59Collection···
16Burning Shadows Single Pack Blister [Komala]$42.00Blister···
17Burning Shadows Single Pack Blister [Jangmo-o]$40.00Blister··0.0%
18Burning Shadows Sleeved Booster Pack$36.00Booster Pack1$36.00+1.0%
19Burning Shadows Booster Pack$31.42Booster Pack1$31.42−3.7%
20Burning Shadows Theme Deck - "Luminous Frost" [Alolan Ninetales]$21.29Deck··0.0%
21Burning Shadows Theme Deck - "Rock Steady" [Lycanroc]$13.00Deck··−2.1%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
Burning Shadows Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$122.44Booster Packlot··−7.6%
Burning Shadows Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$120.00Booster Packlot··0.0%

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold
Rip report

No rip report for Sm - Burning Shadows

No published pull-rate study exists for this set, so there is nothing honest to simulate. We only rip sets whose per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study, and an inherited or inferred rate would put an invented number under every figure on this panel.

We publish a rip simulation only where per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study. Which sets have published pull rates counts what exists: 31 of the 110 English sets sold in booster packs, resting on eleven studies.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · +6.6% 30d · +22.8% 90d
2025-01-27$1,7792026-09-22

Breadth: 58 cards up · 36 down · 86 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Tapu Fini GX (+165.8%).

Every Pokémon setSm - Burning Shadows market reportPack opening simulatorSealed product pricesHow Much Is a Charizard Card Worth?Are Pokémon Cards a Good Investment?We Put a Price Target on the Whole Book. It Refused Four Cards in FiveThe Basement of the Registry: at PSA 7, the Slab Stops Being Worth More Than the Card